Comparison of six risk scores for stroke-associated pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke: A systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis

BackgroundStroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) is one of the major causes of death after suffering a stroke. Several scoring systems have been developed for the early prediction of SAP. However, it is unclear which scoring system is more suitable as a risk prediction tool. We performed this Bayesian ne...

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Main Authors: Xuemin Zhang, Lu Xiao, Liqing Niu, Yongchao Tian, Kuang Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-10-01
Series:Frontiers in Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2022.964616/full
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author Xuemin Zhang
Xuemin Zhang
Lu Xiao
Lu Xiao
Liqing Niu
Liqing Niu
Yongchao Tian
Yongchao Tian
Kuang Chen
Kuang Chen
author_facet Xuemin Zhang
Xuemin Zhang
Lu Xiao
Lu Xiao
Liqing Niu
Liqing Niu
Yongchao Tian
Yongchao Tian
Kuang Chen
Kuang Chen
author_sort Xuemin Zhang
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundStroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) is one of the major causes of death after suffering a stroke. Several scoring systems have been developed for the early prediction of SAP. However, it is unclear which scoring system is more suitable as a risk prediction tool. We performed this Bayesian network meta-analysis to compare the prediction accuracy of these scoring systems.MethodsSeven databases were searched from their inception up to April 8, 2022. The risk of bias assessment of included study was evaluated by the QUADAS-C tool. Then, a Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) was performed by R 4.1.3 and STATA 17.0 software. The surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) probability values were applied to rank the examined scoring systems.ResultsA total of 20 cohort studies involving 42,236 participants were included in this analysis. The results of the NMA showed that AIS-APS had excellent performance in prediction accuracy for SAP than Chumbler (MD = 0.030, 95%CI: 0.004, 0.054), A2DS2 (MD = 0.041, 95% CI: 0.023, 0.059), ISAN (MD = 0.045, 95% CI: 0.022, 0.069), Kwon (MD = 0.077, 95% CI: 0.055, 0.099) and PANTHERIS (MD = 0.082, 95% CI: 0.049, 0.114). Based on SUCRA values, AIS-APS (SUCRA: 99.8%) ranked the highest.ConclusionIn conclusion, the study found that the AIS-APS is a validated clinical tool for predicting SAP after the onset of acute ischemic stroke.Systematic review registrationhttps://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/display_record.php?RecordID=292375, identifier: CRD42021292375.
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spelling doaj.art-27fe5441192d4ddd8d77a43264ca747e2022-12-22T03:32:18ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Medicine2296-858X2022-10-01910.3389/fmed.2022.964616964616Comparison of six risk scores for stroke-associated pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke: A systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysisXuemin Zhang0Xuemin Zhang1Lu Xiao2Lu Xiao3Liqing Niu4Liqing Niu5Yongchao Tian6Yongchao Tian7Kuang Chen8Kuang Chen9First Teaching Hospital of Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Tianjin, ChinaNational Clinical Research Center for Chinese Medicine Acupuncture and Moxibustion, Tianjin, ChinaFirst Teaching Hospital of Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Tianjin, ChinaNational Clinical Research Center for Chinese Medicine Acupuncture and Moxibustion, Tianjin, ChinaFirst Teaching Hospital of Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Tianjin, ChinaNational Clinical Research Center for Chinese Medicine Acupuncture and Moxibustion, Tianjin, ChinaFirst Teaching Hospital of Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Tianjin, ChinaNational Clinical Research Center for Chinese Medicine Acupuncture and Moxibustion, Tianjin, ChinaFirst Teaching Hospital of Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Tianjin, ChinaNational Clinical Research Center for Chinese Medicine Acupuncture and Moxibustion, Tianjin, ChinaBackgroundStroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) is one of the major causes of death after suffering a stroke. Several scoring systems have been developed for the early prediction of SAP. However, it is unclear which scoring system is more suitable as a risk prediction tool. We performed this Bayesian network meta-analysis to compare the prediction accuracy of these scoring systems.MethodsSeven databases were searched from their inception up to April 8, 2022. The risk of bias assessment of included study was evaluated by the QUADAS-C tool. Then, a Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) was performed by R 4.1.3 and STATA 17.0 software. The surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) probability values were applied to rank the examined scoring systems.ResultsA total of 20 cohort studies involving 42,236 participants were included in this analysis. The results of the NMA showed that AIS-APS had excellent performance in prediction accuracy for SAP than Chumbler (MD = 0.030, 95%CI: 0.004, 0.054), A2DS2 (MD = 0.041, 95% CI: 0.023, 0.059), ISAN (MD = 0.045, 95% CI: 0.022, 0.069), Kwon (MD = 0.077, 95% CI: 0.055, 0.099) and PANTHERIS (MD = 0.082, 95% CI: 0.049, 0.114). Based on SUCRA values, AIS-APS (SUCRA: 99.8%) ranked the highest.ConclusionIn conclusion, the study found that the AIS-APS is a validated clinical tool for predicting SAP after the onset of acute ischemic stroke.Systematic review registrationhttps://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/display_record.php?RecordID=292375, identifier: CRD42021292375.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2022.964616/fullrisk predictionrisk scoreischemic stroke (IS)network meta-analysisstroke-associated pneumonia (SAP)
spellingShingle Xuemin Zhang
Xuemin Zhang
Lu Xiao
Lu Xiao
Liqing Niu
Liqing Niu
Yongchao Tian
Yongchao Tian
Kuang Chen
Kuang Chen
Comparison of six risk scores for stroke-associated pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke: A systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis
Frontiers in Medicine
risk prediction
risk score
ischemic stroke (IS)
network meta-analysis
stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP)
title Comparison of six risk scores for stroke-associated pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke: A systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis
title_full Comparison of six risk scores for stroke-associated pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke: A systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis
title_fullStr Comparison of six risk scores for stroke-associated pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke: A systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis
title_full_unstemmed Comparison of six risk scores for stroke-associated pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke: A systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis
title_short Comparison of six risk scores for stroke-associated pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke: A systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis
title_sort comparison of six risk scores for stroke associated pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke a systematic review and bayesian network meta analysis
topic risk prediction
risk score
ischemic stroke (IS)
network meta-analysis
stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP)
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2022.964616/full
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