Valuation of large variable annuity portfolios: Monte Carlo simulation and synthetic datasets

Metamodeling techniques have recently been proposed to address the computational issues related to the valuation of large portfolios of variable annuity contracts. However, it is extremely diffcult, if not impossible, for researchers to obtain real datasets frominsurance companies in order to test t...

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Main Authors: Gan Guojun, Valdez Emiliano A.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: De Gruyter 2017-12-01
Series:Dependence Modeling
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1515/demo-2017-0021
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author Gan Guojun
Valdez Emiliano A.
author_facet Gan Guojun
Valdez Emiliano A.
author_sort Gan Guojun
collection DOAJ
description Metamodeling techniques have recently been proposed to address the computational issues related to the valuation of large portfolios of variable annuity contracts. However, it is extremely diffcult, if not impossible, for researchers to obtain real datasets frominsurance companies in order to test their metamodeling techniques on such real datasets and publish the results in academic journals. To facilitate the development and dissemination of research related to the effcient valuation of large variable annuity portfolios, this paper creates a large synthetic portfolio of variable annuity contracts based on the properties of real portfolios of variable annuities and implements a simple Monte Carlo simulation engine for valuing the synthetic portfolio. In addition, this paper presents fair market values and Greeks for the synthetic portfolio of variable annuity contracts that are important quantities for managing the financial risks associated with variable annuities. The resulting datasets can be used by researchers to test and compare the performance of various metamodeling techniques.
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spelling doaj.art-2c7b82328dc743489912ddfd394c2dc02022-12-21T18:38:47ZengDe GruyterDependence Modeling2300-22982017-12-015135437410.1515/demo-2017-0021demo-2017-0021Valuation of large variable annuity portfolios: Monte Carlo simulation and synthetic datasetsGan Guojun0Valdez Emiliano A.1Department of Mathematics, University of Connecticut, Storrs, Connecticut 06269, USADepartment of Mathematics, University of Connecticut, Storrs, Connecticut 06269, USAMetamodeling techniques have recently been proposed to address the computational issues related to the valuation of large portfolios of variable annuity contracts. However, it is extremely diffcult, if not impossible, for researchers to obtain real datasets frominsurance companies in order to test their metamodeling techniques on such real datasets and publish the results in academic journals. To facilitate the development and dissemination of research related to the effcient valuation of large variable annuity portfolios, this paper creates a large synthetic portfolio of variable annuity contracts based on the properties of real portfolios of variable annuities and implements a simple Monte Carlo simulation engine for valuing the synthetic portfolio. In addition, this paper presents fair market values and Greeks for the synthetic portfolio of variable annuity contracts that are important quantities for managing the financial risks associated with variable annuities. The resulting datasets can be used by researchers to test and compare the performance of various metamodeling techniques.https://doi.org/10.1515/demo-2017-0021monte carlomultivariate black-scholesmetamodelingvariable annuityportfolio valuation65c0591g60
spellingShingle Gan Guojun
Valdez Emiliano A.
Valuation of large variable annuity portfolios: Monte Carlo simulation and synthetic datasets
Dependence Modeling
monte carlo
multivariate black-scholes
metamodeling
variable annuity
portfolio valuation
65c05
91g60
title Valuation of large variable annuity portfolios: Monte Carlo simulation and synthetic datasets
title_full Valuation of large variable annuity portfolios: Monte Carlo simulation and synthetic datasets
title_fullStr Valuation of large variable annuity portfolios: Monte Carlo simulation and synthetic datasets
title_full_unstemmed Valuation of large variable annuity portfolios: Monte Carlo simulation and synthetic datasets
title_short Valuation of large variable annuity portfolios: Monte Carlo simulation and synthetic datasets
title_sort valuation of large variable annuity portfolios monte carlo simulation and synthetic datasets
topic monte carlo
multivariate black-scholes
metamodeling
variable annuity
portfolio valuation
65c05
91g60
url https://doi.org/10.1515/demo-2017-0021
work_keys_str_mv AT ganguojun valuationoflargevariableannuityportfoliosmontecarlosimulationandsyntheticdatasets
AT valdezemilianoa valuationoflargevariableannuityportfoliosmontecarlosimulationandsyntheticdatasets