CO<sub>2</sub> Emissions Accounting and Carbon Peak Prediction of China’s Papermaking Industry
China has been the world’s largest producer and consumer of paper products. In the context of the “carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals”, China’s papermaking industry which is traditionally a high energy-consuming and high-emissions industry, desperately needs a nationally appropriate low-carb...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2022-11-01
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| Series: | Forests |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/13/11/1856 |
| _version_ | 1797468210881101824 |
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| author | Jiameng Yang Yuchen Hua Jiarong Ye Shiying Xu Zhiyong (John) Liu |
| author_facet | Jiameng Yang Yuchen Hua Jiarong Ye Shiying Xu Zhiyong (John) Liu |
| author_sort | Jiameng Yang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | China has been the world’s largest producer and consumer of paper products. In the context of the “carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals”, China’s papermaking industry which is traditionally a high energy-consuming and high-emissions industry, desperately needs a nationally appropriate low-carbon development path. From the consumption-side perspective, this paper calculates the CO<sub>2</sub> emissions of China’s papermaking industry from 2000 to 2019 by using carbon emission nuclear algorithm, grain-straw ratio, first-order attenuation method, and STIRFDT decomposition model, etc., to further explore the core stages and basic patterns affecting the industry’s carbon peaking. The results show that the total CO<sub>2</sub> emissions of China’s papermaking industry showed an upward trend from 2000–2013, stable from 2013–2017, and a steady but slight decline from 2017–2019. Meanwhile, the total CO<sub>2</sub> emissions of the full life cycle of paper products in China have decreased to a certain extent in the raw material acquisition, pulp, and paper making and shipping stages, with only the waste paper disposal stage showing a particular upward trend. We find that from 2000 to 2019, China’s CO<sub>2</sub> emissions in the pulping and papermaking stage of paper products accounted for 68% of the total emissions in the whole life cycle, of which 59% was caused by coal consumption. Moreover, the scenario prediction shows that improving the energy structure and increasing the waste paper recovery rate can reduce the CO<sub>2</sub> emissions of the industry, and it is more significant when both work. Based on this and the four core stages of CO<sub>2</sub> emissions of the papermaking industry we proposed ways to promote CO<sub>2</sub> emissions peaking of China’s paper products. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T19:04:16Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-281d7ae4deb84c61b875b11476893e99 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1999-4907 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T19:04:16Z |
| publishDate | 2022-11-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Forests |
| spelling | doaj.art-281d7ae4deb84c61b875b11476893e992023-11-24T04:44:23ZengMDPI AGForests1999-49072022-11-011311185610.3390/f13111856CO<sub>2</sub> Emissions Accounting and Carbon Peak Prediction of China’s Papermaking IndustryJiameng Yang0Yuchen Hua1Jiarong Ye2Shiying Xu3Zhiyong (John) Liu4College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, ChinaCollege of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, ChinaCollege of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, ChinaCollege of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, ChinaNetworks Financial Institute, Donald W. Scott College of Business, Indiana State University, 30 N 7th St., Terre Haute, IN 47809, USAChina has been the world’s largest producer and consumer of paper products. In the context of the “carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals”, China’s papermaking industry which is traditionally a high energy-consuming and high-emissions industry, desperately needs a nationally appropriate low-carbon development path. From the consumption-side perspective, this paper calculates the CO<sub>2</sub> emissions of China’s papermaking industry from 2000 to 2019 by using carbon emission nuclear algorithm, grain-straw ratio, first-order attenuation method, and STIRFDT decomposition model, etc., to further explore the core stages and basic patterns affecting the industry’s carbon peaking. The results show that the total CO<sub>2</sub> emissions of China’s papermaking industry showed an upward trend from 2000–2013, stable from 2013–2017, and a steady but slight decline from 2017–2019. Meanwhile, the total CO<sub>2</sub> emissions of the full life cycle of paper products in China have decreased to a certain extent in the raw material acquisition, pulp, and paper making and shipping stages, with only the waste paper disposal stage showing a particular upward trend. We find that from 2000 to 2019, China’s CO<sub>2</sub> emissions in the pulping and papermaking stage of paper products accounted for 68% of the total emissions in the whole life cycle, of which 59% was caused by coal consumption. Moreover, the scenario prediction shows that improving the energy structure and increasing the waste paper recovery rate can reduce the CO<sub>2</sub> emissions of the industry, and it is more significant when both work. Based on this and the four core stages of CO<sub>2</sub> emissions of the papermaking industry we proposed ways to promote CO<sub>2</sub> emissions peaking of China’s paper products.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/13/11/1856paper and paper productsLCACO<sub>2</sub> emissionscarbon peaking |
| spellingShingle | Jiameng Yang Yuchen Hua Jiarong Ye Shiying Xu Zhiyong (John) Liu CO<sub>2</sub> Emissions Accounting and Carbon Peak Prediction of China’s Papermaking Industry Forests paper and paper products LCA CO<sub>2</sub> emissions carbon peaking |
| title | CO<sub>2</sub> Emissions Accounting and Carbon Peak Prediction of China’s Papermaking Industry |
| title_full | CO<sub>2</sub> Emissions Accounting and Carbon Peak Prediction of China’s Papermaking Industry |
| title_fullStr | CO<sub>2</sub> Emissions Accounting and Carbon Peak Prediction of China’s Papermaking Industry |
| title_full_unstemmed | CO<sub>2</sub> Emissions Accounting and Carbon Peak Prediction of China’s Papermaking Industry |
| title_short | CO<sub>2</sub> Emissions Accounting and Carbon Peak Prediction of China’s Papermaking Industry |
| title_sort | co sub 2 sub emissions accounting and carbon peak prediction of china s papermaking industry |
| topic | paper and paper products LCA CO<sub>2</sub> emissions carbon peaking |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/13/11/1856 |
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