Pendekatan Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Sebagai Alternatif Bagi Bank Indonesia Dalam Menentukan Tingkat Inflasi Di Indonesia

In uncertain economic like today, research and modeling the inflation rate is considered necessary to provide estimates and predictions of inflation rates in the future. Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy approach is a combination of  Neural Network and Fuzzy Logic. This study aims to describe the movement ofinfl...

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Main Authors: Armaini Akhirson, Brahmantyo Heruseto
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana 2016-10-01
Series:Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ejournal.uksw.edu/jeb/article/view/463
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author Armaini Akhirson
Brahmantyo Heruseto
author_facet Armaini Akhirson
Brahmantyo Heruseto
author_sort Armaini Akhirson
collection DOAJ
description In uncertain economic like today, research and modeling the inflation rate is considered necessary to provide estimates and predictions of inflation rates in the future. Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy approach is a combination of  Neural Network and Fuzzy Logic. This study aims to describe the movement ofinflation(output variable ) so it can beestimated by observing four Indonesia's macroeconomic data, namely the exchange rate, money supply, interbank interest rates, and the output gap (input variable). Observation period started from the data in 20011 to 20113. After the learning process is complete, fuzzy systems generate 45 fuzzy rules that can define the input-output behavior. The results of this study indicate a fairly high degree of accuracy with an average error rate is 0.5315.
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spelling doaj.art-2a73779374cf49a5b9b0aa048bb698302023-12-02T13:09:11ZengUniversitas Kristen Satya WacanaJurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis1979-64712528-01472016-10-0119230932210.24914/jeb.v19i2.463382Pendekatan Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Sebagai Alternatif Bagi Bank Indonesia Dalam Menentukan Tingkat Inflasi Di IndonesiaArmaini Akhirson0Brahmantyo HerusetoUniveritas GunadarmaIn uncertain economic like today, research and modeling the inflation rate is considered necessary to provide estimates and predictions of inflation rates in the future. Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy approach is a combination of  Neural Network and Fuzzy Logic. This study aims to describe the movement ofinflation(output variable ) so it can beestimated by observing four Indonesia's macroeconomic data, namely the exchange rate, money supply, interbank interest rates, and the output gap (input variable). Observation period started from the data in 20011 to 20113. After the learning process is complete, fuzzy systems generate 45 fuzzy rules that can define the input-output behavior. The results of this study indicate a fairly high degree of accuracy with an average error rate is 0.5315.http://ejournal.uksw.edu/jeb/article/view/463estimation of inflationexchange ratemoney suplyPUABoutput gapfuzzy.
spellingShingle Armaini Akhirson
Brahmantyo Heruseto
Pendekatan Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Sebagai Alternatif Bagi Bank Indonesia Dalam Menentukan Tingkat Inflasi Di Indonesia
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis
estimation of inflation
exchange rate
money suply
PUAB
output gap
fuzzy.
title Pendekatan Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Sebagai Alternatif Bagi Bank Indonesia Dalam Menentukan Tingkat Inflasi Di Indonesia
title_full Pendekatan Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Sebagai Alternatif Bagi Bank Indonesia Dalam Menentukan Tingkat Inflasi Di Indonesia
title_fullStr Pendekatan Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Sebagai Alternatif Bagi Bank Indonesia Dalam Menentukan Tingkat Inflasi Di Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Pendekatan Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Sebagai Alternatif Bagi Bank Indonesia Dalam Menentukan Tingkat Inflasi Di Indonesia
title_short Pendekatan Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Sebagai Alternatif Bagi Bank Indonesia Dalam Menentukan Tingkat Inflasi Di Indonesia
title_sort pendekatan adaptive neuro fuzzy sebagai alternatif bagi bank indonesia dalam menentukan tingkat inflasi di indonesia
topic estimation of inflation
exchange rate
money suply
PUAB
output gap
fuzzy.
url http://ejournal.uksw.edu/jeb/article/view/463
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