Ensemble machine learning based driving range estimation for real‐world electric city buses by considering battery degradation levels

Abstract Battery electric buses (BEBs) have been regarded as effective options to address the congestion and pollution problems in the field of urban transportation. However, since the limited driving range of BEBs brings challenges for their promotion, the accurate estimation of the driving range w...

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Main Authors: Yongxing Wang, Chaoru Lu, Jun Bi, Qiuyue Sai, Yongzhi Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-06-01
Series:IET Intelligent Transport Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1049/itr2.12064
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author Yongxing Wang
Chaoru Lu
Jun Bi
Qiuyue Sai
Yongzhi Zhang
author_facet Yongxing Wang
Chaoru Lu
Jun Bi
Qiuyue Sai
Yongzhi Zhang
author_sort Yongxing Wang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Battery electric buses (BEBs) have been regarded as effective options to address the congestion and pollution problems in the field of urban transportation. However, since the limited driving range of BEBs brings challenges for their promotion, the accurate estimation of the driving range with limited available information has become a critical issue for public transport operators. The real‐world data collected from 50 BEBs operated in two different cities is used to develop the driving range estimation method by considering the battery degradation effects. Firstly, the incremental capacity analysis method is introduced to characterize the battery performance, and the battery degradation levels under different charging modes are recognized. Afterward, four types of ensemble machine learning (EML) methods are adopted to model the driving range estimation. The BEB driving data, weather condition data and battery degradation levels are used to train and test the models with consideration of 17 impact factors together with two different charging modes. The results indicate that the ensemble machine learning methods have good performance overall, of which the random forest has the highest accuracy. Furthermore, the importance of influencing factors is analysed, and the relevant insights are discussed.
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spelling doaj.art-2c68b75e16914d5d95a1e03662e9f5d12022-12-22T04:30:43ZengWileyIET Intelligent Transport Systems1751-956X1751-95782021-06-0115682483610.1049/itr2.12064Ensemble machine learning based driving range estimation for real‐world electric city buses by considering battery degradation levelsYongxing Wang0Chaoru Lu1Jun Bi2Qiuyue Sai3Yongzhi Zhang4Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Norwegian University of Science and Technology Trondheim NorwayDepartment of Civil Engineering and Energy Technology Oslo Metropolitan University Oslo NorwaySchool of Traffic and Transportation Beijing Jiaotong University Beijing ChinaSchool of Traffic and Transportation Beijing Jiaotong University Beijing ChinaSchool of Automotive Engineering Chongqing University Chongqing ChinaAbstract Battery electric buses (BEBs) have been regarded as effective options to address the congestion and pollution problems in the field of urban transportation. However, since the limited driving range of BEBs brings challenges for their promotion, the accurate estimation of the driving range with limited available information has become a critical issue for public transport operators. The real‐world data collected from 50 BEBs operated in two different cities is used to develop the driving range estimation method by considering the battery degradation effects. Firstly, the incremental capacity analysis method is introduced to characterize the battery performance, and the battery degradation levels under different charging modes are recognized. Afterward, four types of ensemble machine learning (EML) methods are adopted to model the driving range estimation. The BEB driving data, weather condition data and battery degradation levels are used to train and test the models with consideration of 17 impact factors together with two different charging modes. The results indicate that the ensemble machine learning methods have good performance overall, of which the random forest has the highest accuracy. Furthermore, the importance of influencing factors is analysed, and the relevant insights are discussed.https://doi.org/10.1049/itr2.12064Secondary cellsPower engineering computingSecondary cellsTransportationMachine learning (artificial intelligence)
spellingShingle Yongxing Wang
Chaoru Lu
Jun Bi
Qiuyue Sai
Yongzhi Zhang
Ensemble machine learning based driving range estimation for real‐world electric city buses by considering battery degradation levels
IET Intelligent Transport Systems
Secondary cells
Power engineering computing
Secondary cells
Transportation
Machine learning (artificial intelligence)
title Ensemble machine learning based driving range estimation for real‐world electric city buses by considering battery degradation levels
title_full Ensemble machine learning based driving range estimation for real‐world electric city buses by considering battery degradation levels
title_fullStr Ensemble machine learning based driving range estimation for real‐world electric city buses by considering battery degradation levels
title_full_unstemmed Ensemble machine learning based driving range estimation for real‐world electric city buses by considering battery degradation levels
title_short Ensemble machine learning based driving range estimation for real‐world electric city buses by considering battery degradation levels
title_sort ensemble machine learning based driving range estimation for real world electric city buses by considering battery degradation levels
topic Secondary cells
Power engineering computing
Secondary cells
Transportation
Machine learning (artificial intelligence)
url https://doi.org/10.1049/itr2.12064
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AT junbi ensemblemachinelearningbaseddrivingrangeestimationforrealworldelectriccitybusesbyconsideringbatterydegradationlevels
AT qiuyuesai ensemblemachinelearningbaseddrivingrangeestimationforrealworldelectriccitybusesbyconsideringbatterydegradationlevels
AT yongzhizhang ensemblemachinelearningbaseddrivingrangeestimationforrealworldelectriccitybusesbyconsideringbatterydegradationlevels