The duration of export trade relations and its influential factors in China's wooden floor

Purpose – This article will select 25 years of subdivided data to perform Kaplan–Meier survival analysis on the export trade relations of Chinese wooden flooring, use discrete-time cloglog models to analyze influencing factors, use logit and probit models to test the robustness, and try to systemati...

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Main Authors: Ruonan Liu, Yuhui Yue, Dongling Miao, Baodong Cheng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Emerald Publishing 2021-12-01
Series:Forestry Economics Review
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/FER-12-2020-0014/full/pdf
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author Ruonan Liu
Yuhui Yue
Dongling Miao
Baodong Cheng
author_facet Ruonan Liu
Yuhui Yue
Dongling Miao
Baodong Cheng
author_sort Ruonan Liu
collection DOAJ
description Purpose – This article will select 25 years of subdivided data to perform Kaplan–Meier survival analysis on the export trade relations of Chinese wooden flooring, use discrete-time cloglog models to analyze influencing factors, use logit and probit models to test the robustness, and try to systematically reveal the duration of China's wood flooring export trade and its influencing factors. Design/methodology/approach – This study used Kaplan–Meier survival function estimation method. In the survival analysis, survival function and hazard rate function are often used to characterize the distribution of survival time. Findings – The continuous average export time of China's wooden flooring is relatively long, about 14 years. China's wooden flooring has a negative time dependency. After the export trade exceeds the threshold value of 15 years, the failure rate of trade greatly decreases, which has a “threshold effect.” Gravity model variables have a significant impact on the duration of China's wooden floor export. Originality/value – Studying the duration of forest products trade is of great significance for clearing deep-level trade relations and promoting sustainable development of forest products trade.
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spelling doaj.art-2b6bc9ef00fc4afe89b7b1cdba75a3e52023-06-30T14:26:50ZengEmerald PublishingForestry Economics Review2631-30302021-12-013121810.1108/FER-12-2020-0014The duration of export trade relations and its influential factors in China's wooden floorRuonan Liu0Yuhui Yue1Dongling Miao2Baodong Cheng3Beijing Forestry University, Beijing, ChinaBeijing Forestry University, Beijing, ChinaBeijing Forestry University, Beijing, ChinaBeijing Forestry University, Beijing, ChinaPurpose – This article will select 25 years of subdivided data to perform Kaplan–Meier survival analysis on the export trade relations of Chinese wooden flooring, use discrete-time cloglog models to analyze influencing factors, use logit and probit models to test the robustness, and try to systematically reveal the duration of China's wood flooring export trade and its influencing factors. Design/methodology/approach – This study used Kaplan–Meier survival function estimation method. In the survival analysis, survival function and hazard rate function are often used to characterize the distribution of survival time. Findings – The continuous average export time of China's wooden flooring is relatively long, about 14 years. China's wooden flooring has a negative time dependency. After the export trade exceeds the threshold value of 15 years, the failure rate of trade greatly decreases, which has a “threshold effect.” Gravity model variables have a significant impact on the duration of China's wooden floor export. Originality/value – Studying the duration of forest products trade is of great significance for clearing deep-level trade relations and promoting sustainable development of forest products trade.https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/FER-12-2020-0014/full/pdfWooden floorExport durationTrade relationsKaplan–Meier survival analysisCloglog model
spellingShingle Ruonan Liu
Yuhui Yue
Dongling Miao
Baodong Cheng
The duration of export trade relations and its influential factors in China's wooden floor
Forestry Economics Review
Wooden floor
Export duration
Trade relations
Kaplan–Meier survival analysis
Cloglog model
title The duration of export trade relations and its influential factors in China's wooden floor
title_full The duration of export trade relations and its influential factors in China's wooden floor
title_fullStr The duration of export trade relations and its influential factors in China's wooden floor
title_full_unstemmed The duration of export trade relations and its influential factors in China's wooden floor
title_short The duration of export trade relations and its influential factors in China's wooden floor
title_sort duration of export trade relations and its influential factors in china s wooden floor
topic Wooden floor
Export duration
Trade relations
Kaplan–Meier survival analysis
Cloglog model
url https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/FER-12-2020-0014/full/pdf
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