VOLATILITY, PRICE TRANSMISSION AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVER ANALYSIS OF TOMATO IN MALANG AND KEDIRI REGENCIES

Fluctuation on tomatoes’ prices is considered unstable as well as unpredictable due to several obstructions on demands and supply, which are deemed to yield a price volatility. The indefinite and erratic price, in addition, opens a possibility for sellers to manipulate a couple of information relate...

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Main Authors: Amylia Rahma Nurbani, Ratya Anindita, Suhartini Suhartini
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Brawijaya 2016-12-01
Series:AGRISE
Online Access:https://agrise.ub.ac.id/index.php/agrise/article/view/193
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author Amylia Rahma Nurbani
Ratya Anindita
Suhartini Suhartini
author_facet Amylia Rahma Nurbani
Ratya Anindita
Suhartini Suhartini
author_sort Amylia Rahma Nurbani
collection DOAJ
description Fluctuation on tomatoes’ prices is considered unstable as well as unpredictable due to several obstructions on demands and supply, which are deemed to yield a price volatility. The indefinite and erratic price, in addition, opens a possibility for sellers to manipulate a couple of information related to the price so that consumers will not be transmitted to the price that has been collectively decided by farmers. This research aimed at analyzing the volatility, price transmission, and spillover volatility of tomatoes in Malang and Kediri Regencies, considering both the regencies are the biggest tomato producers within East Java. Furthermore, for data analysis, historical volatility approach was employed to measure the volatility, simple regression of Ordinary Least Square Method to measure the price transmission, and GARCH regression method for spillover volatility measurement. The research, moreover, unveiled that the price volatility, within the context of producers and consumers from the both regencies, increased significantly. In addition, the price transmission also happened to occur between the consumer and the producer prices in Malang Regency as that of in Kediri Regency. Besides, the typical condition also occurred, in terms of spillover volatility, engaging the consumer and the producer prices in both the regencies.
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spelling doaj.art-28d0f55a1fed440aa6ead20e51f078272022-12-21T18:55:52ZengUniversity of BrawijayaAGRISE1412-14252252-67572016-12-011625259170VOLATILITY, PRICE TRANSMISSION AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVER ANALYSIS OF TOMATO IN MALANG AND KEDIRI REGENCIESAmylia Rahma Nurbani0Ratya Anindita1Suhartini Suhartini2Master Student, Department of Agriculture Economic, Brawijaya UniversityLecturer , Department of Agriculture Economic, BrawijayaUniversityLecturer , Department of Agriculture Economic, BrawijayaUniversityFluctuation on tomatoes’ prices is considered unstable as well as unpredictable due to several obstructions on demands and supply, which are deemed to yield a price volatility. The indefinite and erratic price, in addition, opens a possibility for sellers to manipulate a couple of information related to the price so that consumers will not be transmitted to the price that has been collectively decided by farmers. This research aimed at analyzing the volatility, price transmission, and spillover volatility of tomatoes in Malang and Kediri Regencies, considering both the regencies are the biggest tomato producers within East Java. Furthermore, for data analysis, historical volatility approach was employed to measure the volatility, simple regression of Ordinary Least Square Method to measure the price transmission, and GARCH regression method for spillover volatility measurement. The research, moreover, unveiled that the price volatility, within the context of producers and consumers from the both regencies, increased significantly. In addition, the price transmission also happened to occur between the consumer and the producer prices in Malang Regency as that of in Kediri Regency. Besides, the typical condition also occurred, in terms of spillover volatility, engaging the consumer and the producer prices in both the regencies.https://agrise.ub.ac.id/index.php/agrise/article/view/193
spellingShingle Amylia Rahma Nurbani
Ratya Anindita
Suhartini Suhartini
VOLATILITY, PRICE TRANSMISSION AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVER ANALYSIS OF TOMATO IN MALANG AND KEDIRI REGENCIES
AGRISE
title VOLATILITY, PRICE TRANSMISSION AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVER ANALYSIS OF TOMATO IN MALANG AND KEDIRI REGENCIES
title_full VOLATILITY, PRICE TRANSMISSION AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVER ANALYSIS OF TOMATO IN MALANG AND KEDIRI REGENCIES
title_fullStr VOLATILITY, PRICE TRANSMISSION AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVER ANALYSIS OF TOMATO IN MALANG AND KEDIRI REGENCIES
title_full_unstemmed VOLATILITY, PRICE TRANSMISSION AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVER ANALYSIS OF TOMATO IN MALANG AND KEDIRI REGENCIES
title_short VOLATILITY, PRICE TRANSMISSION AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVER ANALYSIS OF TOMATO IN MALANG AND KEDIRI REGENCIES
title_sort volatility price transmission and volatility spillover analysis of tomato in malang and kediri regencies
url https://agrise.ub.ac.id/index.php/agrise/article/view/193
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AT ratyaanindita volatilitypricetransmissionandvolatilityspilloveranalysisoftomatoinmalangandkediriregencies
AT suhartinisuhartini volatilitypricetransmissionandvolatilityspilloveranalysisoftomatoinmalangandkediriregencies