Exchange rate volatility, corruption, and economic growth

This study assesses the impact of exchange rate volatility on economic growth using a panel of 194 countries for the period 1995–2019. We resort to dynamic panel data models considering the exchange rate volatility estimated based on GARCH models as an explanatory variable, along with some control v...

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Main Authors: Josefa Ramoni-Perazzi, Héctor Romero
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-12-01
Series:Heliyon
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844022036167
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author Josefa Ramoni-Perazzi
Héctor Romero
author_facet Josefa Ramoni-Perazzi
Héctor Romero
author_sort Josefa Ramoni-Perazzi
collection DOAJ
description This study assesses the impact of exchange rate volatility on economic growth using a panel of 194 countries for the period 1995–2019. We resort to dynamic panel data models considering the exchange rate volatility estimated based on GARCH models as an explanatory variable, along with some control variables such as the level of economic openness and financial development, investment, government spending, and the expected level of education. Countries are grouped according to the level of corruption of the governments. The estimates from both Difference and System Generalized Method of Moments are obtained. The results consistently show a significant negative effect of exchange rate volatility on economic growth, which diminishes as the financial system develops. An important finding is that the effect of volatility is lower in high-corruption countries, which could be because they are used to dealing with the economic instability associated with low levels of governance and incorporate it as part of their costs.
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spelling doaj.art-29f5d69d1b8141a68ee1f93f8e9e85d22023-01-05T08:39:57ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402022-12-01812e12328Exchange rate volatility, corruption, and economic growthJosefa Ramoni-Perazzi0Héctor Romero1Corresponding author.; Escuela de Economía y Administración, Universidad Industrial de Santander, ColombiaEscuela de Economía y Administración, Universidad Industrial de Santander, ColombiaThis study assesses the impact of exchange rate volatility on economic growth using a panel of 194 countries for the period 1995–2019. We resort to dynamic panel data models considering the exchange rate volatility estimated based on GARCH models as an explanatory variable, along with some control variables such as the level of economic openness and financial development, investment, government spending, and the expected level of education. Countries are grouped according to the level of corruption of the governments. The estimates from both Difference and System Generalized Method of Moments are obtained. The results consistently show a significant negative effect of exchange rate volatility on economic growth, which diminishes as the financial system develops. An important finding is that the effect of volatility is lower in high-corruption countries, which could be because they are used to dealing with the economic instability associated with low levels of governance and incorporate it as part of their costs.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844022036167Economic growthExchange rate volatilityCorruptionGMM modelsGARCH models
spellingShingle Josefa Ramoni-Perazzi
Héctor Romero
Exchange rate volatility, corruption, and economic growth
Heliyon
Economic growth
Exchange rate volatility
Corruption
GMM models
GARCH models
title Exchange rate volatility, corruption, and economic growth
title_full Exchange rate volatility, corruption, and economic growth
title_fullStr Exchange rate volatility, corruption, and economic growth
title_full_unstemmed Exchange rate volatility, corruption, and economic growth
title_short Exchange rate volatility, corruption, and economic growth
title_sort exchange rate volatility corruption and economic growth
topic Economic growth
Exchange rate volatility
Corruption
GMM models
GARCH models
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844022036167
work_keys_str_mv AT josefaramoniperazzi exchangeratevolatilitycorruptionandeconomicgrowth
AT hectorromero exchangeratevolatilitycorruptionandeconomicgrowth