Evaluation of sampling methods for effective detection of infected pig farms during a disease outbreak.

Emergency surveillance following an outbreak of transboundary animal diseases such as classical swine fever (CSF), is conducted to find another new infection as early as possible. Although larger sample sizes can help achieve higher disease surveillance sensitivity, the sample size is limited by the...

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Main Authors: Yoshinori Murato, Yoko Hayama, Yumiko Shimizu, Kotaro Sawai, Takehisa Yamamoto
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2020-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0241177
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author Yoshinori Murato
Yoko Hayama
Yumiko Shimizu
Kotaro Sawai
Takehisa Yamamoto
author_facet Yoshinori Murato
Yoko Hayama
Yumiko Shimizu
Kotaro Sawai
Takehisa Yamamoto
author_sort Yoshinori Murato
collection DOAJ
description Emergency surveillance following an outbreak of transboundary animal diseases such as classical swine fever (CSF), is conducted to find another new infection as early as possible. Although larger sample sizes can help achieve higher disease surveillance sensitivity, the sample size is limited by the availability of resources in an emergency situation. Moreover, the recent CSF outbreak reported in Japan was associated with fewer clinical signs; this emphasizes the importance of detecting infected farms by surveillance. In this study, we aimed to identify effective and labor-efficient sampling methods showing high probabilities of detecting infection, by simulating infection and sampling in pigsties. We found that impartial sampling, which involves selection of pigs to be sampled from the four corners and the center of the pigsty, and random sampling showed comparable probabilities of detection. Impartial sampling involves sample collection without pig identification and random selection. Owing to its simplicity, impartial sampling is labor-efficient and thus a possible substitute for random sampling. In a group-housing pigsty, testing five pigs from five pens showed a higher detection probability than testing five pigs from one pen. These results suggest preferable surveillance methods for conducting emergency surveillance of infectious diseases.
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spelling doaj.art-27bb015ccc4142f59441c5bec0b1289d2022-12-21T18:32:35ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032020-01-011510e024117710.1371/journal.pone.0241177Evaluation of sampling methods for effective detection of infected pig farms during a disease outbreak.Yoshinori MuratoYoko HayamaYumiko ShimizuKotaro SawaiTakehisa YamamotoEmergency surveillance following an outbreak of transboundary animal diseases such as classical swine fever (CSF), is conducted to find another new infection as early as possible. Although larger sample sizes can help achieve higher disease surveillance sensitivity, the sample size is limited by the availability of resources in an emergency situation. Moreover, the recent CSF outbreak reported in Japan was associated with fewer clinical signs; this emphasizes the importance of detecting infected farms by surveillance. In this study, we aimed to identify effective and labor-efficient sampling methods showing high probabilities of detecting infection, by simulating infection and sampling in pigsties. We found that impartial sampling, which involves selection of pigs to be sampled from the four corners and the center of the pigsty, and random sampling showed comparable probabilities of detection. Impartial sampling involves sample collection without pig identification and random selection. Owing to its simplicity, impartial sampling is labor-efficient and thus a possible substitute for random sampling. In a group-housing pigsty, testing five pigs from five pens showed a higher detection probability than testing five pigs from one pen. These results suggest preferable surveillance methods for conducting emergency surveillance of infectious diseases.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0241177
spellingShingle Yoshinori Murato
Yoko Hayama
Yumiko Shimizu
Kotaro Sawai
Takehisa Yamamoto
Evaluation of sampling methods for effective detection of infected pig farms during a disease outbreak.
PLoS ONE
title Evaluation of sampling methods for effective detection of infected pig farms during a disease outbreak.
title_full Evaluation of sampling methods for effective detection of infected pig farms during a disease outbreak.
title_fullStr Evaluation of sampling methods for effective detection of infected pig farms during a disease outbreak.
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of sampling methods for effective detection of infected pig farms during a disease outbreak.
title_short Evaluation of sampling methods for effective detection of infected pig farms during a disease outbreak.
title_sort evaluation of sampling methods for effective detection of infected pig farms during a disease outbreak
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0241177
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