Stable atmospheric methane in the 2000s: key-role of emissions from natural wetlands

Two atmospheric inversions (one fine-resolved and one process-discriminating) and a process-based model for land surface exchanges are brought together to analyse the variations of methane emissions from 1990 to 2009. A focus is put on the role of natural wetlands and on the years 2000–2006, a perio...

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Main Authors: I. Pison, B. Ringeval, P. Bousquet, C. Prigent, F. Papa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2013-12-01
Series:Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Online Access:http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/13/11609/2013/acp-13-11609-2013.pdf
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author I. Pison
B. Ringeval
P. Bousquet
C. Prigent
F. Papa
author_facet I. Pison
B. Ringeval
P. Bousquet
C. Prigent
F. Papa
author_sort I. Pison
collection DOAJ
description Two atmospheric inversions (one fine-resolved and one process-discriminating) and a process-based model for land surface exchanges are brought together to analyse the variations of methane emissions from 1990 to 2009. A focus is put on the role of natural wetlands and on the years 2000–2006, a period of stable atmospheric concentrations. <br><br> From 1990 to 2000, the top-down and bottom-up visions agree on the time-phasing of global total and wetland emission anomalies. The process-discriminating inversion indicates that wetlands dominate the time-variability of methane emissions (90% of the total variability). The contribution of tropical wetlands to the anomalies is found to be large, especially during the post-Pinatubo years (global negative anomalies with minima between −41 and −19 Tg yr<sup>−1</sup> in 1992) and during the alternate 1997–1998 El-Niño/1998–1999 La-Niña (maximal anomalies in tropical regions between +16 and +22 Tg yr<sup>−1</sup> for the inversions and anomalies due to tropical wetlands between +12 and +17 Tg yr<sup>−1</sup> for the process-based model). <br><br> Between 2000 and 2006, during the stagnation of methane concentrations in the atmosphere, the top-down and bottom-up approaches agree on the fact that South America is the main region contributing to anomalies in natural wetland emissions, but they disagree on the sign and magnitude of the flux trend in the Amazon basin. A negative trend (−3.9 ± 1.3 Tg yr<sup>−1</sup>) is inferred by the process-discriminating inversion whereas a positive trend (+1.3 ± 0.3 Tg yr<sup>−1</sup>) is found by the process model. Although processed-based models have their own caveats and may not take into account all processes, the positive trend found by the B-U approach is considered more likely because it is a robust feature of the process-based model, consistent with analysed precipitations and the satellite-derived extent of inundated areas. On the contrary, the surface-data based inversions lack constraints for South America. This result suggests the need for a re-interpretation of the large increase found in anthropogenic methane inventories after 2000.
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spelling doaj.art-2b10218c902d46cd957687a0db3957e62022-12-21T21:52:32ZengCopernicus PublicationsAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics1680-73161680-73242013-12-011323116091162310.5194/acp-13-11609-2013Stable atmospheric methane in the 2000s: key-role of emissions from natural wetlandsI. Pison0B. Ringeval1P. Bousquet2C. Prigent3F. Papa4Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ, UMR8212, Gif-sur-Yvette, FranceLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ, UMR8212, Gif-sur-Yvette, FranceLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ, UMR8212, Gif-sur-Yvette, FranceLaboratoire d'Études du Rayonnement et de la Matière en Astrophysique, Observatoire de Paris, CNRS, Paris, FranceLaboratoire d'Études en Géophysique et Océanographie Spatiales, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Toulouse, FranceTwo atmospheric inversions (one fine-resolved and one process-discriminating) and a process-based model for land surface exchanges are brought together to analyse the variations of methane emissions from 1990 to 2009. A focus is put on the role of natural wetlands and on the years 2000–2006, a period of stable atmospheric concentrations. <br><br> From 1990 to 2000, the top-down and bottom-up visions agree on the time-phasing of global total and wetland emission anomalies. The process-discriminating inversion indicates that wetlands dominate the time-variability of methane emissions (90% of the total variability). The contribution of tropical wetlands to the anomalies is found to be large, especially during the post-Pinatubo years (global negative anomalies with minima between −41 and −19 Tg yr<sup>−1</sup> in 1992) and during the alternate 1997–1998 El-Niño/1998–1999 La-Niña (maximal anomalies in tropical regions between +16 and +22 Tg yr<sup>−1</sup> for the inversions and anomalies due to tropical wetlands between +12 and +17 Tg yr<sup>−1</sup> for the process-based model). <br><br> Between 2000 and 2006, during the stagnation of methane concentrations in the atmosphere, the top-down and bottom-up approaches agree on the fact that South America is the main region contributing to anomalies in natural wetland emissions, but they disagree on the sign and magnitude of the flux trend in the Amazon basin. A negative trend (−3.9 ± 1.3 Tg yr<sup>−1</sup>) is inferred by the process-discriminating inversion whereas a positive trend (+1.3 ± 0.3 Tg yr<sup>−1</sup>) is found by the process model. Although processed-based models have their own caveats and may not take into account all processes, the positive trend found by the B-U approach is considered more likely because it is a robust feature of the process-based model, consistent with analysed precipitations and the satellite-derived extent of inundated areas. On the contrary, the surface-data based inversions lack constraints for South America. This result suggests the need for a re-interpretation of the large increase found in anthropogenic methane inventories after 2000.http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/13/11609/2013/acp-13-11609-2013.pdf
spellingShingle I. Pison
B. Ringeval
P. Bousquet
C. Prigent
F. Papa
Stable atmospheric methane in the 2000s: key-role of emissions from natural wetlands
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
title Stable atmospheric methane in the 2000s: key-role of emissions from natural wetlands
title_full Stable atmospheric methane in the 2000s: key-role of emissions from natural wetlands
title_fullStr Stable atmospheric methane in the 2000s: key-role of emissions from natural wetlands
title_full_unstemmed Stable atmospheric methane in the 2000s: key-role of emissions from natural wetlands
title_short Stable atmospheric methane in the 2000s: key-role of emissions from natural wetlands
title_sort stable atmospheric methane in the 2000s key role of emissions from natural wetlands
url http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/13/11609/2013/acp-13-11609-2013.pdf
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