Trends and projections of the burden of osteoarthritis disease in China and globally: A comparative study of the 2019 global burden of disease database
This study aims to characterize the burden of osteoarthritis in China and globally from 1990 to 2019 and predict the burden for the next decade. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database is designed to assess the burden of various diseases and injuries on a global scale. Age-standardized rate data...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2024-01-01
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| Series: | Preventive Medicine Reports |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211335523004539 |
| _version_ | 1797382898581504000 |
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| author | Liping Wang Yitong Ye |
| author_facet | Liping Wang Yitong Ye |
| author_sort | Liping Wang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This study aims to characterize the burden of osteoarthritis in China and globally from 1990 to 2019 and predict the burden for the next decade. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database is designed to assess the burden of various diseases and injuries on a global scale. Age-standardized rate data for the incidence, prevalence, and Years Lived with Disability (YLDs) of osteoarthritis in both China and the global context were extracted. Furthermore, the Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) to illustrate the long-term trends in the burden of osteoarthritis disease was calculated. Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were applied to forecast the trends in age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized YLDs rate (ASYR) for osteoarthritis in China and globally for the next 11 years. Knee osteoarthritis showed a changing trend of ASIR, ASPR, and ASYR from 1990 to 2019 in China, initially decreasing and then increasing. In contrast, global osteoarthritis exhibited a relatively stable overall trend over three decades. Knee osteoarthritis exhibited the highest incidence, prevalence, and YLDs across various age groups and genders. The ARIMA forecast indicated a slight upward trend in osteoarthritis burden in China and globally over the next 11 years. Osteoarthritis poses a significant health issue, emphasizing the need to enhance awareness and management of osteoarthritis among the population and policymakers, particularly focusing on the elderly and female populations. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-08T21:12:07Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-2a75dcbfb6214352af8144eedd8de56c |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2211-3355 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-08T21:12:07Z |
| publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Preventive Medicine Reports |
| spelling | doaj.art-2a75dcbfb6214352af8144eedd8de56c2023-12-22T05:32:46ZengElsevierPreventive Medicine Reports2211-33552024-01-0137102562Trends and projections of the burden of osteoarthritis disease in China and globally: A comparative study of the 2019 global burden of disease databaseLiping Wang0Yitong Ye1Department of Orthopedics, Jinhua Guangfu Tumor Hospital, Jinhua 321000, ChinaCorresponding author at: Department of Orthopedics, Jinhua Guangfu Tumor Hospital, 1296 Huancheng North Road, Wucheng District, Jinhua 321000, China.; Department of Orthopedics, Jinhua Guangfu Tumor Hospital, Jinhua 321000, ChinaThis study aims to characterize the burden of osteoarthritis in China and globally from 1990 to 2019 and predict the burden for the next decade. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database is designed to assess the burden of various diseases and injuries on a global scale. Age-standardized rate data for the incidence, prevalence, and Years Lived with Disability (YLDs) of osteoarthritis in both China and the global context were extracted. Furthermore, the Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) to illustrate the long-term trends in the burden of osteoarthritis disease was calculated. Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were applied to forecast the trends in age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized YLDs rate (ASYR) for osteoarthritis in China and globally for the next 11 years. Knee osteoarthritis showed a changing trend of ASIR, ASPR, and ASYR from 1990 to 2019 in China, initially decreasing and then increasing. In contrast, global osteoarthritis exhibited a relatively stable overall trend over three decades. Knee osteoarthritis exhibited the highest incidence, prevalence, and YLDs across various age groups and genders. The ARIMA forecast indicated a slight upward trend in osteoarthritis burden in China and globally over the next 11 years. Osteoarthritis poses a significant health issue, emphasizing the need to enhance awareness and management of osteoarthritis among the population and policymakers, particularly focusing on the elderly and female populations.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211335523004539OsteoarthritisIncidence ratePrevalence rateYears lived with disabilityTrend |
| spellingShingle | Liping Wang Yitong Ye Trends and projections of the burden of osteoarthritis disease in China and globally: A comparative study of the 2019 global burden of disease database Preventive Medicine Reports Osteoarthritis Incidence rate Prevalence rate Years lived with disability Trend |
| title | Trends and projections of the burden of osteoarthritis disease in China and globally: A comparative study of the 2019 global burden of disease database |
| title_full | Trends and projections of the burden of osteoarthritis disease in China and globally: A comparative study of the 2019 global burden of disease database |
| title_fullStr | Trends and projections of the burden of osteoarthritis disease in China and globally: A comparative study of the 2019 global burden of disease database |
| title_full_unstemmed | Trends and projections of the burden of osteoarthritis disease in China and globally: A comparative study of the 2019 global burden of disease database |
| title_short | Trends and projections of the burden of osteoarthritis disease in China and globally: A comparative study of the 2019 global burden of disease database |
| title_sort | trends and projections of the burden of osteoarthritis disease in china and globally a comparative study of the 2019 global burden of disease database |
| topic | Osteoarthritis Incidence rate Prevalence rate Years lived with disability Trend |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211335523004539 |
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