A Method for the Modified Estimation of Oil Shale Mineable Reserves for Shale Oil Projects: A Case Study

The amount if oil shale resources throughout the world has been roughly estimated in accordance with various resource estimation methods. However, in some instances, detailed and comprehensive supporting methodologies for the estimation of commercial shale oil reserves have not been presented. The g...

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Main Authors: Sergei Sabanov, Abdullah Rasheed Qureshi, Zhaudir Dauitbay, Gulim Kurmangazy
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-08-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/16/5853
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author Sergei Sabanov
Abdullah Rasheed Qureshi
Zhaudir Dauitbay
Gulim Kurmangazy
author_facet Sergei Sabanov
Abdullah Rasheed Qureshi
Zhaudir Dauitbay
Gulim Kurmangazy
author_sort Sergei Sabanov
collection DOAJ
description The amount if oil shale resources throughout the world has been roughly estimated in accordance with various resource estimation methods. However, in some instances, detailed and comprehensive supporting methodologies for the estimation of commercial shale oil reserves have not been presented. The goal of this study is to develop a comprehensive method for the modified estimation of oil shale mineable reserves for shale oil projects. The methodology characterises oil shale according to its calorific value, oil content, conditional organic mass, and ash content by utilising a Monte Carlo simulation. Based on the results of the case study, the developed method proposes considering the relationships of the in situ oil shale grade and tonnage material (oil shale + limestone) to the oil retorting feed material grade and tonnage by taking into account the retorting plant oil recovery. For this purpose, a Monte Carlo stochastic modelling algorithm was developed. Based on the data analysis, a modifying factor to convert mineral reserves to petroleum reserves was produced. The results of this study are useful for feasibility studies that estimate oil shale reserves in relation to justifying their utilisation fields. Some oil shale deposits have good potential for development but need to be re-estimated in accordance with the most sophisticated extraction and processing technologies.
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spelling doaj.art-2843ad1a3cb54e4baa1af0721ee7e97f2023-11-19T00:55:05ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732023-08-011616585310.3390/en16165853A Method for the Modified Estimation of Oil Shale Mineable Reserves for Shale Oil Projects: A Case StudySergei Sabanov0Abdullah Rasheed Qureshi1Zhaudir Dauitbay2Gulim Kurmangazy3School of Mining and Geosciences, Nazarbayev University, Astana 010000, KazakhstanSchool of Mining and Geosciences, Nazarbayev University, Astana 010000, KazakhstanSchool of Mining and Geosciences, Nazarbayev University, Astana 010000, KazakhstanSchool of Mining and Geosciences, Nazarbayev University, Astana 010000, KazakhstanThe amount if oil shale resources throughout the world has been roughly estimated in accordance with various resource estimation methods. However, in some instances, detailed and comprehensive supporting methodologies for the estimation of commercial shale oil reserves have not been presented. The goal of this study is to develop a comprehensive method for the modified estimation of oil shale mineable reserves for shale oil projects. The methodology characterises oil shale according to its calorific value, oil content, conditional organic mass, and ash content by utilising a Monte Carlo simulation. Based on the results of the case study, the developed method proposes considering the relationships of the in situ oil shale grade and tonnage material (oil shale + limestone) to the oil retorting feed material grade and tonnage by taking into account the retorting plant oil recovery. For this purpose, a Monte Carlo stochastic modelling algorithm was developed. Based on the data analysis, a modifying factor to convert mineral reserves to petroleum reserves was produced. The results of this study are useful for feasibility studies that estimate oil shale reserves in relation to justifying their utilisation fields. Some oil shale deposits have good potential for development but need to be re-estimated in accordance with the most sophisticated extraction and processing technologies.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/16/5853oil shaleretortingoil reservescalorific valuea modifying factor
spellingShingle Sergei Sabanov
Abdullah Rasheed Qureshi
Zhaudir Dauitbay
Gulim Kurmangazy
A Method for the Modified Estimation of Oil Shale Mineable Reserves for Shale Oil Projects: A Case Study
Energies
oil shale
retorting
oil reserves
calorific value
a modifying factor
title A Method for the Modified Estimation of Oil Shale Mineable Reserves for Shale Oil Projects: A Case Study
title_full A Method for the Modified Estimation of Oil Shale Mineable Reserves for Shale Oil Projects: A Case Study
title_fullStr A Method for the Modified Estimation of Oil Shale Mineable Reserves for Shale Oil Projects: A Case Study
title_full_unstemmed A Method for the Modified Estimation of Oil Shale Mineable Reserves for Shale Oil Projects: A Case Study
title_short A Method for the Modified Estimation of Oil Shale Mineable Reserves for Shale Oil Projects: A Case Study
title_sort method for the modified estimation of oil shale mineable reserves for shale oil projects a case study
topic oil shale
retorting
oil reserves
calorific value
a modifying factor
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/16/5853
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