Can China Achieve Its Carbon Emission Peak Target? Empirical Evidence from City-Scale Driving Factors and Emission Reduction Strategies

The development of differentiated emission reduction strategies plays an important role in achieving carbon compliance targets. Each city should adopt carbon reduction strategies according to its carbon emission characteristics. China is a vast country, and there are significant differences between...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yuxue Zhang, Rui Wang, Xingyuan Yang, He Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-05-01
Series:Land
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/6/1129
_version_ 1827736797303537664
author Yuxue Zhang
Rui Wang
Xingyuan Yang
He Zhang
author_facet Yuxue Zhang
Rui Wang
Xingyuan Yang
He Zhang
author_sort Yuxue Zhang
collection DOAJ
description The development of differentiated emission reduction strategies plays an important role in achieving carbon compliance targets. Each city should adopt carbon reduction strategies according to its carbon emission characteristics. China is a vast country, and there are significant differences between cities. Therefore, this study classifies 340 Chinese cities according to their carbon emission characteristics since 2020 and proposes differentiated emission reduction strategies accordingly. The results of the research show that Chinese cities can be divided into four categories, and they can strive to achieve their carbon peak targets by adopting differentiated emission reduction strategies. In the baseline scenario, Chinese cities will not be able to meet the peak carbon target by 2030. In the differentiated scenario, eco-agricultural cities, industry-led cities, and high-resource-availability cities will be able to achieve peak carbon by 2030. Unfortunately, resource-poor cities will not reach their peak. However, the extent to which their total carbon emissions contribute to the achievement of national goals is low, and their carbon emissions can be traded off for economic development by appropriately relaxing the constraints on carbon emissions. Therefore, in order to achieve China’s peak carbon goal, this study proposes emission reduction recommendations that should be adopted by different types of cities to form differentiated emission reduction strategies.
first_indexed 2024-03-11T02:15:11Z
format Article
id doaj.art-29ff92a01b1d4084aa0d6491eaf4325c
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2073-445X
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-11T02:15:11Z
publishDate 2023-05-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Land
spelling doaj.art-29ff92a01b1d4084aa0d6491eaf4325c2023-11-18T11:13:10ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2023-05-01126112910.3390/land12061129Can China Achieve Its Carbon Emission Peak Target? Empirical Evidence from City-Scale Driving Factors and Emission Reduction StrategiesYuxue Zhang0Rui Wang1Xingyuan Yang2He Zhang3Department of Urban Planning, School of Architecture, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaDepartment of Urban Planning, School of Architecture, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaDepartment of Urban Planning, School of Architecture, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaDepartment of Urban Planning, School of Architecture, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaThe development of differentiated emission reduction strategies plays an important role in achieving carbon compliance targets. Each city should adopt carbon reduction strategies according to its carbon emission characteristics. China is a vast country, and there are significant differences between cities. Therefore, this study classifies 340 Chinese cities according to their carbon emission characteristics since 2020 and proposes differentiated emission reduction strategies accordingly. The results of the research show that Chinese cities can be divided into four categories, and they can strive to achieve their carbon peak targets by adopting differentiated emission reduction strategies. In the baseline scenario, Chinese cities will not be able to meet the peak carbon target by 2030. In the differentiated scenario, eco-agricultural cities, industry-led cities, and high-resource-availability cities will be able to achieve peak carbon by 2030. Unfortunately, resource-poor cities will not reach their peak. However, the extent to which their total carbon emissions contribute to the achievement of national goals is low, and their carbon emissions can be traded off for economic development by appropriately relaxing the constraints on carbon emissions. Therefore, in order to achieve China’s peak carbon goal, this study proposes emission reduction recommendations that should be adopted by different types of cities to form differentiated emission reduction strategies.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/6/1129STIRPAT modelk-means clustering algorithmcarbon peakdifferentiated scenario settingpolicy tool
spellingShingle Yuxue Zhang
Rui Wang
Xingyuan Yang
He Zhang
Can China Achieve Its Carbon Emission Peak Target? Empirical Evidence from City-Scale Driving Factors and Emission Reduction Strategies
Land
STIRPAT model
k-means clustering algorithm
carbon peak
differentiated scenario setting
policy tool
title Can China Achieve Its Carbon Emission Peak Target? Empirical Evidence from City-Scale Driving Factors and Emission Reduction Strategies
title_full Can China Achieve Its Carbon Emission Peak Target? Empirical Evidence from City-Scale Driving Factors and Emission Reduction Strategies
title_fullStr Can China Achieve Its Carbon Emission Peak Target? Empirical Evidence from City-Scale Driving Factors and Emission Reduction Strategies
title_full_unstemmed Can China Achieve Its Carbon Emission Peak Target? Empirical Evidence from City-Scale Driving Factors and Emission Reduction Strategies
title_short Can China Achieve Its Carbon Emission Peak Target? Empirical Evidence from City-Scale Driving Factors and Emission Reduction Strategies
title_sort can china achieve its carbon emission peak target empirical evidence from city scale driving factors and emission reduction strategies
topic STIRPAT model
k-means clustering algorithm
carbon peak
differentiated scenario setting
policy tool
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/6/1129
work_keys_str_mv AT yuxuezhang canchinaachieveitscarbonemissionpeaktargetempiricalevidencefromcityscaledrivingfactorsandemissionreductionstrategies
AT ruiwang canchinaachieveitscarbonemissionpeaktargetempiricalevidencefromcityscaledrivingfactorsandemissionreductionstrategies
AT xingyuanyang canchinaachieveitscarbonemissionpeaktargetempiricalevidencefromcityscaledrivingfactorsandemissionreductionstrategies
AT hezhang canchinaachieveitscarbonemissionpeaktargetempiricalevidencefromcityscaledrivingfactorsandemissionreductionstrategies