The Patterns of Non-oil Exports of the Country Affected by Exchange Rate Fluctuation

The effective rate of exchange is one of the most important factors in international competitiveness. The more it increases, the better the competitiveness of exports is. So, keeping or raising the real effective exchange rate has a positive effect on the country's trade balance, but reducing i...

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Main Authors: Mansoureh Aligholi, Ataa'ollah Baradaran
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Yazd University 2019-08-01
Series:کاوش‌های مدیریت بازرگانی
Subjects:
Online Access:http://bar.yazd.ac.ir/article_1551_b592c60861fa80c1f2b066c3ef6a4a84.pdf
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author Mansoureh Aligholi
Ataa'ollah Baradaran
author_facet Mansoureh Aligholi
Ataa'ollah Baradaran
author_sort Mansoureh Aligholi
collection DOAJ
description The effective rate of exchange is one of the most important factors in international competitiveness. The more it increases, the better the competitiveness of exports is. So, keeping or raising the real effective exchange rate has a positive effect on the country's trade balance, but reducing it will have a negative effect. The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of exchange rate on the non-oil exports of Iran with the time series analysis approach. The data on the variables were extracted from databases for the period of 1991-2012, and the Dickey-Fuller test was used to evaluate the reliability of the variables. Also, the Granger causality test and the VAR model were used to test the hypothesis. The results showed that the variable of exchange rates had significant adverse effects on non-oil exports during the studied period; with an increase in the exchange rate in that period, non-oil exports declined. It was also shown that the impacts of GDP, the degree of economic openness and non-oil export facilities granted to the private sector were positive.
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spelling doaj.art-2c0e52f7f06d4c108bee90427ffe346a2023-05-31T20:14:55ZfasYazd Universityکاوش‌های مدیریت بازرگانی2645-386X2645-38782019-08-0111219111310.22034/jbar.2019.15511551The Patterns of Non-oil Exports of the Country Affected by Exchange Rate FluctuationMansoureh Aligholi0Ataa'ollah Baradaran1Associate Professor of Department of Business Managment Faculty of Management Islamic Azad University Centeral Tehran BranchMaster of Science in business Managment, Faculty of Management & Accounting, Qazvin Azad University, Qazvin, IranThe effective rate of exchange is one of the most important factors in international competitiveness. The more it increases, the better the competitiveness of exports is. So, keeping or raising the real effective exchange rate has a positive effect on the country's trade balance, but reducing it will have a negative effect. The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of exchange rate on the non-oil exports of Iran with the time series analysis approach. The data on the variables were extracted from databases for the period of 1991-2012, and the Dickey-Fuller test was used to evaluate the reliability of the variables. Also, the Granger causality test and the VAR model were used to test the hypothesis. The results showed that the variable of exchange rates had significant adverse effects on non-oil exports during the studied period; with an increase in the exchange rate in that period, non-oil exports declined. It was also shown that the impacts of GDP, the degree of economic openness and non-oil export facilities granted to the private sector were positive.http://bar.yazd.ac.ir/article_1551_b592c60861fa80c1f2b066c3ef6a4a84.pdfexportsexchange rategranger causalityvar model
spellingShingle Mansoureh Aligholi
Ataa'ollah Baradaran
The Patterns of Non-oil Exports of the Country Affected by Exchange Rate Fluctuation
کاوش‌های مدیریت بازرگانی
exports
exchange rate
granger causality
var model
title The Patterns of Non-oil Exports of the Country Affected by Exchange Rate Fluctuation
title_full The Patterns of Non-oil Exports of the Country Affected by Exchange Rate Fluctuation
title_fullStr The Patterns of Non-oil Exports of the Country Affected by Exchange Rate Fluctuation
title_full_unstemmed The Patterns of Non-oil Exports of the Country Affected by Exchange Rate Fluctuation
title_short The Patterns of Non-oil Exports of the Country Affected by Exchange Rate Fluctuation
title_sort patterns of non oil exports of the country affected by exchange rate fluctuation
topic exports
exchange rate
granger causality
var model
url http://bar.yazd.ac.ir/article_1551_b592c60861fa80c1f2b066c3ef6a4a84.pdf
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