Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin
Study region: The Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin in China. Study focus: Watershed hydrological simulation is a prominent aspect of hydrology, however, comprehensive analysis of lake basins based on hydrological simulation is rarely conducted. Therefore, we used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT+) wit...
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Elsevier
2023-06-01
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Series: | Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies |
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Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221458182300109X |
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author | Feiyan Xiao Xunming Wang Congsheng Fu |
author_facet | Feiyan Xiao Xunming Wang Congsheng Fu |
author_sort | Feiyan Xiao |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Study region: The Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin in China. Study focus: Watershed hydrological simulation is a prominent aspect of hydrology, however, comprehensive analysis of lake basins based on hydrological simulation is rarely conducted. Therefore, we used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT+) with dynamic land use/land cover (LULC) input and time-varying parameters to simulate streamflow of the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin and estimate the impacts of LULC and climate change on streamflow during 1961–2017. We also evaluated the contributions of LULC and climate change to water volume in Lake Xiaoxingkai through a lake water balance analysis. New hydrologic insights for the region: The simulated streamflow agrees well with observations at most stations (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency, NSE > 0.5, and goodness of fit, R2 > 0.8). Climate change has a positive effect on streamflow which dominates the streamflow variations during 1981–1995 and 2006–2017, whereas LULC change has a negative effect with a dominant role during 1996–2005. The volume of Lake Xiaoxingkai increased slightly at a rate of 0.12 × 106 m3 yr−1, with climate change contributing the most (77.25 %) to the increase, followed by direct human activities (47.50 %) and LULC change (−24.76 %). This study facilitates a better understanding of the hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin under changing environments and is helpful for regional water resource management. |
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issn | 2214-5818 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-13T04:55:21Z |
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series | Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies |
spelling | doaj.art-2dbcdf910ddf491d9b34dd1615f1565b2023-06-18T05:02:03ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182023-06-0147101422Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake BasinFeiyan Xiao0Xunming Wang1Congsheng Fu2Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 11A Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, ChinaInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 11A Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China; Corresponding author at: Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 11A Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, China.Key Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, ChinaStudy region: The Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin in China. Study focus: Watershed hydrological simulation is a prominent aspect of hydrology, however, comprehensive analysis of lake basins based on hydrological simulation is rarely conducted. Therefore, we used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT+) with dynamic land use/land cover (LULC) input and time-varying parameters to simulate streamflow of the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin and estimate the impacts of LULC and climate change on streamflow during 1961–2017. We also evaluated the contributions of LULC and climate change to water volume in Lake Xiaoxingkai through a lake water balance analysis. New hydrologic insights for the region: The simulated streamflow agrees well with observations at most stations (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency, NSE > 0.5, and goodness of fit, R2 > 0.8). Climate change has a positive effect on streamflow which dominates the streamflow variations during 1981–1995 and 2006–2017, whereas LULC change has a negative effect with a dominant role during 1996–2005. The volume of Lake Xiaoxingkai increased slightly at a rate of 0.12 × 106 m3 yr−1, with climate change contributing the most (77.25 %) to the increase, followed by direct human activities (47.50 %) and LULC change (−24.76 %). This study facilitates a better understanding of the hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin under changing environments and is helpful for regional water resource management.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221458182300109XSWAT+LULC changeClimate changeHydrological cycleLake water balance |
spellingShingle | Feiyan Xiao Xunming Wang Congsheng Fu Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies SWAT+ LULC change Climate change Hydrological cycle Lake water balance |
title | Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin |
title_full | Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin |
title_fullStr | Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin |
title_full_unstemmed | Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin |
title_short | Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the Xiaoxingkai Lake Basin |
title_sort | impacts of land use land cover and climate change on hydrological cycle in the xiaoxingkai lake basin |
topic | SWAT+ LULC change Climate change Hydrological cycle Lake water balance |
url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221458182300109X |
work_keys_str_mv | AT feiyanxiao impactsoflanduselandcoverandclimatechangeonhydrologicalcycleinthexiaoxingkailakebasin AT xunmingwang impactsoflanduselandcoverandclimatechangeonhydrologicalcycleinthexiaoxingkailakebasin AT congshengfu impactsoflanduselandcoverandclimatechangeonhydrologicalcycleinthexiaoxingkailakebasin |