The RAPID-score: Risk Assessment and PredIction of Delirium in acute stroke patients based on very early clinical parameters

Background and objectivePost-stroke delirium (PSD) is a common complication in acute stroke patients, and guidelines recommend routine screening and various preventive and treatment measures. However, there is a substantial lack of standardized approaches in diagnostic and therapeutic management of...

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Main Authors: Johannes Wischmann, Pauline Kremer, Ludwig Hinske, Roland Tomasi, Andrea S. Becker-Pennrich, Lars Kellert
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-12-01
Series:Frontiers in Neurology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2023.1306520/full
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author Johannes Wischmann
Pauline Kremer
Ludwig Hinske
Ludwig Hinske
Roland Tomasi
Andrea S. Becker-Pennrich
Andrea S. Becker-Pennrich
Lars Kellert
author_facet Johannes Wischmann
Pauline Kremer
Ludwig Hinske
Ludwig Hinske
Roland Tomasi
Andrea S. Becker-Pennrich
Andrea S. Becker-Pennrich
Lars Kellert
author_sort Johannes Wischmann
collection DOAJ
description Background and objectivePost-stroke delirium (PSD) is a common complication in acute stroke patients, and guidelines recommend routine screening and various preventive and treatment measures. However, there is a substantial lack of standardized approaches in diagnostic and therapeutic management of PSD. Here, we aimed to develop a new pragmatic and easily assessable screening tool to predict PSD based on early parameters, which are already integral to acute stroke diagnostics.MethodsWe enrolled acute stroke patients admitted to our stroke unit or intensive care unit and developed the scoring system using retrospective single-center patient data. The Confusion Assessment Method for the Intensive Care Unit was used for prospective score validation. Logistic regression models were employed to analyze the association of early clinical and paraclinical parameters with PSD development.ResultsN = 525 patients (median age: 76 years; 45.7% female) were enrolled, with 29.7% developing PSD during hospitalization. The resulting score comprises 6 items, including medical history, clinical examination findings, and non-contrast computed tomography results at admission. Scores range from −15 to +15 points, with higher values indicating a higher likelihood of PSD, ranging from 4% to 79%. The accuracy was 0.85, and the area under the curve was 0.89.ConclusionThe new RAPID (Risk Assessment and PredIction of Delirium in acute stroke patients)-score shows high accuracy in predicting PSD among acute stroke patients and offers precise odds of PSD for each corresponding score value, utilizing routine early clinical and paraclinical parameters. It can identify high-risk populations for clinical study interventions and may be suitable to guide prophylactic PSD measures.
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spelling doaj.art-2b125ad2c81245a79027d6348bcbbf632023-12-15T13:51:46ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Neurology1664-22952023-12-011410.3389/fneur.2023.13065201306520The RAPID-score: Risk Assessment and PredIction of Delirium in acute stroke patients based on very early clinical parametersJohannes Wischmann0Pauline Kremer1Ludwig Hinske2Ludwig Hinske3Roland Tomasi4Andrea S. Becker-Pennrich5Andrea S. Becker-Pennrich6Lars Kellert7Department of Neurology, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, GermanyDepartment of Neurology, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, GermanyDepartment of Anesthesiology, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, GermanyInstitute for Digital Medicine, University Hospital Augsburg, Augsburg, GermanyDepartment of Anesthesiology, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, GermanyDepartment of Anesthesiology, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, GermanyFaculty of Medicine, Pettenkofer School of Public Health, Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry and Epidemiology (IBE), LMU Munich, Munich, GermanyDepartment of Neurology, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, GermanyBackground and objectivePost-stroke delirium (PSD) is a common complication in acute stroke patients, and guidelines recommend routine screening and various preventive and treatment measures. However, there is a substantial lack of standardized approaches in diagnostic and therapeutic management of PSD. Here, we aimed to develop a new pragmatic and easily assessable screening tool to predict PSD based on early parameters, which are already integral to acute stroke diagnostics.MethodsWe enrolled acute stroke patients admitted to our stroke unit or intensive care unit and developed the scoring system using retrospective single-center patient data. The Confusion Assessment Method for the Intensive Care Unit was used for prospective score validation. Logistic regression models were employed to analyze the association of early clinical and paraclinical parameters with PSD development.ResultsN = 525 patients (median age: 76 years; 45.7% female) were enrolled, with 29.7% developing PSD during hospitalization. The resulting score comprises 6 items, including medical history, clinical examination findings, and non-contrast computed tomography results at admission. Scores range from −15 to +15 points, with higher values indicating a higher likelihood of PSD, ranging from 4% to 79%. The accuracy was 0.85, and the area under the curve was 0.89.ConclusionThe new RAPID (Risk Assessment and PredIction of Delirium in acute stroke patients)-score shows high accuracy in predicting PSD among acute stroke patients and offers precise odds of PSD for each corresponding score value, utilizing routine early clinical and paraclinical parameters. It can identify high-risk populations for clinical study interventions and may be suitable to guide prophylactic PSD measures.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2023.1306520/fulldeliriumacute strokeprediction scorestroke unitintensive care unitpost-stroke delirium
spellingShingle Johannes Wischmann
Pauline Kremer
Ludwig Hinske
Ludwig Hinske
Roland Tomasi
Andrea S. Becker-Pennrich
Andrea S. Becker-Pennrich
Lars Kellert
The RAPID-score: Risk Assessment and PredIction of Delirium in acute stroke patients based on very early clinical parameters
Frontiers in Neurology
delirium
acute stroke
prediction score
stroke unit
intensive care unit
post-stroke delirium
title The RAPID-score: Risk Assessment and PredIction of Delirium in acute stroke patients based on very early clinical parameters
title_full The RAPID-score: Risk Assessment and PredIction of Delirium in acute stroke patients based on very early clinical parameters
title_fullStr The RAPID-score: Risk Assessment and PredIction of Delirium in acute stroke patients based on very early clinical parameters
title_full_unstemmed The RAPID-score: Risk Assessment and PredIction of Delirium in acute stroke patients based on very early clinical parameters
title_short The RAPID-score: Risk Assessment and PredIction of Delirium in acute stroke patients based on very early clinical parameters
title_sort rapid score risk assessment and prediction of delirium in acute stroke patients based on very early clinical parameters
topic delirium
acute stroke
prediction score
stroke unit
intensive care unit
post-stroke delirium
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2023.1306520/full
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