Bayesian Computational Methods for Sampling from the Posterior Distribution of a Bivariate Survival Model, Based on AMH Copula in the Presence of Right-Censored Data

In this paper, we study the performance of Bayesian computational methods to estimate the parameters of a bivariate survival model based on the Ali–Mikhail–Haq copula with marginal distributions given by Weibull distributions. The estimation procedure was based on Monte Carlo Mar...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Erlandson Ferreira Saraiva, Adriano Kamimura Suzuki, Luis Aparecido Milan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2018-08-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/20/9/642
_version_ 1818035736347148288
author Erlandson Ferreira Saraiva
Adriano Kamimura Suzuki
Luis Aparecido Milan
author_facet Erlandson Ferreira Saraiva
Adriano Kamimura Suzuki
Luis Aparecido Milan
author_sort Erlandson Ferreira Saraiva
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, we study the performance of Bayesian computational methods to estimate the parameters of a bivariate survival model based on the Ali–Mikhail–Haq copula with marginal distributions given by Weibull distributions. The estimation procedure was based on Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) algorithms. We present three version of the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm: Independent Metropolis–Hastings (IMH), Random Walk Metropolis (RWM) and Metropolis–Hastings with a natural-candidate generating density (MH). Since the creation of a good candidate generating density in IMH and RWM may be difficult, we also describe how to update a parameter of interest using the slice sampling (SS) method. A simulation study was carried out to compare the performances of the IMH, RWM and SS. A comparison was made using the sample root mean square error as an indicator of performance. Results obtained from the simulations show that the SS algorithm is an effective alternative to the IMH and RWM methods when simulating values from the posterior distribution, especially for small sample sizes. We also applied these methods to a real data set.
first_indexed 2024-12-10T06:59:48Z
format Article
id doaj.art-2d6d894437db4451901054e63c51d5eb
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1099-4300
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-10T06:59:48Z
publishDate 2018-08-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Entropy
spelling doaj.art-2d6d894437db4451901054e63c51d5eb2022-12-22T01:58:21ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002018-08-0120964210.3390/e20090642e20090642Bayesian Computational Methods for Sampling from the Posterior Distribution of a Bivariate Survival Model, Based on AMH Copula in the Presence of Right-Censored DataErlandson Ferreira Saraiva0Adriano Kamimura Suzuki1Luis Aparecido Milan2Instituto de Matemática, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Campo Grande 79070-900, BrazilDepartamento de Matemática Aplicada e Estatística, Universidade de São Paulo, São Carlos 13566-590, BrazilDepartamento de Estatística, Universidade de São Carlos, São Carlos 13565-905, BrazilIn this paper, we study the performance of Bayesian computational methods to estimate the parameters of a bivariate survival model based on the Ali–Mikhail–Haq copula with marginal distributions given by Weibull distributions. The estimation procedure was based on Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) algorithms. We present three version of the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm: Independent Metropolis–Hastings (IMH), Random Walk Metropolis (RWM) and Metropolis–Hastings with a natural-candidate generating density (MH). Since the creation of a good candidate generating density in IMH and RWM may be difficult, we also describe how to update a parameter of interest using the slice sampling (SS) method. A simulation study was carried out to compare the performances of the IMH, RWM and SS. A comparison was made using the sample root mean square error as an indicator of performance. Results obtained from the simulations show that the SS algorithm is an effective alternative to the IMH and RWM methods when simulating values from the posterior distribution, especially for small sample sizes. We also applied these methods to a real data set.http://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/20/9/642Bayesian inferenceAli–Mikhail–Haq copulaMCMCMetropolis-Hastingsslice sampling
spellingShingle Erlandson Ferreira Saraiva
Adriano Kamimura Suzuki
Luis Aparecido Milan
Bayesian Computational Methods for Sampling from the Posterior Distribution of a Bivariate Survival Model, Based on AMH Copula in the Presence of Right-Censored Data
Entropy
Bayesian inference
Ali–Mikhail–Haq copula
MCMC
Metropolis-Hastings
slice sampling
title Bayesian Computational Methods for Sampling from the Posterior Distribution of a Bivariate Survival Model, Based on AMH Copula in the Presence of Right-Censored Data
title_full Bayesian Computational Methods for Sampling from the Posterior Distribution of a Bivariate Survival Model, Based on AMH Copula in the Presence of Right-Censored Data
title_fullStr Bayesian Computational Methods for Sampling from the Posterior Distribution of a Bivariate Survival Model, Based on AMH Copula in the Presence of Right-Censored Data
title_full_unstemmed Bayesian Computational Methods for Sampling from the Posterior Distribution of a Bivariate Survival Model, Based on AMH Copula in the Presence of Right-Censored Data
title_short Bayesian Computational Methods for Sampling from the Posterior Distribution of a Bivariate Survival Model, Based on AMH Copula in the Presence of Right-Censored Data
title_sort bayesian computational methods for sampling from the posterior distribution of a bivariate survival model based on amh copula in the presence of right censored data
topic Bayesian inference
Ali–Mikhail–Haq copula
MCMC
Metropolis-Hastings
slice sampling
url http://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/20/9/642
work_keys_str_mv AT erlandsonferreirasaraiva bayesiancomputationalmethodsforsamplingfromtheposteriordistributionofabivariatesurvivalmodelbasedonamhcopulainthepresenceofrightcensoreddata
AT adrianokamimurasuzuki bayesiancomputationalmethodsforsamplingfromtheposteriordistributionofabivariatesurvivalmodelbasedonamhcopulainthepresenceofrightcensoreddata
AT luisaparecidomilan bayesiancomputationalmethodsforsamplingfromtheposteriordistributionofabivariatesurvivalmodelbasedonamhcopulainthepresenceofrightcensoreddata