Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin

Study region: The Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin in China. Study focus: Watershed hydrological simulation is a prominent aspect of hydrology, however, comprehensive analysis of lake basins based on hydrological simulation is rarely conducted. Therefore, we used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT+) wit...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Feiyan Xiao, Xunming Wang, Congsheng Fu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-06-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221458182300109X
_version_ 1797801758435573760
author Feiyan Xiao
Xunming Wang
Congsheng Fu
author_facet Feiyan Xiao
Xunming Wang
Congsheng Fu
author_sort Feiyan Xiao
collection DOAJ
description Study region: The Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin in China. Study focus: Watershed hydrological simulation is a prominent aspect of hydrology, however, comprehensive analysis of lake basins based on hydrological simulation is rarely conducted. Therefore, we used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT+) with dynamic land use/land cover (LULC) input and time-varying parameters to simulate streamflow of the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin and estimate the impacts of LULC and climate change on streamflow during 1961–2017. We also evaluated the contributions of LULC and climate change to water volume in Lake Xiaoxingkai through a lake water balance analysis. New hydrologic insights for the region: The simulated streamflow agrees well with observations at most stations (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency, NSE > 0.5, and goodness of fit, R2 > 0.8). Climate change has a positive effect on streamflow which dominates the streamflow variations during 1981–1995 and 2006–2017, whereas LULC change has a negative effect with a dominant role during 1996–2005. The volume of Lake Xiaoxingkai increased slightly at a rate of 0.12 × 106 m3 yr−1, with climate change contributing the most (77.25 %) to the increase, followed by direct human activities (47.50 %) and LULC change (−24.76 %). This study facilitates a better understanding of the hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin under changing environments and is helpful for regional water resource management.
first_indexed 2024-03-13T04:55:21Z
format Article
id doaj.art-2dbcdf910ddf491d9b34dd1615f1565b
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2214-5818
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-13T04:55:21Z
publishDate 2023-06-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
spelling doaj.art-2dbcdf910ddf491d9b34dd1615f1565b2023-06-18T05:02:03ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182023-06-0147101422Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake BasinFeiyan Xiao0Xunming Wang1Congsheng Fu2Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 11A Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, ChinaInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 11A Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China; Corresponding author at: Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 11A Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, China.Key Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, ChinaStudy region: The Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin in China. Study focus: Watershed hydrological simulation is a prominent aspect of hydrology, however, comprehensive analysis of lake basins based on hydrological simulation is rarely conducted. Therefore, we used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT+) with dynamic land use/land cover (LULC) input and time-varying parameters to simulate streamflow of the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin and estimate the impacts of LULC and climate change on streamflow during 1961–2017. We also evaluated the contributions of LULC and climate change to water volume in Lake Xiaoxingkai through a lake water balance analysis. New hydrologic insights for the region: The simulated streamflow agrees well with observations at most stations (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency, NSE > 0.5, and goodness of fit, R2 > 0.8). Climate change has a positive effect on streamflow which dominates the streamflow variations during 1981–1995 and 2006–2017, whereas LULC change has a negative effect with a dominant role during 1996–2005. The volume of Lake Xiaoxingkai increased slightly at a rate of 0.12 × 106 m3 yr−1, with climate change contributing the most (77.25 %) to the increase, followed by direct human activities (47.50 %) and LULC change (−24.76 %). This study facilitates a better understanding of the hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin under changing environments and is helpful for regional water resource management.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221458182300109XSWAT+LULC changeClimate changeHydrological cycleLake water balance
spellingShingle Feiyan Xiao
Xunming Wang
Congsheng Fu
Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
SWAT+
LULC change
Climate change
Hydrological cycle
Lake water balance
title Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin
title_full Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin
title_fullStr Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin
title_full_unstemmed Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin
title_short Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin
title_sort impacts of land use land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the xiaoxingkai lake basin
topic SWAT+
LULC change
Climate change
Hydrological cycle
Lake water balance
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221458182300109X
work_keys_str_mv AT feiyanxiao impactsoflanduselandcoverandclimatechangeonhydrologicalcycleinthexiaoxingkailakebasin
AT xunmingwang impactsoflanduselandcoverandclimatechangeonhydrologicalcycleinthexiaoxingkailakebasin
AT congshengfu impactsoflanduselandcoverandclimatechangeonhydrologicalcycleinthexiaoxingkailakebasin