Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩
Introduction: Risk stratification of patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is crucial in deciding appropriate therapy management. Shock index (SI) is rapidly available and a reliable parameter. We aimed to investigate SI for short term outcome in acute PE. Materials and methods: Data of 182 p...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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BMC
2016-06-01
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Series: | Artery Research |
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Online Access: | https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125925016/view |
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author | Karsten Keller Meike Coldewey Martin Geyer Johannes Beule Jörn Oliver Balzer Wolfgang Dippold |
author_facet | Karsten Keller Meike Coldewey Martin Geyer Johannes Beule Jörn Oliver Balzer Wolfgang Dippold |
author_sort | Karsten Keller |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Introduction: Risk stratification of patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is crucial in deciding appropriate therapy management. Shock index (SI) is rapidly available and a reliable parameter. We aimed to investigate SI for short term outcome in acute PE.
Materials and methods: Data of 182 patients with acute PE were analysed retrospectively. SI was defined as heart rate divided by systolic blood pressure. Logistic regression models were calculated to investigate associations between SI and in-hospital-death, myocardial necrosis and presence of right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) respectively. Moreover ROC curves and cut-off values for SI predicting in-hospital death, myocardial necrosis and RVD were computed.
Results: 182 patients (61.5% female, mean age 68.5 ± 15.3 years) with acute PE event were included in the study. 5 patients (2.7%) died an in-hospital death.
Logistic regression models revealed an association between SI and respectively in-hospital death (OR 5.854, 95% CI 1.876–18.274, P = 0.00234), myocardial necrosis (OR 5.043, 95% CI 1.362–18.674, P = 0.0154) and RVD (OR 53.539, 95% CI 6.810–420.914, P = 0.000155).
ROC analysis for SI predicting in-hospital death, myocardial necrosis and RVD revealed an AUC of 0.806, 0.636 and 0.713 respectively with respectively SI cut-off values of 0.89, 0.75 and 0.54.
Conclusions: SI is a significant predictor of in-hospital death, myocardial necrosis and RVD. The effectiveness of SI to predict in-hospital death is high with an optimal cut-off value of 0.89 for differentiation between PE patients with lower and higher risk to die in hospital after acute PE event. |
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id | doaj.art-288b523067aa4b7f9b8a97dd4adfdb5f |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1876-4401 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-12T16:33:35Z |
publishDate | 2016-06-01 |
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series | Artery Research |
spelling | doaj.art-288b523067aa4b7f9b8a97dd4adfdb5f2022-12-22T03:25:03ZengBMCArtery Research1876-44012016-06-011510.1016/j.artres.2016.05.002Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩Karsten KellerMeike ColdeweyMartin GeyerJohannes BeuleJörn Oliver BalzerWolfgang DippoldIntroduction: Risk stratification of patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is crucial in deciding appropriate therapy management. Shock index (SI) is rapidly available and a reliable parameter. We aimed to investigate SI for short term outcome in acute PE. Materials and methods: Data of 182 patients with acute PE were analysed retrospectively. SI was defined as heart rate divided by systolic blood pressure. Logistic regression models were calculated to investigate associations between SI and in-hospital-death, myocardial necrosis and presence of right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) respectively. Moreover ROC curves and cut-off values for SI predicting in-hospital death, myocardial necrosis and RVD were computed. Results: 182 patients (61.5% female, mean age 68.5 ± 15.3 years) with acute PE event were included in the study. 5 patients (2.7%) died an in-hospital death. Logistic regression models revealed an association between SI and respectively in-hospital death (OR 5.854, 95% CI 1.876–18.274, P = 0.00234), myocardial necrosis (OR 5.043, 95% CI 1.362–18.674, P = 0.0154) and RVD (OR 53.539, 95% CI 6.810–420.914, P = 0.000155). ROC analysis for SI predicting in-hospital death, myocardial necrosis and RVD revealed an AUC of 0.806, 0.636 and 0.713 respectively with respectively SI cut-off values of 0.89, 0.75 and 0.54. Conclusions: SI is a significant predictor of in-hospital death, myocardial necrosis and RVD. The effectiveness of SI to predict in-hospital death is high with an optimal cut-off value of 0.89 for differentiation between PE patients with lower and higher risk to die in hospital after acute PE event.https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125925016/viewShock indexTachycardiaBlood pressureThrombosisEmbolismRight ventricular dysfunction |
spellingShingle | Karsten Keller Meike Coldewey Martin Geyer Johannes Beule Jörn Oliver Balzer Wolfgang Dippold Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩ Artery Research Shock index Tachycardia Blood pressure Thrombosis Embolism Right ventricular dysfunction |
title | Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩ |
title_full | Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩ |
title_fullStr | Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩ |
title_full_unstemmed | Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩ |
title_short | Shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩ |
title_sort | shock index for outcome and risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism✩ |
topic | Shock index Tachycardia Blood pressure Thrombosis Embolism Right ventricular dysfunction |
url | https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125925016/view |
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