The multi-period reserve design problem under climate change
Climate change causes range shifts of species and habitats, thus making existing reserve networks less suitable in the future. Existing optimisation procedures hence need to be adapted in order to account for changes in the spatial distribution of habitat types as well as their relative occurrence....
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2023-01-01
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| Series: | Sustainability Analytics and Modeling |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667259623000103 |
| _version_ | 1797398402161442816 |
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| author | Charlotte Gerling Oliver Schöttker John Hearne |
| author_facet | Charlotte Gerling Oliver Schöttker John Hearne |
| author_sort | Charlotte Gerling |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Climate change causes range shifts of species and habitats, thus making existing reserve networks less suitable in the future. Existing optimisation procedures hence need to be adapted in order to account for changes in the spatial distribution of habitat types as well as their relative occurrence. We develop a multi-objective optimisation procedure that considers these dynamic changes. We demonstrate the functioning of the model by applying it to a conceptual case study. In this case study, we aim to gain an understanding of the consequences of not adapting the reserve network despite climate change and the optimal adaptation pathways for different funding levels. Finally, we consider whether larger flexibility in terms of when to adapt the reserve network by providing a one-off discounted payment instead of regular payment improves the outcome achieved. We find that the optimisation procedure is suitable to identify adaptation pathways as the outcome is improved, especially for habitat types that become increasingly threatened. Initially providing a one-off discounted payment instead of regular payments leads to higher habitat protection. In order to facilitate future research, we provide the code of the optimisation on request. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T01:25:08Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-27e04d5ab13140c78e9c58f8bf772c38 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2667-2596 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T01:25:08Z |
| publishDate | 2023-01-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Sustainability Analytics and Modeling |
| spelling | doaj.art-27e04d5ab13140c78e9c58f8bf772c382023-12-10T06:18:58ZengElsevierSustainability Analytics and Modeling2667-25962023-01-013100025The multi-period reserve design problem under climate changeCharlotte Gerling0Oliver Schöttker1John Hearne2Corresponding author.; Department of Environmental Economics, Brandenburg University of Technology Cottbus - Senftenberg, Erich-Weinert-Straße 1, Building 10, Cottbus 03046, GermanyDepartment of Environmental Economics, Brandenburg University of Technology Cottbus - Senftenberg, Erich-Weinert-Straße 1, Building 10, Cottbus 03046, GermanySchool of Science, RMIT University, Melbourne, AustraliaClimate change causes range shifts of species and habitats, thus making existing reserve networks less suitable in the future. Existing optimisation procedures hence need to be adapted in order to account for changes in the spatial distribution of habitat types as well as their relative occurrence. We develop a multi-objective optimisation procedure that considers these dynamic changes. We demonstrate the functioning of the model by applying it to a conceptual case study. In this case study, we aim to gain an understanding of the consequences of not adapting the reserve network despite climate change and the optimal adaptation pathways for different funding levels. Finally, we consider whether larger flexibility in terms of when to adapt the reserve network by providing a one-off discounted payment instead of regular payment improves the outcome achieved. We find that the optimisation procedure is suitable to identify adaptation pathways as the outcome is improved, especially for habitat types that become increasingly threatened. Initially providing a one-off discounted payment instead of regular payments leads to higher habitat protection. In order to facilitate future research, we provide the code of the optimisation on request.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667259623000103Conservation planningGoal programmingRD ProblemSpatio-temporal changes |
| spellingShingle | Charlotte Gerling Oliver Schöttker John Hearne The multi-period reserve design problem under climate change Sustainability Analytics and Modeling Conservation planning Goal programming RD Problem Spatio-temporal changes |
| title | The multi-period reserve design problem under climate change |
| title_full | The multi-period reserve design problem under climate change |
| title_fullStr | The multi-period reserve design problem under climate change |
| title_full_unstemmed | The multi-period reserve design problem under climate change |
| title_short | The multi-period reserve design problem under climate change |
| title_sort | multi period reserve design problem under climate change |
| topic | Conservation planning Goal programming RD Problem Spatio-temporal changes |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667259623000103 |
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