Prioritization of forest fire hazard risk simulation using Hybrid Grey Relativity Analysis (HGRA) and Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) coupled with multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques – a comparative study analysis

Forests are important dynamic systems which are widely attracted by wild fires worldwide. Due to the complexity and non-linearity of the causative forest fire problems, employing sophisticated hybrid evolutionary algorithms is a logical task to achieve a reliable approximation of this environmental...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Michael Stanley Peprah, Bernard Kumi-Boateng, Edwin Kojo Larbi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University 2021-11-01
Series:Geodesy and Cartography
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/GAC/article/view/13028
_version_ 1818999610045104128
author Michael Stanley Peprah
Bernard Kumi-Boateng
Edwin Kojo Larbi
author_facet Michael Stanley Peprah
Bernard Kumi-Boateng
Edwin Kojo Larbi
author_sort Michael Stanley Peprah
collection DOAJ
description Forests are important dynamic systems which are widely attracted by wild fires worldwide. Due to the complexity and non-linearity of the causative forest fire problems, employing sophisticated hybrid evolutionary algorithms is a logical task to achieve a reliable approximation of this environmental threats. This estimate will provide the outline of priority areas for preventing activities and allocation of fire fighters’ stations, seeking to minimize possible damages caused by fires. This study aims at prioritizing the forest fire risk of Wassa West district of Ghana. The study considered static causative factors such as Land use and land cover (which include forest, built-ups and settlement areas), slope, aspect, linear features (water bodies and roads) and dynamic causative factors such as wind speed, precipitation, and temperature were used. The methods employed include a Hybrid Grey Relativity Analysis (HGRA) and Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) techniques. The fuzzy sets integrated with AHP in a decision-making algorithm using geographic information system (GIS) was used to model the fire risk in the study area. FAHP and HGRA methods were used for estimating the importance (weights) of the effective factors in forest fire modelling. Based on their modelling methods, the expert ideas were used to express the relative importance and priority of the major criteria and sub-criteria in forest fire risk in the study area. The expert ideas were analyzed based on FAHP and HGRA. The major criteria models and fire risk model were presented based on these FAHP and HGRA weights. On the other hand, the spatial data of the sub criteria were provided and assembled in GIS environment to obtain the sub-criteria maps. Each sub-criterion map was converted to raster format and it was reclassified based on risks of its classes to fire occurrence. The maps of each major criterion were obtained by weighted overlay of its sub criteria maps considering to major criterion model in GIS environment. Finally, the map of fire risk was obtained by weighted overlay of major criteria maps considering to fire risk model in GIS. The results showed that the FAHP model showed superiority than HGRA in prioritizing forest fire risk of the study area in terms of statistical analysis with a standard deviation of 0.09277 m as compared to 0.1122 m respectively. The obtained fire risk map can be used as a decision support system for predicting of the future trends in the study area. The optimized structures of the proposed models could serve as a good alternative to traditional forest predictive models, and this can be a promisingly testament used for future planning and decision making in the proposed areas.
first_indexed 2024-12-20T22:20:09Z
format Article
id doaj.art-2979ea0caa5a45fa93cafffd4699d677
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2029-6991
2029-7009
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-20T22:20:09Z
publishDate 2021-11-01
publisher Vilnius Gediminas Technical University
record_format Article
series Geodesy and Cartography
spelling doaj.art-2979ea0caa5a45fa93cafffd4699d6772022-12-21T19:24:57ZengVilnius Gediminas Technical UniversityGeodesy and Cartography2029-69912029-70092021-11-0147314716110.3846/gac.2021.1302813028Prioritization of forest fire hazard risk simulation using Hybrid Grey Relativity Analysis (HGRA) and Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) coupled with multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques – a comparative study analysisMichael Stanley Peprah0Bernard Kumi-Boateng1Edwin Kojo Larbi2Department of Geomatic Engineering, University of Mines and Technology, Tarkwa, GhanaDepartment of Geomatic Engineering, University of Mines and Technology, Tarkwa, GhanaDepartment of Geomatic Engineering, University of Mines and Technology, Tarkwa, GhanaForests are important dynamic systems which are widely attracted by wild fires worldwide. Due to the complexity and non-linearity of the causative forest fire problems, employing sophisticated hybrid evolutionary algorithms is a logical task to achieve a reliable approximation of this environmental threats. This estimate will provide the outline of priority areas for preventing activities and allocation of fire fighters’ stations, seeking to minimize possible damages caused by fires. This study aims at prioritizing the forest fire risk of Wassa West district of Ghana. The study considered static causative factors such as Land use and land cover (which include forest, built-ups and settlement areas), slope, aspect, linear features (water bodies and roads) and dynamic causative factors such as wind speed, precipitation, and temperature were used. The methods employed include a Hybrid Grey Relativity Analysis (HGRA) and Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) techniques. The fuzzy sets integrated with AHP in a decision-making algorithm using geographic information system (GIS) was used to model the fire risk in the study area. FAHP and HGRA methods were used for estimating the importance (weights) of the effective factors in forest fire modelling. Based on their modelling methods, the expert ideas were used to express the relative importance and priority of the major criteria and sub-criteria in forest fire risk in the study area. The expert ideas were analyzed based on FAHP and HGRA. The major criteria models and fire risk model were presented based on these FAHP and HGRA weights. On the other hand, the spatial data of the sub criteria were provided and assembled in GIS environment to obtain the sub-criteria maps. Each sub-criterion map was converted to raster format and it was reclassified based on risks of its classes to fire occurrence. The maps of each major criterion were obtained by weighted overlay of its sub criteria maps considering to major criterion model in GIS environment. Finally, the map of fire risk was obtained by weighted overlay of major criteria maps considering to fire risk model in GIS. The results showed that the FAHP model showed superiority than HGRA in prioritizing forest fire risk of the study area in terms of statistical analysis with a standard deviation of 0.09277 m as compared to 0.1122 m respectively. The obtained fire risk map can be used as a decision support system for predicting of the future trends in the study area. The optimized structures of the proposed models could serve as a good alternative to traditional forest predictive models, and this can be a promisingly testament used for future planning and decision making in the proposed areas.https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/GAC/article/view/13028fire hazard risk modellingfuzzy logicsgrey relativity analysismulticriteria decision analysissoft computing techniques
spellingShingle Michael Stanley Peprah
Bernard Kumi-Boateng
Edwin Kojo Larbi
Prioritization of forest fire hazard risk simulation using Hybrid Grey Relativity Analysis (HGRA) and Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) coupled with multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques – a comparative study analysis
Geodesy and Cartography
fire hazard risk modelling
fuzzy logics
grey relativity analysis
multicriteria decision analysis
soft computing techniques
title Prioritization of forest fire hazard risk simulation using Hybrid Grey Relativity Analysis (HGRA) and Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) coupled with multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques – a comparative study analysis
title_full Prioritization of forest fire hazard risk simulation using Hybrid Grey Relativity Analysis (HGRA) and Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) coupled with multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques – a comparative study analysis
title_fullStr Prioritization of forest fire hazard risk simulation using Hybrid Grey Relativity Analysis (HGRA) and Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) coupled with multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques – a comparative study analysis
title_full_unstemmed Prioritization of forest fire hazard risk simulation using Hybrid Grey Relativity Analysis (HGRA) and Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) coupled with multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques – a comparative study analysis
title_short Prioritization of forest fire hazard risk simulation using Hybrid Grey Relativity Analysis (HGRA) and Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) coupled with multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques – a comparative study analysis
title_sort prioritization of forest fire hazard risk simulation using hybrid grey relativity analysis hgra and fuzzy analytical hierarchy process fahp coupled with multicriteria decision analysis mcda techniques a comparative study analysis
topic fire hazard risk modelling
fuzzy logics
grey relativity analysis
multicriteria decision analysis
soft computing techniques
url https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/GAC/article/view/13028
work_keys_str_mv AT michaelstanleypeprah prioritizationofforestfirehazardrisksimulationusinghybridgreyrelativityanalysishgraandfuzzyanalyticalhierarchyprocessfahpcoupledwithmulticriteriadecisionanalysismcdatechniquesacomparativestudyanalysis
AT bernardkumiboateng prioritizationofforestfirehazardrisksimulationusinghybridgreyrelativityanalysishgraandfuzzyanalyticalhierarchyprocessfahpcoupledwithmulticriteriadecisionanalysismcdatechniquesacomparativestudyanalysis
AT edwinkojolarbi prioritizationofforestfirehazardrisksimulationusinghybridgreyrelativityanalysishgraandfuzzyanalyticalhierarchyprocessfahpcoupledwithmulticriteriadecisionanalysismcdatechniquesacomparativestudyanalysis