Monetary policy effects on equity returns: application of SVAR identified with high-frequency external instrument

The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of monetary policy on equity returns by applying an alternative econometric approach. Campbell and Ammer (1993) decomposed unexpected equity excess returns into three news components: risk premium news, real interest rate news and cash-flow news. T...

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Main Author: Woon Wook Jang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Emerald Publishing 2021-11-01
Series:Seonmul yeongu
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JDQS-08-2021-0021/full/pdf?title=monetary-policy-effects-on-equity-returns-application-of-svar-identified-with-high-frequency-external-instrument
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author Woon Wook Jang
author_facet Woon Wook Jang
author_sort Woon Wook Jang
collection DOAJ
description The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of monetary policy on equity returns by applying an alternative econometric approach. Campbell and Ammer (1993) decomposed unexpected equity excess returns into three news components: risk premium news, real interest rate news and cash-flow news. The literature has determined the monetary policy (MP) effects on these news components. The authors propose an alternative MP shock identification approach to analyze the MP effects on the above-mentioned news components under a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) setup. Under this approach, one can apply an MP indicator in the SVAR, which helps forecast equity excess returns along with its external instruments for identification. Further, this study uses the various recently proposed measures of exogenous MP shocks and Fed information shocks as external instruments, and shows the different patterns of the news components' responses depending on the information in the applied instruments.
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spelling doaj.art-2ab4c08c661a41599d081d63eb66477c2022-12-22T04:38:34ZengEmerald PublishingSeonmul yeongu1229-988X2713-66472021-11-0129431933110.1108/JDQS-08-2021-0021672947Monetary policy effects on equity returns: application of SVAR identified with high-frequency external instrumentWoon Wook Jang0Division of Business Administration, Yonsei University, Wonju, Republic of KoreaThe purpose of this study is to examine the effects of monetary policy on equity returns by applying an alternative econometric approach. Campbell and Ammer (1993) decomposed unexpected equity excess returns into three news components: risk premium news, real interest rate news and cash-flow news. The literature has determined the monetary policy (MP) effects on these news components. The authors propose an alternative MP shock identification approach to analyze the MP effects on the above-mentioned news components under a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) setup. Under this approach, one can apply an MP indicator in the SVAR, which helps forecast equity excess returns along with its external instruments for identification. Further, this study uses the various recently proposed measures of exogenous MP shocks and Fed information shocks as external instruments, and shows the different patterns of the news components' responses depending on the information in the applied instruments.https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JDQS-08-2021-0021/full/pdf?title=monetary-policy-effects-on-equity-returns-application-of-svar-identified-with-high-frequency-external-instrumentequity return decompositionmonetary policy effectsstructural vector autoregressionexternal instrumentse44e52e58g12
spellingShingle Woon Wook Jang
Monetary policy effects on equity returns: application of SVAR identified with high-frequency external instrument
Seonmul yeongu
equity return decomposition
monetary policy effects
structural vector autoregression
external instruments
e44
e52
e58
g12
title Monetary policy effects on equity returns: application of SVAR identified with high-frequency external instrument
title_full Monetary policy effects on equity returns: application of SVAR identified with high-frequency external instrument
title_fullStr Monetary policy effects on equity returns: application of SVAR identified with high-frequency external instrument
title_full_unstemmed Monetary policy effects on equity returns: application of SVAR identified with high-frequency external instrument
title_short Monetary policy effects on equity returns: application of SVAR identified with high-frequency external instrument
title_sort monetary policy effects on equity returns application of svar identified with high frequency external instrument
topic equity return decomposition
monetary policy effects
structural vector autoregression
external instruments
e44
e52
e58
g12
url https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JDQS-08-2021-0021/full/pdf?title=monetary-policy-effects-on-equity-returns-application-of-svar-identified-with-high-frequency-external-instrument
work_keys_str_mv AT woonwookjang monetarypolicyeffectsonequityreturnsapplicationofsvaridentifiedwithhighfrequencyexternalinstrument