Cancers in Australia in 2010 attributable to the consumption of red and processed meat

Abstract Objectives: To estimate the proportion and numbers of cancers in Australia in 2010 attributable to consuming red/processed meat. Methods: We estimated the population attributable fraction (PAF) for cancers causally associated with red/processed meat consumption (colon, rectum) using standar...

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Main Authors: Christina M. Nagle, Louise F. Wilson, Maria Celia B. Hughes, Torukiri I. Ibiebele, Kyoko Miura, Christopher J. Bain, David C. Whiteman, Penelope M. Webb
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2015-10-01
Series:Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1111/1753-6405.12450
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author Christina M. Nagle
Louise F. Wilson
Maria Celia B. Hughes
Torukiri I. Ibiebele
Kyoko Miura
Christopher J. Bain
David C. Whiteman
Penelope M. Webb
author_facet Christina M. Nagle
Louise F. Wilson
Maria Celia B. Hughes
Torukiri I. Ibiebele
Kyoko Miura
Christopher J. Bain
David C. Whiteman
Penelope M. Webb
author_sort Christina M. Nagle
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Objectives: To estimate the proportion and numbers of cancers in Australia in 2010 attributable to consuming red/processed meat. Methods: We estimated the population attributable fraction (PAF) for cancers causally associated with red/processed meat consumption (colon, rectum) using standard formulae incorporating prevalence of consumption (1995 National Nutrition Survey), relative risks associated with consumption and cancer incidence. We also estimated the proportion change in cancer incidence (potential impact fraction [PIF]) that might have occurred under two hypothetical interventions whereby Australian adults reduced their consumption of red/processed meat from prevailing levels to ≤100 g or ≤65 g per day, respectively. Results: An estimated 2,614 cases (18%) of colorectal cancer occurring in Australians in 2010 were attributable to red/processed meat consumption (16% of colon cancers; 23% of rectal cancers). We estimated that if all Australian adults had consumed ≤65 g/day or ≤100 g/day of red/processed meat, then the incidence of colorectal cancer would have been 5.4% (798 cancers) or 1.4% (204 cancers) lower, respectively. Conclusions: About one in six colorectal cancers in Australians in 2010 were attributable to red/processed meat consumption. Implications: Reducing red/processed meat intake may reduce colorectal cancer incidence, but must be balanced against nutritional benefits of modest lean meat consumption.
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spelling doaj.art-27ab46878cbf403f9fe5d7a798e25e832023-09-02T19:40:34ZengElsevierAustralian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health1326-02001753-64052015-10-0139542943310.1111/1753-6405.12450Cancers in Australia in 2010 attributable to the consumption of red and processed meatChristina M. Nagle0Louise F. Wilson1Maria Celia B. Hughes2Torukiri I. Ibiebele3Kyoko Miura4Christopher J. Bain5David C. Whiteman6Penelope M. Webb7QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute QueenslandQIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute QueenslandQIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute QueenslandQIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute QueenslandQIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute QueenslandQIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute QueenslandQIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute QueenslandQIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute QueenslandAbstract Objectives: To estimate the proportion and numbers of cancers in Australia in 2010 attributable to consuming red/processed meat. Methods: We estimated the population attributable fraction (PAF) for cancers causally associated with red/processed meat consumption (colon, rectum) using standard formulae incorporating prevalence of consumption (1995 National Nutrition Survey), relative risks associated with consumption and cancer incidence. We also estimated the proportion change in cancer incidence (potential impact fraction [PIF]) that might have occurred under two hypothetical interventions whereby Australian adults reduced their consumption of red/processed meat from prevailing levels to ≤100 g or ≤65 g per day, respectively. Results: An estimated 2,614 cases (18%) of colorectal cancer occurring in Australians in 2010 were attributable to red/processed meat consumption (16% of colon cancers; 23% of rectal cancers). We estimated that if all Australian adults had consumed ≤65 g/day or ≤100 g/day of red/processed meat, then the incidence of colorectal cancer would have been 5.4% (798 cancers) or 1.4% (204 cancers) lower, respectively. Conclusions: About one in six colorectal cancers in Australians in 2010 were attributable to red/processed meat consumption. Implications: Reducing red/processed meat intake may reduce colorectal cancer incidence, but must be balanced against nutritional benefits of modest lean meat consumption.https://doi.org/10.1111/1753-6405.12450population attributable fractioncancerrisk factorred/processed meatpotential impact fraction
spellingShingle Christina M. Nagle
Louise F. Wilson
Maria Celia B. Hughes
Torukiri I. Ibiebele
Kyoko Miura
Christopher J. Bain
David C. Whiteman
Penelope M. Webb
Cancers in Australia in 2010 attributable to the consumption of red and processed meat
Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health
population attributable fraction
cancer
risk factor
red/processed meat
potential impact fraction
title Cancers in Australia in 2010 attributable to the consumption of red and processed meat
title_full Cancers in Australia in 2010 attributable to the consumption of red and processed meat
title_fullStr Cancers in Australia in 2010 attributable to the consumption of red and processed meat
title_full_unstemmed Cancers in Australia in 2010 attributable to the consumption of red and processed meat
title_short Cancers in Australia in 2010 attributable to the consumption of red and processed meat
title_sort cancers in australia in 2010 attributable to the consumption of red and processed meat
topic population attributable fraction
cancer
risk factor
red/processed meat
potential impact fraction
url https://doi.org/10.1111/1753-6405.12450
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