Optimal Integration of Intermittent Renewables: A System LCOE Stochastic Approach

We propose a system level approach to value the impact on costs of the integration of intermittent renewable generation in a power system, based on expected breakeven cost and breakeven cost risk. To do this, we carefully reconsider the definition of Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) when extende...

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Main Authors: Carlo Lucheroni, Carlo Mari
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2018-03-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/3/549
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author Carlo Lucheroni
Carlo Mari
author_facet Carlo Lucheroni
Carlo Mari
author_sort Carlo Lucheroni
collection DOAJ
description We propose a system level approach to value the impact on costs of the integration of intermittent renewable generation in a power system, based on expected breakeven cost and breakeven cost risk. To do this, we carefully reconsider the definition of Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) when extended to non-dispatchable generation, by examining extra costs and gains originated by the costly management of random power injections. We are thus lead to define a ‘system LCOE’ as a system dependent LCOE that takes properly into account intermittent generation. In order to include breakeven cost risk we further extend this deterministic approach to a stochastic setting, by introducing a ‘stochastic system LCOE’. This extension allows us to discuss the optimal integration of intermittent renewables from a broad, system level point of view. This paper thus aims to provide power producers and policy makers with a new methodological scheme, still based on the LCOE but which updates this valuation technique to current energy system configurations characterized by a large share of non-dispatchable production. Quantifying and optimizing the impact of intermittent renewables integration on power system costs, risk and CO 2 emissions, the proposed methodology can be used as powerful tool of analysis for assessing environmental and energy policies.
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spelling doaj.art-276bb901f2674284857308ddf6fe79ff2022-12-22T04:28:26ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732018-03-0111354910.3390/en11030549en11030549Optimal Integration of Intermittent Renewables: A System LCOE Stochastic ApproachCarlo Lucheroni0Carlo Mari1School of Science and Technologies, University of Camerino, via M. delle Carceri 9, 62032 Camerino (MC), ItalyDepartment of Economics, University of Chieti-Pescara, viale Pindaro 42, 65127 Pescara (PE), ItalyWe propose a system level approach to value the impact on costs of the integration of intermittent renewable generation in a power system, based on expected breakeven cost and breakeven cost risk. To do this, we carefully reconsider the definition of Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) when extended to non-dispatchable generation, by examining extra costs and gains originated by the costly management of random power injections. We are thus lead to define a ‘system LCOE’ as a system dependent LCOE that takes properly into account intermittent generation. In order to include breakeven cost risk we further extend this deterministic approach to a stochastic setting, by introducing a ‘stochastic system LCOE’. This extension allows us to discuss the optimal integration of intermittent renewables from a broad, system level point of view. This paper thus aims to provide power producers and policy makers with a new methodological scheme, still based on the LCOE but which updates this valuation technique to current energy system configurations characterized by a large share of non-dispatchable production. Quantifying and optimizing the impact of intermittent renewables integration on power system costs, risk and CO 2 emissions, the proposed methodology can be used as powerful tool of analysis for assessing environmental and energy policies.http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/3/549intermittent source integrationpower systemcost risklevelized cost of electricitygeneration portfolio frontier
spellingShingle Carlo Lucheroni
Carlo Mari
Optimal Integration of Intermittent Renewables: A System LCOE Stochastic Approach
Energies
intermittent source integration
power system
cost risk
levelized cost of electricity
generation portfolio frontier
title Optimal Integration of Intermittent Renewables: A System LCOE Stochastic Approach
title_full Optimal Integration of Intermittent Renewables: A System LCOE Stochastic Approach
title_fullStr Optimal Integration of Intermittent Renewables: A System LCOE Stochastic Approach
title_full_unstemmed Optimal Integration of Intermittent Renewables: A System LCOE Stochastic Approach
title_short Optimal Integration of Intermittent Renewables: A System LCOE Stochastic Approach
title_sort optimal integration of intermittent renewables a system lcoe stochastic approach
topic intermittent source integration
power system
cost risk
levelized cost of electricity
generation portfolio frontier
url http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/3/549
work_keys_str_mv AT carlolucheroni optimalintegrationofintermittentrenewablesasystemlcoestochasticapproach
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