Adapting for Survival

This article discusses the strategic shifts that the Islamic State (IS) has implemented in order to survive, especially in what regards its propaganda and military tactics. We argue that – for a long time now and in both domains – the IS and its predecessors have been flexible and resilient enough t...

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Main Authors: Jorge Mascarenhas Lasmar, Guilherme Damasceno Fonseca
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Associação Brasileira de Relações Internacionais 2019-05-01
Series:Carta Internacional
Online Access:https://www.cartainternacional.abri.org.br/Carta/article/view/826
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author Jorge Mascarenhas Lasmar
Guilherme Damasceno Fonseca
author_facet Jorge Mascarenhas Lasmar
Guilherme Damasceno Fonseca
author_sort Jorge Mascarenhas Lasmar
collection DOAJ
description This article discusses the strategic shifts that the Islamic State (IS) has implemented in order to survive, especially in what regards its propaganda and military tactics. We argue that – for a long time now and in both domains – the IS and its predecessors have been flexible and resilient enough to adapt to new realities on the ground being able to shape and reshape its strategy and tactics towards its enemies’ capabilities and policies. In terms of propaganda, despite a decrease of its online presence, the IS has struggled to adapt some of its main narratives to the new reality brought about by the beginning of the international coalition attacks. However, evidence seems to suggest that the group will likely be able to maintain its online relevance yet for some time. Regarding its military tactics in Syria and Iraq, history and current evidence points to a return to its insurgent roots. This seems to be corroborated by the group’s current increasing resort to terrorism and guerrilla tactics. Lastly, we argue that it is still premature to either claim the rebirth of the IS or to declare its demise.
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spelling doaj.art-2cf75fdd7d15403cb44f18215b7b49772022-12-21T23:52:03ZengAssociação Brasileira de Relações InternacionaisCarta Internacional2526-90382019-05-0114110312610.21530/ci.v14n1.2019.826826Adapting for SurvivalJorge Mascarenhas LasmarGuilherme Damasceno FonsecaThis article discusses the strategic shifts that the Islamic State (IS) has implemented in order to survive, especially in what regards its propaganda and military tactics. We argue that – for a long time now and in both domains – the IS and its predecessors have been flexible and resilient enough to adapt to new realities on the ground being able to shape and reshape its strategy and tactics towards its enemies’ capabilities and policies. In terms of propaganda, despite a decrease of its online presence, the IS has struggled to adapt some of its main narratives to the new reality brought about by the beginning of the international coalition attacks. However, evidence seems to suggest that the group will likely be able to maintain its online relevance yet for some time. Regarding its military tactics in Syria and Iraq, history and current evidence points to a return to its insurgent roots. This seems to be corroborated by the group’s current increasing resort to terrorism and guerrilla tactics. Lastly, we argue that it is still premature to either claim the rebirth of the IS or to declare its demise.https://www.cartainternacional.abri.org.br/Carta/article/view/826
spellingShingle Jorge Mascarenhas Lasmar
Guilherme Damasceno Fonseca
Adapting for Survival
Carta Internacional
title Adapting for Survival
title_full Adapting for Survival
title_fullStr Adapting for Survival
title_full_unstemmed Adapting for Survival
title_short Adapting for Survival
title_sort adapting for survival
url https://www.cartainternacional.abri.org.br/Carta/article/view/826
work_keys_str_mv AT jorgemascarenhaslasmar adaptingforsurvival
AT guilhermedamascenofonseca adaptingforsurvival