Predictive factors for moderate or severe exacerbations in asthma patients receiving outpatient care

Abstract Background Asthma exacerbations are important events that affect disease control, but predictive factors for severe or moderate exacerbations are not known. The objective was to study the predictive factors for moderate (ME) and severe (SE) exacerbations in asthma patients receiving outpati...

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Main Authors: Francisco Javier Álvarez Gutiérrez, Marta Ferrer Galván, Juan Francisco Medina Gallardo, Marta Barrera Mancera, Beatriz Romero Romero, Auxiliadora Romero Falcón
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2017-05-01
Series:BMC Pulmonary Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12890-017-0422-6
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author Francisco Javier Álvarez Gutiérrez
Marta Ferrer Galván
Juan Francisco Medina Gallardo
Marta Barrera Mancera
Beatriz Romero Romero
Auxiliadora Romero Falcón
author_facet Francisco Javier Álvarez Gutiérrez
Marta Ferrer Galván
Juan Francisco Medina Gallardo
Marta Barrera Mancera
Beatriz Romero Romero
Auxiliadora Romero Falcón
author_sort Francisco Javier Álvarez Gutiérrez
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Asthma exacerbations are important events that affect disease control, but predictive factors for severe or moderate exacerbations are not known. The objective was to study the predictive factors for moderate (ME) and severe (SE) exacerbations in asthma patients receiving outpatient care. Methods Patients aged > 12 years with asthma were included in the study and followed-up at 4-monthly intervals over a 12-month period. Clinical (severity, level of control, asthma control test [ACT]), atopic, functional, inflammatory, SE and ME parameters were recorded. Univariate analysis was used to compare data from patients presenting at least 1 SE or ME during the follow-up period vs no exacerbations. Statistically significant (p <0.1) factors were then subjected to multiple analysis by binary logistic regression. Results A total of 330 patients completed the study, most of whom were atopic (76%), women (nearly 70%), with moderate and mild persistent asthma (>80%). Twenty-seven patients (8%) had a SE and 183 had a ME (58.5%) during follow-up. In the case of SEs, the only predictive factor identified in the multiple analysis was previous SE (baseline visit OR 4.218 95% CI 1.53-11.58, 4-month follow-up OR 6.88 95% CI 2.018-23.51) and inhalation technique (OR 3.572 95% CI 1.324-9.638). In the case of MEs, the only predictive factor found in the multiple analysis were previous ME (baseline visit OR 2.90 95% CI 1.54-5.48, 4-month follow- up OR 1.702 95% CI 1.146-2.529). Conclusions The primary predictive factor for SE or ME is prior SE or ME, respectively. SEs seem to constitute a specific patient "phenotype", in which the sole predictive factor is prior SEs.
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spelling doaj.art-2b68573e772241d091b33e6bb27de7412022-12-21T18:47:23ZengBMCBMC Pulmonary Medicine1471-24662017-05-011711710.1186/s12890-017-0422-6Predictive factors for moderate or severe exacerbations in asthma patients receiving outpatient careFrancisco Javier Álvarez Gutiérrez0Marta Ferrer Galván1Juan Francisco Medina Gallardo2Marta Barrera Mancera3Beatriz Romero Romero4Auxiliadora Romero Falcón5Asthma Unit, UMQER, Hospital Universitario Virgen del RocioAsthma Unit, UMQER, Hospital Universitario Virgen del RocioAsthma Unit, UMQER, Hospital Universitario Virgen del RocioAsthma Unit, UMQER, Hospital Universitario Virgen del RocioAsthma Unit, UMQER, Hospital Universitario Virgen del RocioAsthma Unit, UMQER, Hospital Universitario Virgen del RocioAbstract Background Asthma exacerbations are important events that affect disease control, but predictive factors for severe or moderate exacerbations are not known. The objective was to study the predictive factors for moderate (ME) and severe (SE) exacerbations in asthma patients receiving outpatient care. Methods Patients aged > 12 years with asthma were included in the study and followed-up at 4-monthly intervals over a 12-month period. Clinical (severity, level of control, asthma control test [ACT]), atopic, functional, inflammatory, SE and ME parameters were recorded. Univariate analysis was used to compare data from patients presenting at least 1 SE or ME during the follow-up period vs no exacerbations. Statistically significant (p <0.1) factors were then subjected to multiple analysis by binary logistic regression. Results A total of 330 patients completed the study, most of whom were atopic (76%), women (nearly 70%), with moderate and mild persistent asthma (>80%). Twenty-seven patients (8%) had a SE and 183 had a ME (58.5%) during follow-up. In the case of SEs, the only predictive factor identified in the multiple analysis was previous SE (baseline visit OR 4.218 95% CI 1.53-11.58, 4-month follow-up OR 6.88 95% CI 2.018-23.51) and inhalation technique (OR 3.572 95% CI 1.324-9.638). In the case of MEs, the only predictive factor found in the multiple analysis were previous ME (baseline visit OR 2.90 95% CI 1.54-5.48, 4-month follow- up OR 1.702 95% CI 1.146-2.529). Conclusions The primary predictive factor for SE or ME is prior SE or ME, respectively. SEs seem to constitute a specific patient "phenotype", in which the sole predictive factor is prior SEs.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12890-017-0422-6Asthma managementAsthma control testAtopicFunctional and inflammatory parametersDisease controlPredictive factors for exacerbations
spellingShingle Francisco Javier Álvarez Gutiérrez
Marta Ferrer Galván
Juan Francisco Medina Gallardo
Marta Barrera Mancera
Beatriz Romero Romero
Auxiliadora Romero Falcón
Predictive factors for moderate or severe exacerbations in asthma patients receiving outpatient care
BMC Pulmonary Medicine
Asthma management
Asthma control test
Atopic
Functional and inflammatory parameters
Disease control
Predictive factors for exacerbations
title Predictive factors for moderate or severe exacerbations in asthma patients receiving outpatient care
title_full Predictive factors for moderate or severe exacerbations in asthma patients receiving outpatient care
title_fullStr Predictive factors for moderate or severe exacerbations in asthma patients receiving outpatient care
title_full_unstemmed Predictive factors for moderate or severe exacerbations in asthma patients receiving outpatient care
title_short Predictive factors for moderate or severe exacerbations in asthma patients receiving outpatient care
title_sort predictive factors for moderate or severe exacerbations in asthma patients receiving outpatient care
topic Asthma management
Asthma control test
Atopic
Functional and inflammatory parameters
Disease control
Predictive factors for exacerbations
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12890-017-0422-6
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