Fear and loathing in Las Vegas: Evidence from blackjack tables

This paper uses proprietary data from a blackjack table in Las Vegas to analyze how the expectation of regret affects peoples’ decisions during gambles. Even among a group of people who choose to participate in a risk-taking activity, we find strong evidence of an economically significant omission b...

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Main Authors: Bruce I. Carlin, David T. Robinson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2009-08-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500001212/type/journal_article
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author Bruce I. Carlin
David T. Robinson
author_facet Bruce I. Carlin
David T. Robinson
author_sort Bruce I. Carlin
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description This paper uses proprietary data from a blackjack table in Las Vegas to analyze how the expectation of regret affects peoples’ decisions during gambles. Even among a group of people who choose to participate in a risk-taking activity, we find strong evidence of an economically significant omission bias: 80% of the mistakes at the table are caused by playing too conservatively, resulting in substantial monetary losses. This behavior is equally prevalent among large-stakes gamblers and does not change in the face of more complicated strategic decisions.
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spelling doaj.art-2a22bf526a1f4672ac84f863e986a87f2023-09-03T13:42:56ZengCambridge University PressJudgment and Decision Making1930-29752009-08-01438539610.1017/S1930297500001212Fear and loathing in Las Vegas: Evidence from blackjack tablesBruce I. Carlin0David T. Robinson1UCLADuke UniversityThis paper uses proprietary data from a blackjack table in Las Vegas to analyze how the expectation of regret affects peoples’ decisions during gambles. Even among a group of people who choose to participate in a risk-taking activity, we find strong evidence of an economically significant omission bias: 80% of the mistakes at the table are caused by playing too conservatively, resulting in substantial monetary losses. This behavior is equally prevalent among large-stakes gamblers and does not change in the face of more complicated strategic decisions.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500001212/type/journal_articleblackjackgamblingomission biasdecision making
spellingShingle Bruce I. Carlin
David T. Robinson
Fear and loathing in Las Vegas: Evidence from blackjack tables
Judgment and Decision Making
blackjack
gambling
omission bias
decision making
title Fear and loathing in Las Vegas: Evidence from blackjack tables
title_full Fear and loathing in Las Vegas: Evidence from blackjack tables
title_fullStr Fear and loathing in Las Vegas: Evidence from blackjack tables
title_full_unstemmed Fear and loathing in Las Vegas: Evidence from blackjack tables
title_short Fear and loathing in Las Vegas: Evidence from blackjack tables
title_sort fear and loathing in las vegas evidence from blackjack tables
topic blackjack
gambling
omission bias
decision making
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500001212/type/journal_article
work_keys_str_mv AT bruceicarlin fearandloathinginlasvegasevidencefromblackjacktables
AT davidtrobinson fearandloathinginlasvegasevidencefromblackjacktables