Predicting power of ticker search volume in Indian stock market

This study examines the ability of online ticker searches to serve as a valid proxy for investor sentiment and forecast stock returns and trading volumes in the Indian financial market. In contrast to the findings in prior research, we observe that ticker search volumes do not exhibit any predictive...

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Main Authors: Ishani Chaudhuri, Parthajit Kayal
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-06-01
Series:IIMB Management Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0970389622000489
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author Ishani Chaudhuri
Parthajit Kayal
author_facet Ishani Chaudhuri
Parthajit Kayal
author_sort Ishani Chaudhuri
collection DOAJ
description This study examines the ability of online ticker searches to serve as a valid proxy for investor sentiment and forecast stock returns and trading volumes in the Indian financial market. In contrast to the findings in prior research, we observe that ticker search volumes do not exhibit any predictive value for future excess stock returns. However, we find a weak but significant positive effect of ticker search volumes on trading volume with a two-week lag. A battery of robustness checks supports our findings. Our work warns the investors from possible misleading insights arising from search volume and stock returns related studies.
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spelling doaj.art-2e0391f906db4ae3a37c69cd1b62cd312022-12-22T02:19:53ZengElsevierIIMB Management Review0970-38962022-06-01342143152Predicting power of ticker search volume in Indian stock marketIshani Chaudhuri0Parthajit Kayal1Madras School of Economics (MSE), Gandhi Mandapam Road, Behind Government Data Centre, Kottur, Chennai, IndiaCorresponding author.; Madras School of Economics (MSE), Gandhi Mandapam Road, Behind Government Data Centre, Kottur, Chennai, IndiaThis study examines the ability of online ticker searches to serve as a valid proxy for investor sentiment and forecast stock returns and trading volumes in the Indian financial market. In contrast to the findings in prior research, we observe that ticker search volumes do not exhibit any predictive value for future excess stock returns. However, we find a weak but significant positive effect of ticker search volumes on trading volume with a two-week lag. A battery of robustness checks supports our findings. Our work warns the investors from possible misleading insights arising from search volume and stock returns related studies.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0970389622000489Online tickerGoogle search volumeStock returnsTrading volume
spellingShingle Ishani Chaudhuri
Parthajit Kayal
Predicting power of ticker search volume in Indian stock market
IIMB Management Review
Online ticker
Google search volume
Stock returns
Trading volume
title Predicting power of ticker search volume in Indian stock market
title_full Predicting power of ticker search volume in Indian stock market
title_fullStr Predicting power of ticker search volume in Indian stock market
title_full_unstemmed Predicting power of ticker search volume in Indian stock market
title_short Predicting power of ticker search volume in Indian stock market
title_sort predicting power of ticker search volume in indian stock market
topic Online ticker
Google search volume
Stock returns
Trading volume
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0970389622000489
work_keys_str_mv AT ishanichaudhuri predictingpoweroftickersearchvolumeinindianstockmarket
AT parthajitkayal predictingpoweroftickersearchvolumeinindianstockmarket