Investigation of the seismicity of East Anatolian fault zone (EAFZ) according to Poisson and Exponential distribution models
Turkey has a highearthquake risk due to include the active North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ) andEast Anatolian Fault Zone (EAFZ). The earthquakes should be detail investigatedin order to minimize the damage caused by the earthquakes. Differentstatistical approaches are used in these estimation studi...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Düzce University
2018-04-01
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| Series: | Düzce Üniversitesi Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi |
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| Online Access: | https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/451820 |
| _version_ | 1826544796506783744 |
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| author | Kaan Hakan Çoban Nilgün Sayıl |
| author_facet | Kaan Hakan Çoban Nilgün Sayıl |
| author_sort | Kaan Hakan Çoban |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Turkey has a highearthquake risk due to include the active North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ) andEast Anatolian Fault Zone (EAFZ). The earthquakes should be detail investigatedin order to minimize the damage caused by the earthquakes. Differentstatistical approaches are used in these estimation studies. Poissondistribution model is widely used in earthquake studies. The model used for alarge number of statistical studies and it gives reliable results. Moreover,exponential distribution model is used in earthquake prediction studies. Inthis study, EAFZ and its near regions were selected as the study area. ThePoisson and Exponential distribution model was applied by using the earthquakesof Ms≥5.0, which occurred in the selected area between 1900 -2016. Theprobabilities of occurrence of earthquakes with a magnitude of Ms≥5.0 andrecurrence periods are calculated with the obtained model results. According tothe results of Poisson model, the probability of earthquake (Ms≥5.2) within 1year is 33,6% and earthquake recurrence period is estimated as 2 year.According to the exponential distribution model results, the recurrence of earthquakes(Ms≥5.2) is 1 years and probability is74,7%. The two models were compared andthe results were evaluated. When the seismicity of the region was examined, itwas seen that the results were consistent. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-07T23:10:47Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-2d043fb8722e49a0a9cb0e055a483d9d |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2148-2446 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2025-03-14T05:07:40Z |
| publishDate | 2018-04-01 |
| publisher | Düzce University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Düzce Üniversitesi Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi |
| spelling | doaj.art-2d043fb8722e49a0a9cb0e055a483d9d2025-03-06T18:57:25ZengDüzce UniversityDüzce Üniversitesi Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi2148-24462018-04-016249150097Investigation of the seismicity of East Anatolian fault zone (EAFZ) according to Poisson and Exponential distribution modelsKaan Hakan ÇobanNilgün SayılTurkey has a highearthquake risk due to include the active North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ) andEast Anatolian Fault Zone (EAFZ). The earthquakes should be detail investigatedin order to minimize the damage caused by the earthquakes. Differentstatistical approaches are used in these estimation studies. Poissondistribution model is widely used in earthquake studies. The model used for alarge number of statistical studies and it gives reliable results. Moreover,exponential distribution model is used in earthquake prediction studies. Inthis study, EAFZ and its near regions were selected as the study area. ThePoisson and Exponential distribution model was applied by using the earthquakesof Ms≥5.0, which occurred in the selected area between 1900 -2016. Theprobabilities of occurrence of earthquakes with a magnitude of Ms≥5.0 andrecurrence periods are calculated with the obtained model results. According tothe results of Poisson model, the probability of earthquake (Ms≥5.2) within 1year is 33,6% and earthquake recurrence period is estimated as 2 year.According to the exponential distribution model results, the recurrence of earthquakes(Ms≥5.2) is 1 years and probability is74,7%. The two models were compared andthe results were evaluated. When the seismicity of the region was examined, itwas seen that the results were consistent.https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/451820earthquake riskpoisson modelexponential distribution modeleast anatolian fault zone (eafz)poisson modeldeprem riskiüstel dağılım modelidoğu anadolu fay zonu (dafz) |
| spellingShingle | Kaan Hakan Çoban Nilgün Sayıl Investigation of the seismicity of East Anatolian fault zone (EAFZ) according to Poisson and Exponential distribution models Düzce Üniversitesi Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi earthquake risk poisson model exponential distribution model east anatolian fault zone (eafz) poisson model deprem riski üstel dağılım modeli doğu anadolu fay zonu (dafz) |
| title | Investigation of the seismicity of East Anatolian fault zone (EAFZ) according to Poisson and Exponential distribution models |
| title_full | Investigation of the seismicity of East Anatolian fault zone (EAFZ) according to Poisson and Exponential distribution models |
| title_fullStr | Investigation of the seismicity of East Anatolian fault zone (EAFZ) according to Poisson and Exponential distribution models |
| title_full_unstemmed | Investigation of the seismicity of East Anatolian fault zone (EAFZ) according to Poisson and Exponential distribution models |
| title_short | Investigation of the seismicity of East Anatolian fault zone (EAFZ) according to Poisson and Exponential distribution models |
| title_sort | investigation of the seismicity of east anatolian fault zone eafz according to poisson and exponential distribution models |
| topic | earthquake risk poisson model exponential distribution model east anatolian fault zone (eafz) poisson model deprem riski üstel dağılım modeli doğu anadolu fay zonu (dafz) |
| url | https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/451820 |
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