Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach
General circulation models (GCMs) are an important tool in the assessment of climate change. These numerical coupled models represent various earth systems including the atmosphere, oceans, land surface and sea-ice and offer considerable potential for the study of climate change and variability. How...
Main Authors: | , |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | fas |
Published: |
University of Tabriz
2017-11-01
|
Series: | نشریه جغرافیا و برنامهریزی |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://geoplanning.tabrizu.ac.ir/article_7030_f31d84d141c1ef5912743426187fd857.pdf |
_version_ | 1797256903790690304 |
---|---|
author | Mostafa Karimi Elahe Ghasemi |
author_facet | Mostafa Karimi Elahe Ghasemi |
author_sort | Mostafa Karimi |
collection | DOAJ |
description | General circulation models (GCMs) are an important tool in the assessment of climate change. These numerical coupled models represent various earth systems including the atmosphere, oceans, land surface and sea-ice and offer considerable potential for the study of climate change and variability. However, they remain relatively coarse in resolution and are unable to resolve significant subgrid scale features such as topography, clouds and land use. Bridging the gap between the resolution of climate models and regional and local scale processes represents a considerable problem for the impact assessment of climate change. Thus, considerable effort in the climate community has focussed on the development of techniques to bridge the gap, known as ‘downscaling’. In this study two statistical downscaling techniques (lars WG and SDSM) and Proportional Downscaling method have been sued , which are combination to TOPSIS approach.The result shows SDSM is more ability technique of downscaling. And climate change will reduce monthly rainfalls up to 39% and increase the temperatures up to 2 °C. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-24T22:29:09Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-292833a2d3d24debb461bfc09d636904 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2008-8078 2717-3534 |
language | fas |
last_indexed | 2024-04-24T22:29:09Z |
publishDate | 2017-11-01 |
publisher | University of Tabriz |
record_format | Article |
series | نشریه جغرافیا و برنامهریزی |
spelling | doaj.art-292833a2d3d24debb461bfc09d6369042024-03-19T21:58:26ZfasUniversity of Tabrizنشریه جغرافیا و برنامهریزی2008-80782717-35342017-11-0121613413612-207030Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making ApproachMostafa Karimi0Elahe Ghasemi1استادیار گروه جغرافیای طبیعی دانشگاه تهراندانشجوی دکترای اقلیم شناسی پردیس دانشگاه خوارزمیGeneral circulation models (GCMs) are an important tool in the assessment of climate change. These numerical coupled models represent various earth systems including the atmosphere, oceans, land surface and sea-ice and offer considerable potential for the study of climate change and variability. However, they remain relatively coarse in resolution and are unable to resolve significant subgrid scale features such as topography, clouds and land use. Bridging the gap between the resolution of climate models and regional and local scale processes represents a considerable problem for the impact assessment of climate change. Thus, considerable effort in the climate community has focussed on the development of techniques to bridge the gap, known as ‘downscaling’. In this study two statistical downscaling techniques (lars WG and SDSM) and Proportional Downscaling method have been sued , which are combination to TOPSIS approach.The result shows SDSM is more ability technique of downscaling. And climate change will reduce monthly rainfalls up to 39% and increase the temperatures up to 2 °C.https://geoplanning.tabrizu.ac.ir/article_7030_f31d84d141c1ef5912743426187fd857.pdfaogcmdownscalingtopsiswest azerbaijan |
spellingShingle | Mostafa Karimi Elahe Ghasemi Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach نشریه جغرافیا و برنامهریزی aogcm downscaling topsis west azerbaijan |
title | Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach |
title_full | Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach |
title_fullStr | Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach |
title_full_unstemmed | Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach |
title_short | Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach |
title_sort | assessing climate change by multi criteria decision making approach |
topic | aogcm downscaling topsis west azerbaijan |
url | https://geoplanning.tabrizu.ac.ir/article_7030_f31d84d141c1ef5912743426187fd857.pdf |
work_keys_str_mv | AT mostafakarimi assessingclimatechangebymulticriteriadecisionmakingapproach AT elaheghasemi assessingclimatechangebymulticriteriadecisionmakingapproach |