Understanding Growth-Induced Trends in Local Climate Zones, Land Surface Temperature, and Extreme Temperature Events in a Rapidly Growing City: A Case of Bulawayo Metropolitan City in Zimbabwe

Assessment of the responses of the urban thermal environment to climate is important, especially because of their possible influence on low- and high-temperature extreme events. This study assessed the combination of remotely sensed land surface temperature (LST) and local climate zones (LCZs) with...

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Main Authors: Terence Darlington Mushore, Onisimo Mutanga, John Odindi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-07-01
Series:Frontiers in Environmental Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.910816/full
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author Terence Darlington Mushore
Terence Darlington Mushore
Onisimo Mutanga
John Odindi
author_facet Terence Darlington Mushore
Terence Darlington Mushore
Onisimo Mutanga
John Odindi
author_sort Terence Darlington Mushore
collection DOAJ
description Assessment of the responses of the urban thermal environment to climate is important, especially because of their possible influence on low- and high-temperature extreme events. This study assessed the combination of remotely sensed land surface temperature (LST) and local climate zones (LCZs) with in situ air temperature-retrieved extreme temperature indices. It aimed to assess the effect of urban growth on the three-dimensional thermal environment in the Bulawayo metropolitan area, Zimbabwe. LST and LCZ were derived from the Landsat data for 1990, 2005, and 2020, while extreme temperature indices and trends were derived from daily minimum and maximum temperature data from a local weather station. Results showed that the built LCZ expanded at the expense of vegetation-based LCZ. Average LST for each LCZ increased from 1990 to 2020, which was attributed to background warming, while the expansion of high LST areas was associated with LCZ transitions. Although average minimum temperature decreased, cool nights increased, warmest nights remained unchanged, and the lowest minimum increased, the highest minimum temperatures decreased, but the trends were not statistically significant (p > 0.05). Indices of daytime warming showed significant changes, which includes an increase in average maximum temperature (p = 0.002), increase in lowest maximum temperature (p = 0), increase in the number of very warm days (p = 0.004), and decrease in the number of cool days (p = 0). The significant increase in daytime extremes was attributed to an increase in highly absorbing LCZ and daytime pollution due to industrial activities. The study also concluded that development in water areas or siltation of water bodies has a greater warming effect than other LCZ changes. The findings show that development needs to consider potential effects on the thermal environment and temperature extremes.
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spelling doaj.art-2d8cdc94be2448bc9cf17e79848201ed2022-12-22T02:30:13ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Environmental Science2296-665X2022-07-011010.3389/fenvs.2022.910816910816Understanding Growth-Induced Trends in Local Climate Zones, Land Surface Temperature, and Extreme Temperature Events in a Rapidly Growing City: A Case of Bulawayo Metropolitan City in ZimbabweTerence Darlington Mushore0Terence Darlington Mushore1Onisimo Mutanga2John Odindi3Discipline of Geography, School of Agricultural, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, South AfricaDepartment of Space Science and Applied Physics, Faculty of Science, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweDiscipline of Geography, School of Agricultural, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, South AfricaDiscipline of Geography, School of Agricultural, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, South AfricaAssessment of the responses of the urban thermal environment to climate is important, especially because of their possible influence on low- and high-temperature extreme events. This study assessed the combination of remotely sensed land surface temperature (LST) and local climate zones (LCZs) with in situ air temperature-retrieved extreme temperature indices. It aimed to assess the effect of urban growth on the three-dimensional thermal environment in the Bulawayo metropolitan area, Zimbabwe. LST and LCZ were derived from the Landsat data for 1990, 2005, and 2020, while extreme temperature indices and trends were derived from daily minimum and maximum temperature data from a local weather station. Results showed that the built LCZ expanded at the expense of vegetation-based LCZ. Average LST for each LCZ increased from 1990 to 2020, which was attributed to background warming, while the expansion of high LST areas was associated with LCZ transitions. Although average minimum temperature decreased, cool nights increased, warmest nights remained unchanged, and the lowest minimum increased, the highest minimum temperatures decreased, but the trends were not statistically significant (p > 0.05). Indices of daytime warming showed significant changes, which includes an increase in average maximum temperature (p = 0.002), increase in lowest maximum temperature (p = 0), increase in the number of very warm days (p = 0.004), and decrease in the number of cool days (p = 0). The significant increase in daytime extremes was attributed to an increase in highly absorbing LCZ and daytime pollution due to industrial activities. The study also concluded that development in water areas or siltation of water bodies has a greater warming effect than other LCZ changes. The findings show that development needs to consider potential effects on the thermal environment and temperature extremes.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.910816/fullLCZclimate changetemperature extremeshot dayscold nightsextreme climate indices
spellingShingle Terence Darlington Mushore
Terence Darlington Mushore
Onisimo Mutanga
John Odindi
Understanding Growth-Induced Trends in Local Climate Zones, Land Surface Temperature, and Extreme Temperature Events in a Rapidly Growing City: A Case of Bulawayo Metropolitan City in Zimbabwe
Frontiers in Environmental Science
LCZ
climate change
temperature extremes
hot days
cold nights
extreme climate indices
title Understanding Growth-Induced Trends in Local Climate Zones, Land Surface Temperature, and Extreme Temperature Events in a Rapidly Growing City: A Case of Bulawayo Metropolitan City in Zimbabwe
title_full Understanding Growth-Induced Trends in Local Climate Zones, Land Surface Temperature, and Extreme Temperature Events in a Rapidly Growing City: A Case of Bulawayo Metropolitan City in Zimbabwe
title_fullStr Understanding Growth-Induced Trends in Local Climate Zones, Land Surface Temperature, and Extreme Temperature Events in a Rapidly Growing City: A Case of Bulawayo Metropolitan City in Zimbabwe
title_full_unstemmed Understanding Growth-Induced Trends in Local Climate Zones, Land Surface Temperature, and Extreme Temperature Events in a Rapidly Growing City: A Case of Bulawayo Metropolitan City in Zimbabwe
title_short Understanding Growth-Induced Trends in Local Climate Zones, Land Surface Temperature, and Extreme Temperature Events in a Rapidly Growing City: A Case of Bulawayo Metropolitan City in Zimbabwe
title_sort understanding growth induced trends in local climate zones land surface temperature and extreme temperature events in a rapidly growing city a case of bulawayo metropolitan city in zimbabwe
topic LCZ
climate change
temperature extremes
hot days
cold nights
extreme climate indices
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.910816/full
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