Associations between SARS-CoV-2 infection and incidence of new chronic condition diagnoses: a systematic review

ABSTRACTBecause of the large number of infected individuals, an estimate of the future burdens of the long-term consequences of SARS-CoV-2 infection is needed. This systematic review examined associations between SARS-CoV-2 infection and incidence of categories of and selected chronic conditions, by...

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Main Authors: Lindsay A. Gaudet, Jennifer Pillay, Sabrina Saba, Dianne Zakaria, Nicholas Cheta, Hélène Gardiner, Larry Shaver, Jacqueline Middleton, Maria Tan, Ben Vandermeer, Lisa Hartling
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2023-12-01
Series:Emerging Microbes and Infections
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/22221751.2023.2204166
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author Lindsay A. Gaudet
Jennifer Pillay
Sabrina Saba
Dianne Zakaria
Nicholas Cheta
Hélène Gardiner
Larry Shaver
Jacqueline Middleton
Maria Tan
Ben Vandermeer
Lisa Hartling
author_facet Lindsay A. Gaudet
Jennifer Pillay
Sabrina Saba
Dianne Zakaria
Nicholas Cheta
Hélène Gardiner
Larry Shaver
Jacqueline Middleton
Maria Tan
Ben Vandermeer
Lisa Hartling
author_sort Lindsay A. Gaudet
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACTBecause of the large number of infected individuals, an estimate of the future burdens of the long-term consequences of SARS-CoV-2 infection is needed. This systematic review examined associations between SARS-CoV-2 infection and incidence of categories of and selected chronic conditions, by age and severity of infection (inpatient vs. outpatient/mixed care). MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched (1 January 2020 to 4 October 2022) and reference lists scanned. We included observational studies from high-income OECD countries with a control group adjusting for sex and comorbidities. Identified records underwent a two-stage screening process. Two reviewers screened 50% of titles/abstracts, after which DistillerAI acted as second reviewer. Two reviewers then screened the full texts of stage one selections. One reviewer extracted data and assessed risk of bias; results were verified by another. Random-effects meta-analysis estimated pooled hazard ratios (HR). GRADE assessed certainty of the evidence. Twenty-five studies were included. Among the outpatient/mixed SARS-CoV-2 care group, there is high certainty of a small-to-moderate increase (i.e. HR 1.26–1.99) among adults ≥65 years of any cardiovascular condition, and of little-to-no difference (i.e. HR 0.75–1.25) in anxiety disorders for individuals <18, 18–64, and ≥65 years old. Among 18–64 and ≥65 year-olds receiving outpatient/mixed care there are probably (moderate certainty) large increases (i.e. HR ≥2.0) in encephalopathy, interstitial lung disease, and respiratory failure. After SARS-CoV-2 infection, there is probably an increased risk of diagnoses for some chronic conditions; whether the magnitude of risk will remain stable into the future is uncertain.
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spelling doaj.art-28529edee6f2439da05e42a31483d0932023-10-23T17:36:55ZengTaylor & Francis GroupEmerging Microbes and Infections2222-17512023-12-0112110.1080/22221751.2023.2204166Associations between SARS-CoV-2 infection and incidence of new chronic condition diagnoses: a systematic reviewLindsay A. Gaudet0Jennifer Pillay1Sabrina Saba2Dianne Zakaria3Nicholas Cheta4Hélène Gardiner5Larry Shaver6Jacqueline Middleton7Maria Tan8Ben Vandermeer9Lisa Hartling10Alberta Research Center for Health Evidence, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, CanadaAlberta Research Center for Health Evidence, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, CanadaAlberta Research Center for Health Evidence, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, CanadaPublic Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, ON, CanadaPublic Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, ON, CanadaPublic Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, ON, CanadaPublic Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, ON, CanadaPublic Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, ON, CanadaAlberta Research Center for Health Evidence, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, CanadaEpidemiology Coordinating and Research Centre, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, CanadaAlberta Research Center for Health Evidence, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, CanadaABSTRACTBecause of the large number of infected individuals, an estimate of the future burdens of the long-term consequences of SARS-CoV-2 infection is needed. This systematic review examined associations between SARS-CoV-2 infection and incidence of categories of and selected chronic conditions, by age and severity of infection (inpatient vs. outpatient/mixed care). MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched (1 January 2020 to 4 October 2022) and reference lists scanned. We included observational studies from high-income OECD countries with a control group adjusting for sex and comorbidities. Identified records underwent a two-stage screening process. Two reviewers screened 50% of titles/abstracts, after which DistillerAI acted as second reviewer. Two reviewers then screened the full texts of stage one selections. One reviewer extracted data and assessed risk of bias; results were verified by another. Random-effects meta-analysis estimated pooled hazard ratios (HR). GRADE assessed certainty of the evidence. Twenty-five studies were included. Among the outpatient/mixed SARS-CoV-2 care group, there is high certainty of a small-to-moderate increase (i.e. HR 1.26–1.99) among adults ≥65 years of any cardiovascular condition, and of little-to-no difference (i.e. HR 0.75–1.25) in anxiety disorders for individuals <18, 18–64, and ≥65 years old. Among 18–64 and ≥65 year-olds receiving outpatient/mixed care there are probably (moderate certainty) large increases (i.e. HR ≥2.0) in encephalopathy, interstitial lung disease, and respiratory failure. After SARS-CoV-2 infection, there is probably an increased risk of diagnoses for some chronic conditions; whether the magnitude of risk will remain stable into the future is uncertain.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/22221751.2023.2204166COVID-19SARS-CoV-2incidencechronic conditionssystematic reviewmeta-analysis
spellingShingle Lindsay A. Gaudet
Jennifer Pillay
Sabrina Saba
Dianne Zakaria
Nicholas Cheta
Hélène Gardiner
Larry Shaver
Jacqueline Middleton
Maria Tan
Ben Vandermeer
Lisa Hartling
Associations between SARS-CoV-2 infection and incidence of new chronic condition diagnoses: a systematic review
Emerging Microbes and Infections
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
incidence
chronic conditions
systematic review
meta-analysis
title Associations between SARS-CoV-2 infection and incidence of new chronic condition diagnoses: a systematic review
title_full Associations between SARS-CoV-2 infection and incidence of new chronic condition diagnoses: a systematic review
title_fullStr Associations between SARS-CoV-2 infection and incidence of new chronic condition diagnoses: a systematic review
title_full_unstemmed Associations between SARS-CoV-2 infection and incidence of new chronic condition diagnoses: a systematic review
title_short Associations between SARS-CoV-2 infection and incidence of new chronic condition diagnoses: a systematic review
title_sort associations between sars cov 2 infection and incidence of new chronic condition diagnoses a systematic review
topic COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
incidence
chronic conditions
systematic review
meta-analysis
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/22221751.2023.2204166
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