Determinants of Sovereign Ratings in Emerging Countries: Qualitative Dependent Variables Panel Data Analysis

The aim of this paper is to study determinants of sovereign ratings of emerging countries. The effects of macroeconomic and political variables on the ratings are analyzed by probit and logit panel data analysis. This empirical research determines whether the sovereign ratings of emerging countries...

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Main Authors: Burhan Kabadayı, Ahmet Alkan Çelik
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2015-09-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/31970/352169?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturk
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author Burhan Kabadayı
Ahmet Alkan Çelik
author_facet Burhan Kabadayı
Ahmet Alkan Çelik
author_sort Burhan Kabadayı
collection DOAJ
description The aim of this paper is to study determinants of sovereign ratings of emerging countries. The effects of macroeconomic and political variables on the ratings are analyzed by probit and logit panel data analysis. This empirical research determines whether the sovereign ratings of emerging countries are independent of macroeconomic indicators of these countries. It might be vital to know the effects of macroeconomic variables on sovereign rating for politicians, foreign investors, monetary authorities and academicians. Thus, we need efficient and strong models explaining sovereign rating. In the empirical model of the study, qualitative and dependent variable models were used to check the effects of current account deficits, external debts, GDP per capita, real exchange rates, inflations, savings rates and political qualities on sovereign ratings that are exported by three large rating agencies’ (S&P, Moodys and Fitch). The results show that macroeconomic political variables affect sovereign ratings.
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spelling doaj.art-2c9cde59704b4901b3a81c71aa19a2782023-02-15T16:18:10ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382015-09-01536566621032Determinants of Sovereign Ratings in Emerging Countries: Qualitative Dependent Variables Panel Data AnalysisBurhan KabadayıAhmet Alkan ÇelikThe aim of this paper is to study determinants of sovereign ratings of emerging countries. The effects of macroeconomic and political variables on the ratings are analyzed by probit and logit panel data analysis. This empirical research determines whether the sovereign ratings of emerging countries are independent of macroeconomic indicators of these countries. It might be vital to know the effects of macroeconomic variables on sovereign rating for politicians, foreign investors, monetary authorities and academicians. Thus, we need efficient and strong models explaining sovereign rating. In the empirical model of the study, qualitative and dependent variable models were used to check the effects of current account deficits, external debts, GDP per capita, real exchange rates, inflations, savings rates and political qualities on sovereign ratings that are exported by three large rating agencies’ (S&P, Moodys and Fitch). The results show that macroeconomic political variables affect sovereign ratings.https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/31970/352169?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturksovereign rating emerging countries ordered probit and logit panel data analysis
spellingShingle Burhan Kabadayı
Ahmet Alkan Çelik
Determinants of Sovereign Ratings in Emerging Countries: Qualitative Dependent Variables Panel Data Analysis
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
sovereign rating
emerging countries
ordered probit and logit panel data analysis
title Determinants of Sovereign Ratings in Emerging Countries: Qualitative Dependent Variables Panel Data Analysis
title_full Determinants of Sovereign Ratings in Emerging Countries: Qualitative Dependent Variables Panel Data Analysis
title_fullStr Determinants of Sovereign Ratings in Emerging Countries: Qualitative Dependent Variables Panel Data Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Determinants of Sovereign Ratings in Emerging Countries: Qualitative Dependent Variables Panel Data Analysis
title_short Determinants of Sovereign Ratings in Emerging Countries: Qualitative Dependent Variables Panel Data Analysis
title_sort determinants of sovereign ratings in emerging countries qualitative dependent variables panel data analysis
topic sovereign rating
emerging countries
ordered probit and logit panel data analysis
url https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/31970/352169?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturk
work_keys_str_mv AT burhankabadayı determinantsofsovereignratingsinemergingcountriesqualitativedependentvariablespaneldataanalysis
AT ahmetalkancelik determinantsofsovereignratingsinemergingcountriesqualitativedependentvariablespaneldataanalysis