Current account in the peripherial members of the European Union: Panel analysis

This paper examines the correlation between the current account balance of peripheral eurozone members (Italy, Spain, Portugal, Ireland and Greece) and the main determinants that define it for the period 2000-2017. The research was carried out by means of panel methodology. The current account balan...

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Main Author: Kovačević Radovan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Association of Serbian Banks 2018-01-01
Series:Bankarstvo
Subjects:
Online Access:https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/1451-4354/2018/1451-43541804014K.pdf
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author Kovačević Radovan
author_facet Kovačević Radovan
author_sort Kovačević Radovan
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines the correlation between the current account balance of peripheral eurozone members (Italy, Spain, Portugal, Ireland and Greece) and the main determinants that define it for the period 2000-2017. The research was carried out by means of panel methodology. The current account balance is a dependent variable, and a set of selected relevant explanatory macroeconomic variables represents the panel regressors. Since the panel time series had a single root, cointegration tests were conducted. Since the results of these tests confirmed the existence of cointegration between the panel time series, the cointegration regression equation was estimated. For this assessment, FMOLS and DOLS estimators were applied. The estimated coefficients of cointegration regressors using FMOLS estimators are statistically significant for the entire period 2000-2017. The only exception at the level of the starting equation is the FMOLS estimation of the parameter with remittances, which is not statistically significant. In the case of the application of the DOLS estimator, several estimated parameters did not show significance. The signs in front of the parameter estimates generally agree with the theoretical approach. The estimated parameters show long-term compliance of the current account balance and selected macroeconomic regressors. The obtained findings confirm the persistence of the current account balance in peripheral eurozone members.
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spelling doaj.art-2752e84bbdaf4dfda0d106cd3f8d93102022-12-22T03:15:27ZengAssociation of Serbian BanksBankarstvo1451-43542466-54952018-01-0147414551451-43541804014KCurrent account in the peripherial members of the European Union: Panel analysisKovačević Radovan0Ekonomski fakultet, BeogradThis paper examines the correlation between the current account balance of peripheral eurozone members (Italy, Spain, Portugal, Ireland and Greece) and the main determinants that define it for the period 2000-2017. The research was carried out by means of panel methodology. The current account balance is a dependent variable, and a set of selected relevant explanatory macroeconomic variables represents the panel regressors. Since the panel time series had a single root, cointegration tests were conducted. Since the results of these tests confirmed the existence of cointegration between the panel time series, the cointegration regression equation was estimated. For this assessment, FMOLS and DOLS estimators were applied. The estimated coefficients of cointegration regressors using FMOLS estimators are statistically significant for the entire period 2000-2017. The only exception at the level of the starting equation is the FMOLS estimation of the parameter with remittances, which is not statistically significant. In the case of the application of the DOLS estimator, several estimated parameters did not show significance. The signs in front of the parameter estimates generally agree with the theoretical approach. The estimated parameters show long-term compliance of the current account balance and selected macroeconomic regressors. The obtained findings confirm the persistence of the current account balance in peripheral eurozone members.https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/1451-4354/2018/1451-43541804014K.pdfcurrent accountperipheral eurozone memberscointegrationunit root testreal effective exchange ratenet foreign assetsforeign direct investment
spellingShingle Kovačević Radovan
Current account in the peripherial members of the European Union: Panel analysis
Bankarstvo
current account
peripheral eurozone members
cointegration
unit root test
real effective exchange rate
net foreign assets
foreign direct investment
title Current account in the peripherial members of the European Union: Panel analysis
title_full Current account in the peripherial members of the European Union: Panel analysis
title_fullStr Current account in the peripherial members of the European Union: Panel analysis
title_full_unstemmed Current account in the peripherial members of the European Union: Panel analysis
title_short Current account in the peripherial members of the European Union: Panel analysis
title_sort current account in the peripherial members of the european union panel analysis
topic current account
peripheral eurozone members
cointegration
unit root test
real effective exchange rate
net foreign assets
foreign direct investment
url https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/1451-4354/2018/1451-43541804014K.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT kovacevicradovan currentaccountintheperipherialmembersoftheeuropeanunionpanelanalysis