Assessment of Expressway Traffic Safety Using Gaussian Mixture Model based on Time to Collision

Traffic safety is of great significance, especially in urban expressway where traffic volume is large and traffic conflicts are highlighted. It is thus important to develop a methodology that is able to assess traffic safety. In this paper, we first analyze the time to collision (TTC) samples from t...

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Main Authors: Sheng Jin, Xiaobo Qu, Dianhai Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2011-12-01
Series:International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/2439.pdf
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author Sheng Jin
Xiaobo Qu
Dianhai Wang
author_facet Sheng Jin
Xiaobo Qu
Dianhai Wang
author_sort Sheng Jin
collection DOAJ
description Traffic safety is of great significance, especially in urban expressway where traffic volume is large and traffic conflicts are highlighted. It is thus important to develop a methodology that is able to assess traffic safety. In this paper, we first analyze the time to collision (TTC) samples from traffic videos collected from Beijing expressway with different locations, lanes, and traffic conditions. Accordingly, some basic descriptive statistics of 5 locations' TTC samples are shown, and it is concluded that Gaussian mixture model (GMM) distribution is the best-fitted distribution to TTC samples based on K-S goodness of fit tests. Using GMM distribution, TTC samples can be divided into three categories: dangerous situations, relative safe situations, and absolute safe situations, respectively. We then proceeds to introduce a novel concept of the percentage of serious traffic conflicts as the percentage of TTC samples below a predetermined threshold value in dangerous situation. After that, assessment results of expressway traffic safety are presented using the proposed traffic safety indictor. The results imply that traffic safety on the weaving segment is lower than that on mainlines and the percentage of serious traffic conflicts on median lane is larger than that on middle lane and shoulder lane.
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spelling doaj.art-2b743e0e9fa8459696063e40fbf1169e2022-12-22T00:34:04ZengSpringerInternational Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems1875-68832011-12-014610.2991/ijcis.2011.4.6.4Assessment of Expressway Traffic Safety Using Gaussian Mixture Model based on Time to CollisionSheng JinXiaobo QuDianhai WangTraffic safety is of great significance, especially in urban expressway where traffic volume is large and traffic conflicts are highlighted. It is thus important to develop a methodology that is able to assess traffic safety. In this paper, we first analyze the time to collision (TTC) samples from traffic videos collected from Beijing expressway with different locations, lanes, and traffic conditions. Accordingly, some basic descriptive statistics of 5 locations' TTC samples are shown, and it is concluded that Gaussian mixture model (GMM) distribution is the best-fitted distribution to TTC samples based on K-S goodness of fit tests. Using GMM distribution, TTC samples can be divided into three categories: dangerous situations, relative safe situations, and absolute safe situations, respectively. We then proceeds to introduce a novel concept of the percentage of serious traffic conflicts as the percentage of TTC samples below a predetermined threshold value in dangerous situation. After that, assessment results of expressway traffic safety are presented using the proposed traffic safety indictor. The results imply that traffic safety on the weaving segment is lower than that on mainlines and the percentage of serious traffic conflicts on median lane is larger than that on middle lane and shoulder lane.https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/2439.pdfTime to collisionGaussian mixture modelExpressway traffic safety.
spellingShingle Sheng Jin
Xiaobo Qu
Dianhai Wang
Assessment of Expressway Traffic Safety Using Gaussian Mixture Model based on Time to Collision
International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
Time to collision
Gaussian mixture model
Expressway traffic safety.
title Assessment of Expressway Traffic Safety Using Gaussian Mixture Model based on Time to Collision
title_full Assessment of Expressway Traffic Safety Using Gaussian Mixture Model based on Time to Collision
title_fullStr Assessment of Expressway Traffic Safety Using Gaussian Mixture Model based on Time to Collision
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of Expressway Traffic Safety Using Gaussian Mixture Model based on Time to Collision
title_short Assessment of Expressway Traffic Safety Using Gaussian Mixture Model based on Time to Collision
title_sort assessment of expressway traffic safety using gaussian mixture model based on time to collision
topic Time to collision
Gaussian mixture model
Expressway traffic safety.
url https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/2439.pdf
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AT xiaoboqu assessmentofexpresswaytrafficsafetyusinggaussianmixturemodelbasedontimetocollision
AT dianhaiwang assessmentofexpresswaytrafficsafetyusinggaussianmixturemodelbasedontimetocollision