Causal Effects and Dynamic Relationship between Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Development in Liberia

Studies envisioned to inform on major policy issues are paramount for Liberia's economic recovery. Therefore, we employ an unrestricted vector autoregressive model to analyze the dynamic associations between exchange rate volatility (ERV) and Liberia's real gross domestic product (RGDP)....

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Main Authors: Abimelech Paye Gbatu, Zhen Wang, Presley K. Wesseh Jr., Isaac Yak Repha Tutdel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2017-07-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/4796
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author Abimelech Paye Gbatu
Zhen Wang
Presley K. Wesseh Jr.
Isaac Yak Repha Tutdel
author_facet Abimelech Paye Gbatu
Zhen Wang
Presley K. Wesseh Jr.
Isaac Yak Repha Tutdel
author_sort Abimelech Paye Gbatu
collection DOAJ
description Studies envisioned to inform on major policy issues are paramount for Liberia's economic recovery. Therefore, we employ an unrestricted vector autoregressive model to analyze the dynamic associations between exchange rate volatility (ERV) and Liberia's real gross domestic product (RGDP). The empirical results show no significant relationship between ERV and Liberia's RGDP in the short-run, but variance decomposition analysis reveals that innovations to Liberia's RGDP lead to fluctuations in ERV in the long-run. Hence, we recommend that Liberia's policymakers should exert stronger monetary policy control to ensure the existence of single currency regime in the long-run. Also, technological innovation is required to boost domestic production in order to offset the negative effect of ERV on trade. Keywords: Economic growth; exchange rate volatility; Liberia; unrestricted VAR model JEL Classifications: E31, E32, E52
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spelling doaj.art-2b579c3e77b048d79d037c1b715aa8792023-02-15T16:17:27ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382017-07-0174Causal Effects and Dynamic Relationship between Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Development in LiberiaAbimelech Paye Gbatu0Zhen Wang1Presley K. Wesseh Jr.2Isaac Yak Repha Tutdel3Academy of Chinese Energy Strategy, China University of Petroleum, Beijing 102249, ChinaAcademy of Chinese Energy Strategy, China University of Petroleum, Beijing 102249, ChinaChina Center for Energy Economics Research, College of Economics, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, ChinaAcademy of Chinese Energy Strategy, China University of Petroleum, Beijing 102249, China Studies envisioned to inform on major policy issues are paramount for Liberia's economic recovery. Therefore, we employ an unrestricted vector autoregressive model to analyze the dynamic associations between exchange rate volatility (ERV) and Liberia's real gross domestic product (RGDP). The empirical results show no significant relationship between ERV and Liberia's RGDP in the short-run, but variance decomposition analysis reveals that innovations to Liberia's RGDP lead to fluctuations in ERV in the long-run. Hence, we recommend that Liberia's policymakers should exert stronger monetary policy control to ensure the existence of single currency regime in the long-run. Also, technological innovation is required to boost domestic production in order to offset the negative effect of ERV on trade. Keywords: Economic growth; exchange rate volatility; Liberia; unrestricted VAR model JEL Classifications: E31, E32, E52 https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/4796
spellingShingle Abimelech Paye Gbatu
Zhen Wang
Presley K. Wesseh Jr.
Isaac Yak Repha Tutdel
Causal Effects and Dynamic Relationship between Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Development in Liberia
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
title Causal Effects and Dynamic Relationship between Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Development in Liberia
title_full Causal Effects and Dynamic Relationship between Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Development in Liberia
title_fullStr Causal Effects and Dynamic Relationship between Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Development in Liberia
title_full_unstemmed Causal Effects and Dynamic Relationship between Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Development in Liberia
title_short Causal Effects and Dynamic Relationship between Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Development in Liberia
title_sort causal effects and dynamic relationship between exchange rate volatility and economic development in liberia
url https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/4796
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