| Summary: | Geological carbon storage is an effective method capable of reducing carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) emissions at significant scales. Subsurface reservoirs with sealing caprocks can provide long-term containment for the injected fluid. Nevertheless, CO<sub>2</sub> leakage is a major concern. The presence of abandoned wells penetrating the reservoir caprock may cause leakage flow-paths for CO<sub>2</sub> to the overburden. Assessment of time-varying leaky wells is a need. In this paper, we propose a new semi-analytical approach based on pressure-transient analysis to model the behavior of CO<sub>2</sub> leakage and corresponding pressure distribution within the storage site and the overburden. Current methods assume instantaneous leakage of CO<sub>2</sub> occurring with injection, which is not realistic. In this work, we employ the superposition in time and space to solve the diffusivity equation in 2D radial flow to approximate the transient pressure in the reservoirs. Fluid and rock compressibilities are taken into consideration, which allow calculating the breakthrough time and the leakage rate of CO<sub>2</sub> to the overburden accurately. We use numerical simulations to verify the proposed time-dependent semi-analytical solution. The results show good agreement in both pressure and leakage rates. Sensitivity analysis is then conducted to assess different CO<sub>2</sub> leakage scenarios to the overburden. The developed semi-analytical solution provides a new simple and practical approach to assess the potential of CO<sub>2</sub> leakage outside the storage site. This approach is an alternative to numerical methods when detailed simulations are not feasible. Furthermore, the proposed solution can also be used to verify numerical codes, which often exhibit numerical artifacts.
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