Il Piano ex post.
The five-year period covered by Italy’s first national economic Plan came to an end in December last year, so now it is possible to make a limited statistical assessment ex post of its results. The author confines comments to a few of the quantitative forecasts made, without analysing the cause of t...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Italian |
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Associazione Economia civile
2014-08-01
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| Series: | Moneta e Credito |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://rosa.uniroma1.it/rosa04/moneta_e_credito/article/view/12562 |
| _version_ | 1811172739780706304 |
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| author | A. CAMPOLONGO |
| author_facet | A. CAMPOLONGO |
| author_sort | A. CAMPOLONGO |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The five-year period covered by Italy’s first national economic Plan came to an end in December last year, so now it is possible to make a limited statistical assessment ex post of its results. The author confines comments to a few of the quantitative forecasts made, without analysing the cause of the divergence between forecasts and actual performance. Some of the Plan’s forecasts were confirmed or even exceeded by the actual performance: growth rate of GNP, expansion of the industrial and tertiary sectors, private saving, foreign trade and overall surplus of the balance of payments. Others, on the contrary, failed more or less seriously to materialise: employment, price stability, the gap in the Mezzogiorno, propensity to consume, public saving, financing of investments and exports of capital.
JEL: E60, E24, O47, O52
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| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T17:35:24Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-27ed4283a7ad408b9f5584440a6b08a0 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2037-3651 |
| language | Italian |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-10T17:35:24Z |
| publishDate | 2014-08-01 |
| publisher | Associazione Economia civile |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Moneta e Credito |
| spelling | doaj.art-27ed4283a7ad408b9f5584440a6b08a02023-02-03T16:38:16ZitaAssociazione Economia civileMoneta e Credito2037-36512014-08-01249410.13133/2037-3651/12562Il Piano ex post.A. CAMPOLONGOThe five-year period covered by Italy’s first national economic Plan came to an end in December last year, so now it is possible to make a limited statistical assessment ex post of its results. The author confines comments to a few of the quantitative forecasts made, without analysing the cause of the divergence between forecasts and actual performance. Some of the Plan’s forecasts were confirmed or even exceeded by the actual performance: growth rate of GNP, expansion of the industrial and tertiary sectors, private saving, foreign trade and overall surplus of the balance of payments. Others, on the contrary, failed more or less seriously to materialise: employment, price stability, the gap in the Mezzogiorno, propensity to consume, public saving, financing of investments and exports of capital. JEL: E60, E24, O47, O52 https://rosa.uniroma1.it/rosa04/moneta_e_credito/article/view/12562Italystatistical assessmentforecastsgrowthpolicyemployment |
| spellingShingle | A. CAMPOLONGO Il Piano ex post. Moneta e Credito Italy statistical assessment forecasts growth policy employment |
| title | Il Piano ex post. |
| title_full | Il Piano ex post. |
| title_fullStr | Il Piano ex post. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Il Piano ex post. |
| title_short | Il Piano ex post. |
| title_sort | il piano ex post |
| topic | Italy statistical assessment forecasts growth policy employment |
| url | https://rosa.uniroma1.it/rosa04/moneta_e_credito/article/view/12562 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT acampolongo ilpianoexpost |