Prediction of blossoming of apple tree (Malus domestica Borkh) BY phenological models

Paper discusses the possibilities for predicting date of blossom of apple tree (Malus domestica Borkh) cv. ‘Bobovec’ in Ljubljana.. The study was conducted at the University of Ljubljana, based on phenological observations made by Hydrometeorological institute of Slovenia during the period from 196...

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Main Authors: Lučka KAJFEŽ-BOGATAJ, Klemen BERGANT
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Ljubljana Press (Založba Univerze v Ljubljani) 1998-09-01
Series:Acta Agriculturae Slovenica
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.uni-lj.si/aas/article/view/16017
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author Lučka KAJFEŽ-BOGATAJ
Klemen BERGANT
author_facet Lučka KAJFEŽ-BOGATAJ
Klemen BERGANT
author_sort Lučka KAJFEŽ-BOGATAJ
collection DOAJ
description Paper discusses the possibilities for predicting date of blossom of apple tree (Malus domestica Borkh) cv. ‘Bobovec’ in Ljubljana.. The study was conducted at the University of Ljubljana, based on phenological observations made by Hydrometeorological institute of Slovenia during the period from 1967 to 1996. Four types of models are shown. Firstly, the model based on accumulated heat expressed  in degree-days (DD) is presented. Secondly, models based on linear multiple regression methods (including input parameters (a) phenological data of autochtonous plants, (b) timing of earlier phenophases of the same fruit tree and (c) environmental parameters) are compared and discussed. The date of flowering is strongly correlated with the time of earlier phenophases of various species: first leaves unfolding and beginning of flowering. The time for first leaves unfolding of birch (Betula pendula Roth) and  linden (Tilia platyphyllos Scop.) were important for flowering of apple, so were the mean March and April air temperatures. The analysis showed that a complex relationship exists between the timing of phenophase occurrence and environmental conditions.
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spelling doaj.art-2b1c481090634d62ac0422e328577d4f2023-12-18T22:15:24ZengUniversity of Ljubljana Press (Založba Univerze v Ljubljani)Acta Agriculturae Slovenica1854-19411998-09-01711Prediction of blossoming of apple tree (Malus domestica Borkh) BY phenological modelsLučka KAJFEŽ-BOGATAJ0Klemen BERGANT1University of Ljubljana, Biotechnical Faculty, Jamnikarjeva 101, SI-1111 LjubljanaUniversity of Ljubljana, Biotechnical Faculty, Jamnikarjeva 101, SI-1111 Ljubljana Paper discusses the possibilities for predicting date of blossom of apple tree (Malus domestica Borkh) cv. ‘Bobovec’ in Ljubljana.. The study was conducted at the University of Ljubljana, based on phenological observations made by Hydrometeorological institute of Slovenia during the period from 1967 to 1996. Four types of models are shown. Firstly, the model based on accumulated heat expressed  in degree-days (DD) is presented. Secondly, models based on linear multiple regression methods (including input parameters (a) phenological data of autochtonous plants, (b) timing of earlier phenophases of the same fruit tree and (c) environmental parameters) are compared and discussed. The date of flowering is strongly correlated with the time of earlier phenophases of various species: first leaves unfolding and beginning of flowering. The time for first leaves unfolding of birch (Betula pendula Roth) and  linden (Tilia platyphyllos Scop.) were important for flowering of apple, so were the mean March and April air temperatures. The analysis showed that a complex relationship exists between the timing of phenophase occurrence and environmental conditions. https://journals.uni-lj.si/aas/article/view/16017agricultural phenologymathematical modelsdegree days
spellingShingle Lučka KAJFEŽ-BOGATAJ
Klemen BERGANT
Prediction of blossoming of apple tree (Malus domestica Borkh) BY phenological models
Acta Agriculturae Slovenica
agricultural phenology
mathematical models
degree days
title Prediction of blossoming of apple tree (Malus domestica Borkh) BY phenological models
title_full Prediction of blossoming of apple tree (Malus domestica Borkh) BY phenological models
title_fullStr Prediction of blossoming of apple tree (Malus domestica Borkh) BY phenological models
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of blossoming of apple tree (Malus domestica Borkh) BY phenological models
title_short Prediction of blossoming of apple tree (Malus domestica Borkh) BY phenological models
title_sort prediction of blossoming of apple tree malus domestica borkh by phenological models
topic agricultural phenology
mathematical models
degree days
url https://journals.uni-lj.si/aas/article/view/16017
work_keys_str_mv AT luckakajfezbogataj predictionofblossomingofappletreemalusdomesticaborkhbyphenologicalmodels
AT klemenbergant predictionofblossomingofappletreemalusdomesticaborkhbyphenologicalmodels