How to Hedge against Inflation Risk in Vietnam

Vietnam has experienced galloping inflation and faced serious dollarization since its reform. To effectively control inflation for promoting price stability, it is necessary to find efficacious leading indicators and a hedging mechanism. Using monthly data over the period from January 1997 to June 2...

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Main Author: Nguyen Thi Thanh Binh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-03-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/11/3/94
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author Nguyen Thi Thanh Binh
author_facet Nguyen Thi Thanh Binh
author_sort Nguyen Thi Thanh Binh
collection DOAJ
description Vietnam has experienced galloping inflation and faced serious dollarization since its reform. To effectively control inflation for promoting price stability, it is necessary to find efficacious leading indicators and a hedging mechanism. Using monthly data over the period from January 1997 to June 2020, this study finds the predictive power and hedge effectiveness of both gold and the US dollar on inflation in the long-run and short-run within the asymmetric framework. Especially, the response of inflation to the shocks of gold price and the US dollar is quick and decisive, disclosing the sensitivity of inflation to these two variables.
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spelling doaj.art-26d60526b15f4b64abff1576a2c668052023-11-17T10:41:08ZengMDPI AGEconomies2227-70992023-03-011139410.3390/economies11030094How to Hedge against Inflation Risk in VietnamNguyen Thi Thanh Binh0Department of Accounting, Chaoyang University of Technology, Taichung City 41349, TaiwanVietnam has experienced galloping inflation and faced serious dollarization since its reform. To effectively control inflation for promoting price stability, it is necessary to find efficacious leading indicators and a hedging mechanism. Using monthly data over the period from January 1997 to June 2020, this study finds the predictive power and hedge effectiveness of both gold and the US dollar on inflation in the long-run and short-run within the asymmetric framework. Especially, the response of inflation to the shocks of gold price and the US dollar is quick and decisive, disclosing the sensitivity of inflation to these two variables.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/11/3/94asymmetric cointegrationgold priceinflation hedgeMSI-VAR(1) modelthe US dollarVietnam
spellingShingle Nguyen Thi Thanh Binh
How to Hedge against Inflation Risk in Vietnam
Economies
asymmetric cointegration
gold price
inflation hedge
MSI-VAR(1) model
the US dollar
Vietnam
title How to Hedge against Inflation Risk in Vietnam
title_full How to Hedge against Inflation Risk in Vietnam
title_fullStr How to Hedge against Inflation Risk in Vietnam
title_full_unstemmed How to Hedge against Inflation Risk in Vietnam
title_short How to Hedge against Inflation Risk in Vietnam
title_sort how to hedge against inflation risk in vietnam
topic asymmetric cointegration
gold price
inflation hedge
MSI-VAR(1) model
the US dollar
Vietnam
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/11/3/94
work_keys_str_mv AT nguyenthithanhbinh howtohedgeagainstinflationriskinvietnam