Epidemiological dynamics of Ebola outbreaks
Ebola is a deadly virus that causes frequent disease outbreaks in the human population. In this study, we analyse its rate of new introductions, case fatality ratio, and potential to spread from person to person. The analysis is performed for all completed outbreaks and for a scenario where these ar...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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eLife Sciences Publications Ltd
2014-09-01
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Series: | eLife |
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Online Access: | https://elifesciences.org/articles/03908 |
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author | Thomas House |
author_facet | Thomas House |
author_sort | Thomas House |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Ebola is a deadly virus that causes frequent disease outbreaks in the human population. In this study, we analyse its rate of new introductions, case fatality ratio, and potential to spread from person to person. The analysis is performed for all completed outbreaks and for a scenario where these are augmented by a more severe outbreak of several thousand cases. The results show a fast rate of new outbreaks, a high case fatality ratio, and an effective reproductive ratio of just less than 1. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-12T09:41:59Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-276f1afadb114044a2180a60499a8348 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2050-084X |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-12T09:41:59Z |
publishDate | 2014-09-01 |
publisher | eLife Sciences Publications Ltd |
record_format | Article |
series | eLife |
spelling | doaj.art-276f1afadb114044a2180a60499a83482022-12-22T03:38:02ZengeLife Sciences Publications LtdeLife2050-084X2014-09-01310.7554/eLife.03908Epidemiological dynamics of Ebola outbreaksThomas House0Warwick Mathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom; Warwick Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research Centre, University of Warwick, Coventry, United KingdomEbola is a deadly virus that causes frequent disease outbreaks in the human population. In this study, we analyse its rate of new introductions, case fatality ratio, and potential to spread from person to person. The analysis is performed for all completed outbreaks and for a scenario where these are augmented by a more severe outbreak of several thousand cases. The results show a fast rate of new outbreaks, a high case fatality ratio, and an effective reproductive ratio of just less than 1.https://elifesciences.org/articles/03908R0case fatality ratioepidemiologyEbolaEbola virus |
spellingShingle | Thomas House Epidemiological dynamics of Ebola outbreaks eLife R0 case fatality ratio epidemiology Ebola Ebola virus |
title | Epidemiological dynamics of Ebola outbreaks |
title_full | Epidemiological dynamics of Ebola outbreaks |
title_fullStr | Epidemiological dynamics of Ebola outbreaks |
title_full_unstemmed | Epidemiological dynamics of Ebola outbreaks |
title_short | Epidemiological dynamics of Ebola outbreaks |
title_sort | epidemiological dynamics of ebola outbreaks |
topic | R0 case fatality ratio epidemiology Ebola Ebola virus |
url | https://elifesciences.org/articles/03908 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT thomashouse epidemiologicaldynamicsofebolaoutbreaks |