Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach

General circulation models (GCMs) are an important tool in the assessment of climate change. These numerical coupled models represent various earth systems including the atmosphere, oceans, land surface and sea-ice and offer considerable potential for the study of climate change and variability. How...

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Main Authors: Mostafa Karimi, Elahe Ghasemi
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: University of Tabriz 2017-11-01
Series:نشریه جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی
Subjects:
Online Access:https://geoplanning.tabrizu.ac.ir/article_7030_f31d84d141c1ef5912743426187fd857.pdf
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author Mostafa Karimi
Elahe Ghasemi
author_facet Mostafa Karimi
Elahe Ghasemi
author_sort Mostafa Karimi
collection DOAJ
description General circulation models (GCMs) are an important tool in the assessment of climate change. These numerical coupled models represent various earth systems including the atmosphere, oceans, land surface and sea-ice and offer considerable potential for the study of climate change and variability. However, they remain relatively coarse in resolution and are unable to resolve significant subgrid scale features such as topography, clouds and land use. Bridging the gap between the resolution of climate models and regional and local scale processes represents a considerable problem for the impact assessment of climate change. Thus, considerable effort in the climate community has focussed on the development of techniques to bridge the gap, known as ‘downscaling’. In this study two statistical downscaling techniques (lars WG and SDSM) and Proportional Downscaling  method have been sued  , which are combination to TOPSIS approach.The result shows SDSM is more ability technique of downscaling. And climate change will reduce monthly rainfalls up to 39% and increase the temperatures up to 2 °C.
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spelling doaj.art-292833a2d3d24debb461bfc09d6369042024-03-19T21:58:26ZfasUniversity of Tabrizنشریه جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی2008-80782717-35342017-11-0121613413612-207030Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making ApproachMostafa Karimi0Elahe Ghasemi1استادیار گروه جغرافیای طبیعی دانشگاه تهراندانشجوی دکترای اقلیم شناسی پردیس دانشگاه خوارزمیGeneral circulation models (GCMs) are an important tool in the assessment of climate change. These numerical coupled models represent various earth systems including the atmosphere, oceans, land surface and sea-ice and offer considerable potential for the study of climate change and variability. However, they remain relatively coarse in resolution and are unable to resolve significant subgrid scale features such as topography, clouds and land use. Bridging the gap between the resolution of climate models and regional and local scale processes represents a considerable problem for the impact assessment of climate change. Thus, considerable effort in the climate community has focussed on the development of techniques to bridge the gap, known as ‘downscaling’. In this study two statistical downscaling techniques (lars WG and SDSM) and Proportional Downscaling  method have been sued  , which are combination to TOPSIS approach.The result shows SDSM is more ability technique of downscaling. And climate change will reduce monthly rainfalls up to 39% and increase the temperatures up to 2 °C.https://geoplanning.tabrizu.ac.ir/article_7030_f31d84d141c1ef5912743426187fd857.pdfaogcmdownscalingtopsiswest azerbaijan
spellingShingle Mostafa Karimi
Elahe Ghasemi
Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach
نشریه جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی
aogcm
downscaling
topsis
west azerbaijan
title Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach
title_full Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach
title_fullStr Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach
title_full_unstemmed Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach
title_short Assessing Climate Change by Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach
title_sort assessing climate change by multi criteria decision making approach
topic aogcm
downscaling
topsis
west azerbaijan
url https://geoplanning.tabrizu.ac.ir/article_7030_f31d84d141c1ef5912743426187fd857.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT mostafakarimi assessingclimatechangebymulticriteriadecisionmakingapproach
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