Comparing mixed intertemporal tradeoffs with pure gains or pure losses

Intertemporal choices involve tradeoffs between outcomes that occur at different times. Most of the research has used pure gains tasks and the discount rates yielding from those tasks to explain and predict real-world behaviors and consequences. However, real decisions are often more complex and inv...

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Main Authors: Jia-Tao Ma, Lei Wang, Li-Na Chen, Quan He, Qing-Zhou Sun, Hong-Yue Sun, Cheng-Ming Jiang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2021-05-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/20/201120/jdm201120.pdf
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author Jia-Tao Ma
Lei Wang
Li-Na Chen
Quan He
Qing-Zhou Sun
Hong-Yue Sun
Cheng-Ming Jiang
author_facet Jia-Tao Ma
Lei Wang
Li-Na Chen
Quan He
Qing-Zhou Sun
Hong-Yue Sun
Cheng-Ming Jiang
author_sort Jia-Tao Ma
collection DOAJ
description Intertemporal choices involve tradeoffs between outcomes that occur at different times. Most of the research has used pure gains tasks and the discount rates yielding from those tasks to explain and predict real-world behaviors and consequences. However, real decisions are often more complex and involve mixed outcomes (e.g., sooner-gain and later-loss or sooner-loss and later-gain). No study has used mixed gain-loss intertemporal tradeoff tasks to explain and predict real-world behaviors and consequences, and studies involving such tasks are also scarce. Considering that tasks involving a combination of gains and losses may yield different discount rates and that existing pure gains tasks do not explain or predict real-world outcomes well, this study conducted two experiments to compare the discount rates of mixed gain-loss intertemporal tradeoffs with those of pure gains or pure losses (Experiment 1) and to examine whether these tasks predicted different real-world behaviors and consequences (Experiment 2). Experiment 1 suggests that the discount rate ordering of the four tasks was, from highest to lowest, pure gains, sooner-loss and later-gain, pure losses, and sooner-gain and later-loss. Experiment 2 indicates that the evidence supporting the claim that the discount rates of the four tasks were related to different real-world behaviors and consequences was insufficient.
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spelling doaj.art-29e57cfcb2cd4e5eb41b7572a7ffcf6d2023-09-02T14:18:15ZengCambridge University PressJudgment and Decision Making1930-29752021-05-01163709728Comparing mixed intertemporal tradeoffs with pure gains or pure lossesJia-Tao MaLei WangLi-Na ChenQuan HeQing-Zhou SunHong-Yue SunCheng-Ming JiangIntertemporal choices involve tradeoffs between outcomes that occur at different times. Most of the research has used pure gains tasks and the discount rates yielding from those tasks to explain and predict real-world behaviors and consequences. However, real decisions are often more complex and involve mixed outcomes (e.g., sooner-gain and later-loss or sooner-loss and later-gain). No study has used mixed gain-loss intertemporal tradeoff tasks to explain and predict real-world behaviors and consequences, and studies involving such tasks are also scarce. Considering that tasks involving a combination of gains and losses may yield different discount rates and that existing pure gains tasks do not explain or predict real-world outcomes well, this study conducted two experiments to compare the discount rates of mixed gain-loss intertemporal tradeoffs with those of pure gains or pure losses (Experiment 1) and to examine whether these tasks predicted different real-world behaviors and consequences (Experiment 2). Experiment 1 suggests that the discount rate ordering of the four tasks was, from highest to lowest, pure gains, sooner-loss and later-gain, pure losses, and sooner-gain and later-loss. Experiment 2 indicates that the evidence supporting the claim that the discount rates of the four tasks were related to different real-world behaviors and consequences was insufficient.http://journal.sjdm.org/20/201120/jdm201120.pdfintertemporal choice mixed outcome discount rate real-world behavior real-world consequencenakeywords
spellingShingle Jia-Tao Ma
Lei Wang
Li-Na Chen
Quan He
Qing-Zhou Sun
Hong-Yue Sun
Cheng-Ming Jiang
Comparing mixed intertemporal tradeoffs with pure gains or pure losses
Judgment and Decision Making
intertemporal choice
mixed outcome
discount rate
real-world behavior
real-world consequencenakeywords
title Comparing mixed intertemporal tradeoffs with pure gains or pure losses
title_full Comparing mixed intertemporal tradeoffs with pure gains or pure losses
title_fullStr Comparing mixed intertemporal tradeoffs with pure gains or pure losses
title_full_unstemmed Comparing mixed intertemporal tradeoffs with pure gains or pure losses
title_short Comparing mixed intertemporal tradeoffs with pure gains or pure losses
title_sort comparing mixed intertemporal tradeoffs with pure gains or pure losses
topic intertemporal choice
mixed outcome
discount rate
real-world behavior
real-world consequencenakeywords
url http://journal.sjdm.org/20/201120/jdm201120.pdf
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