Impact of heat and drought stress on arable crop production in Belgium

Modelling approaches are needed to accelerate understanding of adverse weather impacts on crop performances and yields. The aim was to elicit biometeorological conditions that affect Belgian arable crop yield, commensurate with the scale of climatic impacts. The regional crop model REGCROP (Gobin, 2...

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Main Author: A. Gobin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2012-06-01
Series:Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/12/1911/2012/nhess-12-1911-2012.pdf
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author A. Gobin
author_facet A. Gobin
author_sort A. Gobin
collection DOAJ
description Modelling approaches are needed to accelerate understanding of adverse weather impacts on crop performances and yields. The aim was to elicit biometeorological conditions that affect Belgian arable crop yield, commensurate with the scale of climatic impacts. The regional crop model REGCROP (Gobin, 2010) enabled to examine changing weather patterns in relation to the crop season and crop sensitive stages of six arable crops: winter wheat, winter barley, winter rapeseed, potato, sugar beet and maize. The sum of vapour pressure deficit during the growing season is the single best predictor of arable yields, with <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> ranging from 0.55 for sugar beet to 0.76 for wheat. Drought and heat stress, in particular during the sensitive crop stages, occur at different times in the crop season and significantly differ between two climatic periods, 1947–1987 and 1988–2008. Though average yields have risen steadily between 1947 and 2008, there is no evidence that relative tolerance to stress has improved.
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spelling doaj.art-2cc0a394917c40bb8b7dbbbf5aae08d02022-12-22T01:59:17ZengCopernicus PublicationsNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciences1561-86331684-99812012-06-011261911192210.5194/nhess-12-1911-2012Impact of heat and drought stress on arable crop production in BelgiumA. GobinModelling approaches are needed to accelerate understanding of adverse weather impacts on crop performances and yields. The aim was to elicit biometeorological conditions that affect Belgian arable crop yield, commensurate with the scale of climatic impacts. The regional crop model REGCROP (Gobin, 2010) enabled to examine changing weather patterns in relation to the crop season and crop sensitive stages of six arable crops: winter wheat, winter barley, winter rapeseed, potato, sugar beet and maize. The sum of vapour pressure deficit during the growing season is the single best predictor of arable yields, with <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> ranging from 0.55 for sugar beet to 0.76 for wheat. Drought and heat stress, in particular during the sensitive crop stages, occur at different times in the crop season and significantly differ between two climatic periods, 1947–1987 and 1988–2008. Though average yields have risen steadily between 1947 and 2008, there is no evidence that relative tolerance to stress has improved.http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/12/1911/2012/nhess-12-1911-2012.pdf
spellingShingle A. Gobin
Impact of heat and drought stress on arable crop production in Belgium
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
title Impact of heat and drought stress on arable crop production in Belgium
title_full Impact of heat and drought stress on arable crop production in Belgium
title_fullStr Impact of heat and drought stress on arable crop production in Belgium
title_full_unstemmed Impact of heat and drought stress on arable crop production in Belgium
title_short Impact of heat and drought stress on arable crop production in Belgium
title_sort impact of heat and drought stress on arable crop production in belgium
url http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/12/1911/2012/nhess-12-1911-2012.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT agobin impactofheatanddroughtstressonarablecropproductioninbelgium