Demand Forecasting of Spare Parts Using Artificial Intelligence: A Case Study of K-X Tanks

The proportion of the inventory range associated with spare parts is often considered in the industrial context. Therefore, even minor improvements in forecasting the demand for spare parts can lead to substantial cost savings. Despite notable research efforts, demand forecasting remains challenging...

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Main Authors: Jae-Dong Kim, Tae-Hyeong Kim, Sung Won Han
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-01-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/3/501
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author Jae-Dong Kim
Tae-Hyeong Kim
Sung Won Han
author_facet Jae-Dong Kim
Tae-Hyeong Kim
Sung Won Han
author_sort Jae-Dong Kim
collection DOAJ
description The proportion of the inventory range associated with spare parts is often considered in the industrial context. Therefore, even minor improvements in forecasting the demand for spare parts can lead to substantial cost savings. Despite notable research efforts, demand forecasting remains challenging, especially in areas with irregular demand patterns, such as military logistics. Thus, an advanced model for accurately forecasting this demand was developed in this study. The K-X tank is one of the Republic of Korea Army’s third generation main battle tanks. Data about the spare part consumption of 1,053,422 transactional data points stored in a military logistics management system were obtained. Demand forecasting classification models were developed to exploit machine learning, stacked generalization, and time series as baseline methods. Additionally, various stacked generalizations were established in spare part demand forecasting. The results demonstrated that a suitable selection of methods could help enhance the performance of the forecasting models in this domain.
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spelling doaj.art-27bbedf515d34b44956bd97be43b16be2023-11-16T17:20:29ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902023-01-0111350110.3390/math11030501Demand Forecasting of Spare Parts Using Artificial Intelligence: A Case Study of K-X TanksJae-Dong Kim0Tae-Hyeong Kim1Sung Won Han2School of Industrial and Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 02481, Republic of KoreaSchool of Industrial and Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 02481, Republic of KoreaSchool of Industrial and Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 02481, Republic of KoreaThe proportion of the inventory range associated with spare parts is often considered in the industrial context. Therefore, even minor improvements in forecasting the demand for spare parts can lead to substantial cost savings. Despite notable research efforts, demand forecasting remains challenging, especially in areas with irregular demand patterns, such as military logistics. Thus, an advanced model for accurately forecasting this demand was developed in this study. The K-X tank is one of the Republic of Korea Army’s third generation main battle tanks. Data about the spare part consumption of 1,053,422 transactional data points stored in a military logistics management system were obtained. Demand forecasting classification models were developed to exploit machine learning, stacked generalization, and time series as baseline methods. Additionally, various stacked generalizations were established in spare part demand forecasting. The results demonstrated that a suitable selection of methods could help enhance the performance of the forecasting models in this domain.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/3/501spare partsdemand forecastdeep learninglogisticsstacking
spellingShingle Jae-Dong Kim
Tae-Hyeong Kim
Sung Won Han
Demand Forecasting of Spare Parts Using Artificial Intelligence: A Case Study of K-X Tanks
Mathematics
spare parts
demand forecast
deep learning
logistics
stacking
title Demand Forecasting of Spare Parts Using Artificial Intelligence: A Case Study of K-X Tanks
title_full Demand Forecasting of Spare Parts Using Artificial Intelligence: A Case Study of K-X Tanks
title_fullStr Demand Forecasting of Spare Parts Using Artificial Intelligence: A Case Study of K-X Tanks
title_full_unstemmed Demand Forecasting of Spare Parts Using Artificial Intelligence: A Case Study of K-X Tanks
title_short Demand Forecasting of Spare Parts Using Artificial Intelligence: A Case Study of K-X Tanks
title_sort demand forecasting of spare parts using artificial intelligence a case study of k x tanks
topic spare parts
demand forecast
deep learning
logistics
stacking
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/3/501
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