Analyzing time-varying trip distributions with a random-effect spatial OD dependence model.

This paper proposes a random-effect spatial OD (origin-destination) dependence model to investigate varying trip distributions over time. By proposing a maximum likelihood estimation with spectral decomposition methods, the effects of spatial dependences and the unobservable zonal heterogeneity at t...

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Main Authors: Linglin Ni, Xiaokun Cara Wang, Xiqun Michael Chen, Dapeng Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2023-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280162
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author Linglin Ni
Xiaokun Cara Wang
Xiqun Michael Chen
Dapeng Zhang
author_facet Linglin Ni
Xiaokun Cara Wang
Xiqun Michael Chen
Dapeng Zhang
author_sort Linglin Ni
collection DOAJ
description This paper proposes a random-effect spatial OD (origin-destination) dependence model to investigate varying trip distributions over time. By proposing a maximum likelihood estimation with spectral decomposition methods, the effects of spatial dependences and the unobservable zonal heterogeneity at the origin and destination can be estimated simultaneously. A series of numerical experiments and a real-world trip distribution study with cellular signaling data collected in Hangzhou, China, are conducted. This paper enriches the existing literature by developing (1) an innovative specification to allow for random effects in existing spatial OD dependence models; (2) an innovative estimation method to obtain the values of parameters and improve model fittings; and (3) a set of numerical experiments and an empirical trip distribution analysis that jointly captures spatial effects (spatial interaction and spatial OD dependences), and the unobservable zonal heterogeneity. This paper can equip policymakers with an effective tool for analyzing the OD travel flow over time which is a groundwork for making appropriate transportation policies.
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spelling doaj.art-274a53fc689e4861b1fb19c844b839932023-03-22T05:31:14ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032023-01-01181e028016210.1371/journal.pone.0280162Analyzing time-varying trip distributions with a random-effect spatial OD dependence model.Linglin NiXiaokun Cara WangXiqun Michael ChenDapeng ZhangThis paper proposes a random-effect spatial OD (origin-destination) dependence model to investigate varying trip distributions over time. By proposing a maximum likelihood estimation with spectral decomposition methods, the effects of spatial dependences and the unobservable zonal heterogeneity at the origin and destination can be estimated simultaneously. A series of numerical experiments and a real-world trip distribution study with cellular signaling data collected in Hangzhou, China, are conducted. This paper enriches the existing literature by developing (1) an innovative specification to allow for random effects in existing spatial OD dependence models; (2) an innovative estimation method to obtain the values of parameters and improve model fittings; and (3) a set of numerical experiments and an empirical trip distribution analysis that jointly captures spatial effects (spatial interaction and spatial OD dependences), and the unobservable zonal heterogeneity. This paper can equip policymakers with an effective tool for analyzing the OD travel flow over time which is a groundwork for making appropriate transportation policies.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280162
spellingShingle Linglin Ni
Xiaokun Cara Wang
Xiqun Michael Chen
Dapeng Zhang
Analyzing time-varying trip distributions with a random-effect spatial OD dependence model.
PLoS ONE
title Analyzing time-varying trip distributions with a random-effect spatial OD dependence model.
title_full Analyzing time-varying trip distributions with a random-effect spatial OD dependence model.
title_fullStr Analyzing time-varying trip distributions with a random-effect spatial OD dependence model.
title_full_unstemmed Analyzing time-varying trip distributions with a random-effect spatial OD dependence model.
title_short Analyzing time-varying trip distributions with a random-effect spatial OD dependence model.
title_sort analyzing time varying trip distributions with a random effect spatial od dependence model
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280162
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AT xiqunmichaelchen analyzingtimevaryingtripdistributionswitharandomeffectspatialoddependencemodel
AT dapengzhang analyzingtimevaryingtripdistributionswitharandomeffectspatialoddependencemodel