A study of structural changes influence on Russian economy
It is presented the experience of identifying a simple dynamic model of the economy by statistical data of Russia in the early 2000s. As a result the end time of the growth due to loading of existing production capacities and the beginning time of transition to their structural changes have been det...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University)
2015-12-01
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| Series: | RUDN Journal of Economics |
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| Online Access: | http://journals.rudn.ru/economics/article/view/12090 |
| _version_ | 1819091716087480320 |
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| author | N N Olenev |
| author_facet | N N Olenev |
| author_sort | N N Olenev |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | It is presented the experience of identifying a simple dynamic model of the economy by statistical data of Russia in the early 2000s. As a result the end time of the growth due to loading of existing production capacities and the beginning time of transition to their structural changes have been determined. It is shown that to describe the ongoing processes, it is necessary to build an economic model with differentiated by age production assets. It is demonstrated the use of the identification sets method for analysis of forecast stability on this economic model. The result of the analysis is a conclusion that a transition from an unstable state to an economic growth regime by the expense of informed decisions. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-21T22:44:08Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-2be57d9315814594b6d7ce6309a0e272 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2313-2329 2408-8986 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-21T22:44:08Z |
| publishDate | 2015-12-01 |
| publisher | Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University) |
| record_format | Article |
| series | RUDN Journal of Economics |
| spelling | doaj.art-2be57d9315814594b6d7ce6309a0e2722022-12-21T18:47:46ZengPeoples’ Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University)RUDN Journal of Economics2313-23292408-89862015-12-010115015712089A study of structural changes influence on Russian economyN N Olenev0Вычислительный центр им. А.А. Дородницына РАНIt is presented the experience of identifying a simple dynamic model of the economy by statistical data of Russia in the early 2000s. As a result the end time of the growth due to loading of existing production capacities and the beginning time of transition to their structural changes have been determined. It is shown that to describe the ongoing processes, it is necessary to build an economic model with differentiated by age production assets. It is demonstrated the use of the identification sets method for analysis of forecast stability on this economic model. The result of the analysis is a conclusion that a transition from an unstable state to an economic growth regime by the expense of informed decisions.http://journals.rudn.ru/economics/article/view/12090динамическая модель экономикиструктурные изменениявозрастное распределение производственных фондовметод множеств идентификации |
| spellingShingle | N N Olenev A study of structural changes influence on Russian economy RUDN Journal of Economics динамическая модель экономики структурные изменения возрастное распределение производственных фондов метод множеств идентификации |
| title | A study of structural changes influence on Russian economy |
| title_full | A study of structural changes influence on Russian economy |
| title_fullStr | A study of structural changes influence on Russian economy |
| title_full_unstemmed | A study of structural changes influence on Russian economy |
| title_short | A study of structural changes influence on Russian economy |
| title_sort | study of structural changes influence on russian economy |
| topic | динамическая модель экономики структурные изменения возрастное распределение производственных фондов метод множеств идентификации |
| url | http://journals.rudn.ru/economics/article/view/12090 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT nnolenev astudyofstructuralchangesinfluenceonrussianeconomy AT nnolenev studyofstructuralchangesinfluenceonrussianeconomy |