Vertical Transmission in a Two-Strain Model of Dengue Fever

The role of vertical transmission in vectors has rarely been addressed in the study of dengue dynamics and control, in part because it was not considered a critical population-level factor. In this paper, we apply the pioneering modeling ideas of Ross and MacDonald, motivated by the context of the 2...

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Main Authors: David Murillo, Susan A. Holechek, Anarina L. Murillo, Fabio Sanchez, Carlos Castillo-Chavez
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Intercollegiate Biomathematics Alliance 2014-01-01
Series:Letters in Biomathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23737867.2014.11414484
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author David Murillo
Susan A. Holechek
Anarina L. Murillo
Fabio Sanchez
Carlos Castillo-Chavez
author_facet David Murillo
Susan A. Holechek
Anarina L. Murillo
Fabio Sanchez
Carlos Castillo-Chavez
author_sort David Murillo
collection DOAJ
description The role of vertical transmission in vectors has rarely been addressed in the study of dengue dynamics and control, in part because it was not considered a critical population-level factor. In this paper, we apply the pioneering modeling ideas of Ross and MacDonald, motivated by the context of the 2000–2001 dengue outbreak in Peru, to assess the dynamics of multi-strain competition. An invading strain of dengue virus (DENV-2) from Asia rapidly circulated into Peru eventually displacing DENV-2 American. A host-dengue model that considers the competing dynamics of these two DENV-2 genotypes, the resident or the American type and the invasive more virulent Asian strain, is introduced and analyzed. The model incorporates vertical transmission by DENV-2 Asian a potentially advantageous trait. Conditions for competitive exclusion of dengue strains are established. The model is used to show that lower transmission rates of DENV-2 Asian are sufficient for displacing DENV-2 American in the presence of vertical transmission.
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spelling doaj.art-2b79cbb3fa75400fb3ea08184d7729812022-12-21T21:51:56ZengIntercollegiate Biomathematics AllianceLetters in Biomathematics2373-78672014-01-011224927110.1080/23737867.2014.1141448411414484Vertical Transmission in a Two-Strain Model of Dengue FeverDavid Murillo0Susan A. Holechek1Anarina L. Murillo2Fabio Sanchez3Carlos Castillo-Chavez4Simon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational, and Modeling Sciences Center, Arizona State UniversitySimon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational, and Modeling Sciences Center, Arizona State UniversitySimon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational, and Modeling Sciences Center, Arizona State UniversitySimon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational, and Modeling Sciences Center, Arizona State UniversitySimon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational, and Modeling Sciences Center, Arizona State UniversityThe role of vertical transmission in vectors has rarely been addressed in the study of dengue dynamics and control, in part because it was not considered a critical population-level factor. In this paper, we apply the pioneering modeling ideas of Ross and MacDonald, motivated by the context of the 2000–2001 dengue outbreak in Peru, to assess the dynamics of multi-strain competition. An invading strain of dengue virus (DENV-2) from Asia rapidly circulated into Peru eventually displacing DENV-2 American. A host-dengue model that considers the competing dynamics of these two DENV-2 genotypes, the resident or the American type and the invasive more virulent Asian strain, is introduced and analyzed. The model incorporates vertical transmission by DENV-2 Asian a potentially advantageous trait. Conditions for competitive exclusion of dengue strains are established. The model is used to show that lower transmission rates of DENV-2 Asian are sufficient for displacing DENV-2 American in the presence of vertical transmission.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23737867.2014.11414484vector-host modeldengueepidemiologyvertical transmissionPeru
spellingShingle David Murillo
Susan A. Holechek
Anarina L. Murillo
Fabio Sanchez
Carlos Castillo-Chavez
Vertical Transmission in a Two-Strain Model of Dengue Fever
Letters in Biomathematics
vector-host model
dengue
epidemiology
vertical transmission
Peru
title Vertical Transmission in a Two-Strain Model of Dengue Fever
title_full Vertical Transmission in a Two-Strain Model of Dengue Fever
title_fullStr Vertical Transmission in a Two-Strain Model of Dengue Fever
title_full_unstemmed Vertical Transmission in a Two-Strain Model of Dengue Fever
title_short Vertical Transmission in a Two-Strain Model of Dengue Fever
title_sort vertical transmission in a two strain model of dengue fever
topic vector-host model
dengue
epidemiology
vertical transmission
Peru
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23737867.2014.11414484
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