Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩

Introduction: Risk stratification of patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is crucial in deciding appropriate therapy management. Shock index (SI) is rapidly available and a reliable parameter. We aimed to investigate SI for short term outcome in acute PE. Materials and methods: Data of 182 p...

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Main Authors: Karsten Keller, Meike Coldewey, Martin Geyer, Johannes Beule, Jörn Oliver Balzer, Wolfgang Dippold
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2016-06-01
Series:Artery Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125925016/view
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author Karsten Keller
Meike Coldewey
Martin Geyer
Johannes Beule
Jörn Oliver Balzer
Wolfgang Dippold
author_facet Karsten Keller
Meike Coldewey
Martin Geyer
Johannes Beule
Jörn Oliver Balzer
Wolfgang Dippold
author_sort Karsten Keller
collection DOAJ
description Introduction: Risk stratification of patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is crucial in deciding appropriate therapy management. Shock index (SI) is rapidly available and a reliable parameter. We aimed to investigate SI for short term outcome in acute PE. Materials and methods: Data of 182 patients with acute PE were analysed retrospectively. SI was defined as heart rate divided by systolic blood pressure. Logistic regression models were calculated to investigate associations between SI and in-hospital-death, myocardial necrosis and presence of right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) respectively. Moreover ROC curves and cut-off values for SI predicting in-hospital death, myocardial necrosis and RVD were computed. Results: 182 patients (61.5% female, mean age 68.5 ± 15.3 years) with acute PE event were included in the study. 5 patients (2.7%) died an in-hospital death. Logistic regression models revealed an association between SI and respectively in-hospital death (OR 5.854, 95% CI 1.876–18.274, P = 0.00234), myocardial necrosis (OR 5.043, 95% CI 1.362–18.674, P = 0.0154) and RVD (OR 53.539, 95% CI 6.810–420.914, P = 0.000155). ROC analysis for SI predicting in-hospital death, myocardial necrosis and RVD revealed an AUC of 0.806, 0.636 and 0.713 respectively with respectively SI cut-off values of 0.89, 0.75 and 0.54. Conclusions: SI is a significant predictor of in-hospital death, myocardial necrosis and RVD. The effectiveness of SI to predict in-hospital death is high with an optimal cut-off value of 0.89 for differentiation between PE patients with lower and higher risk to die in hospital after acute PE event.
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spelling doaj.art-288b523067aa4b7f9b8a97dd4adfdb5f2022-12-22T03:25:03ZengBMCArtery Research1876-44012016-06-011510.1016/j.artres.2016.05.002Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩Karsten KellerMeike ColdeweyMartin GeyerJohannes BeuleJörn Oliver BalzerWolfgang DippoldIntroduction: Risk stratification of patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is crucial in deciding appropriate therapy management. Shock index (SI) is rapidly available and a reliable parameter. We aimed to investigate SI for short term outcome in acute PE. Materials and methods: Data of 182 patients with acute PE were analysed retrospectively. SI was defined as heart rate divided by systolic blood pressure. Logistic regression models were calculated to investigate associations between SI and in-hospital-death, myocardial necrosis and presence of right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) respectively. Moreover ROC curves and cut-off values for SI predicting in-hospital death, myocardial necrosis and RVD were computed. Results: 182 patients (61.5% female, mean age 68.5 ± 15.3 years) with acute PE event were included in the study. 5 patients (2.7%) died an in-hospital death. Logistic regression models revealed an association between SI and respectively in-hospital death (OR 5.854, 95% CI 1.876–18.274, P = 0.00234), myocardial necrosis (OR 5.043, 95% CI 1.362–18.674, P = 0.0154) and RVD (OR 53.539, 95% CI 6.810–420.914, P = 0.000155). ROC analysis for SI predicting in-hospital death, myocardial necrosis and RVD revealed an AUC of 0.806, 0.636 and 0.713 respectively with respectively SI cut-off values of 0.89, 0.75 and 0.54. Conclusions: SI is a significant predictor of in-hospital death, myocardial necrosis and RVD. The effectiveness of SI to predict in-hospital death is high with an optimal cut-off value of 0.89 for differentiation between PE patients with lower and higher risk to die in hospital after acute PE event.https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125925016/viewShock indexTachycardiaBlood pressureThrombosisEmbolismRight ventricular dysfunction
spellingShingle Karsten Keller
Meike Coldewey
Martin Geyer
Johannes Beule
Jörn Oliver Balzer
Wolfgang Dippold
Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩
Artery Research
Shock index
Tachycardia
Blood pressure
Thrombosis
Embolism
Right ventricular dysfunction
title Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩
title_full Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩
title_fullStr Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩
title_full_unstemmed Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩
title_short Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩
title_sort shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩
topic Shock index
Tachycardia
Blood pressure
Thrombosis
Embolism
Right ventricular dysfunction
url https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125925016/view
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AT johannesbeule shockindexforoutcomeandriskstratificationinacutepulmonaryembolism
AT jornoliverbalzer shockindexforoutcomeandriskstratificationinacutepulmonaryembolism
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