Prediction Performance Comparison of Risk Management and Control Mode in Regional Sites Based on Decision Tree and Neural Network

The traditional risk management and control mode (RMCM) in regional sites has the defects of low efficiency, high cost, and lack of systematism. Trying to resolve these defects and explore the application possibility of machine learning, a characteristic dataset for RMCM in regional sites was establ...

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Main Authors: Wenhui Zhu, Jun He, Hongzhen Zhang, Liang Cheng, Xintong Yang, Xiahui Wang, Guohua Ji
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-05-01
Series:Frontiers in Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2022.892423/full
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author Wenhui Zhu
Jun He
Hongzhen Zhang
Liang Cheng
Xintong Yang
Xiahui Wang
Guohua Ji
author_facet Wenhui Zhu
Jun He
Hongzhen Zhang
Liang Cheng
Xintong Yang
Xiahui Wang
Guohua Ji
author_sort Wenhui Zhu
collection DOAJ
description The traditional risk management and control mode (RMCM) in regional sites has the defects of low efficiency, high cost, and lack of systematism. Trying to resolve these defects and explore the application possibility of machine learning, a characteristic dataset for RMCM in regional sites was established. Three decision tree (DT) algorithms (CHAID, EXHAUSTIVE CHAID, and CART) and two artificial neural network (ANN) algorithms [back propagation (BP) and radial basis function (RBF)] were implemented to predict RMCM in regional sites. The results showed that in the aspects of accuracy (ACC), precision (PRE), recall ratio (REC), and F1 value, CART–DT was superior to CHAID–DT and EXHAUSTIVE CHAID–DT (E-CHAID–DT); and BP–ANN was superior to RBF–ANN. However, CART–DT was inferior to BP–ANN in ACC, PRE, REC, and F1 value. BP–ANN model is good at non-linear mapping, and it has a flexible network structure and a low risk of over-fitting. The case study of a typical county demonstration area confirmed the extensibility of the method, and the method has great potential in RMCM prediction in regional sites in the future.
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spelling doaj.art-2942a98fc7674f308f9d9e44cc74b4822022-12-22T03:23:24ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Public Health2296-25652022-05-011010.3389/fpubh.2022.892423892423Prediction Performance Comparison of Risk Management and Control Mode in Regional Sites Based on Decision Tree and Neural NetworkWenhui ZhuJun HeHongzhen ZhangLiang ChengXintong YangXiahui WangGuohua JiThe traditional risk management and control mode (RMCM) in regional sites has the defects of low efficiency, high cost, and lack of systematism. Trying to resolve these defects and explore the application possibility of machine learning, a characteristic dataset for RMCM in regional sites was established. Three decision tree (DT) algorithms (CHAID, EXHAUSTIVE CHAID, and CART) and two artificial neural network (ANN) algorithms [back propagation (BP) and radial basis function (RBF)] were implemented to predict RMCM in regional sites. The results showed that in the aspects of accuracy (ACC), precision (PRE), recall ratio (REC), and F1 value, CART–DT was superior to CHAID–DT and EXHAUSTIVE CHAID–DT (E-CHAID–DT); and BP–ANN was superior to RBF–ANN. However, CART–DT was inferior to BP–ANN in ACC, PRE, REC, and F1 value. BP–ANN model is good at non-linear mapping, and it has a flexible network structure and a low risk of over-fitting. The case study of a typical county demonstration area confirmed the extensibility of the method, and the method has great potential in RMCM prediction in regional sites in the future.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2022.892423/fulldecision tree (DT)artificial neural network (ANN)regional sitesrisk management and control mode (RMCM)prediction performance
spellingShingle Wenhui Zhu
Jun He
Hongzhen Zhang
Liang Cheng
Xintong Yang
Xiahui Wang
Guohua Ji
Prediction Performance Comparison of Risk Management and Control Mode in Regional Sites Based on Decision Tree and Neural Network
Frontiers in Public Health
decision tree (DT)
artificial neural network (ANN)
regional sites
risk management and control mode (RMCM)
prediction performance
title Prediction Performance Comparison of Risk Management and Control Mode in Regional Sites Based on Decision Tree and Neural Network
title_full Prediction Performance Comparison of Risk Management and Control Mode in Regional Sites Based on Decision Tree and Neural Network
title_fullStr Prediction Performance Comparison of Risk Management and Control Mode in Regional Sites Based on Decision Tree and Neural Network
title_full_unstemmed Prediction Performance Comparison of Risk Management and Control Mode in Regional Sites Based on Decision Tree and Neural Network
title_short Prediction Performance Comparison of Risk Management and Control Mode in Regional Sites Based on Decision Tree and Neural Network
title_sort prediction performance comparison of risk management and control mode in regional sites based on decision tree and neural network
topic decision tree (DT)
artificial neural network (ANN)
regional sites
risk management and control mode (RMCM)
prediction performance
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2022.892423/full
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