A DEEP LEARNING MODEL FOR ELECTRICITY DEMAND FORECASTING BASED ON A TROPICAL DATA

Electricity demand forecasting is a term used for prediction of users’ con-sumption on the grid ahead of actual demand. It is very important to all power stakeholders across levels. The power players employ electricity demand forecasting for sundry purposes. Moreover, the government’s policy on its...

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Main Authors: Saheed A. ADEWUYI, Segun AINA, Adeniran I. OLUWARANTI
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Polish Association for Knowledge Promotion 2020-03-01
Series:Applied Computer Science
Subjects:
Online Access:http://acs.pollub.pl/pdf/v16n1/1.pdf
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author Saheed A. ADEWUYI
Segun AINA
Adeniran I. OLUWARANTI
author_facet Saheed A. ADEWUYI
Segun AINA
Adeniran I. OLUWARANTI
author_sort Saheed A. ADEWUYI
collection DOAJ
description Electricity demand forecasting is a term used for prediction of users’ con-sumption on the grid ahead of actual demand. It is very important to all power stakeholders across levels. The power players employ electricity demand forecasting for sundry purposes. Moreover, the government’s policy on its market deregulation has greatly amplified its essence. Despite numerous studies on the subject using certain classical approaches, there exists an opportunity for exploration of more sophisticated methods such as the deep learning (DL) techniques. Successful researches about DL applications to computer vision, speech recognition, and acoustic computing problems are motivation. However, such researches are not sufficiently exploited for electricity demand forecasting using DL methods. In this paper, we considered specific DL techniques (LSTM, CNN, and MLP) to short-term load forecasting problems, using tropical institutional data obtained from a Transmission Company. We also test how accurate are predictions across the techniques. Our results relatively revealed models appropriateness for the problem.
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spelling doaj.art-2e2744c33baa4b8fb925dc7f5c60d1812022-12-22T01:35:34ZengPolish Association for Knowledge PromotionApplied Computer Science1895-37352353-69772020-03-0116151710.23743/acs-2020-01A DEEP LEARNING MODEL FOR ELECTRICITY DEMAND FORECASTING BASED ON A TROPICAL DATASaheed A. ADEWUYI0Segun AINA1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5080-1760Adeniran I. OLUWARANTI2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4920-6053Osun State University, Department of Information and Communication Technology, Osogbo, Osun State, Nigeria, saheed.adewuyi@uniosun.edu.ngObafemi Awolowo University, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Ile-Ife, Osun State, Nigeria, s.aina@oauife.edu.ngObafemi Awolowo University, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Ile-Ife, Osun State, NigeriaElectricity demand forecasting is a term used for prediction of users’ con-sumption on the grid ahead of actual demand. It is very important to all power stakeholders across levels. The power players employ electricity demand forecasting for sundry purposes. Moreover, the government’s policy on its market deregulation has greatly amplified its essence. Despite numerous studies on the subject using certain classical approaches, there exists an opportunity for exploration of more sophisticated methods such as the deep learning (DL) techniques. Successful researches about DL applications to computer vision, speech recognition, and acoustic computing problems are motivation. However, such researches are not sufficiently exploited for electricity demand forecasting using DL methods. In this paper, we considered specific DL techniques (LSTM, CNN, and MLP) to short-term load forecasting problems, using tropical institutional data obtained from a Transmission Company. We also test how accurate are predictions across the techniques. Our results relatively revealed models appropriateness for the problem.http://acs.pollub.pl/pdf/v16n1/1.pdfelectricity demand forecastingstlfdeep learning techniqueslstmcnnmlp
spellingShingle Saheed A. ADEWUYI
Segun AINA
Adeniran I. OLUWARANTI
A DEEP LEARNING MODEL FOR ELECTRICITY DEMAND FORECASTING BASED ON A TROPICAL DATA
Applied Computer Science
electricity demand forecasting
stlf
deep learning techniques
lstm
cnn
mlp
title A DEEP LEARNING MODEL FOR ELECTRICITY DEMAND FORECASTING BASED ON A TROPICAL DATA
title_full A DEEP LEARNING MODEL FOR ELECTRICITY DEMAND FORECASTING BASED ON A TROPICAL DATA
title_fullStr A DEEP LEARNING MODEL FOR ELECTRICITY DEMAND FORECASTING BASED ON A TROPICAL DATA
title_full_unstemmed A DEEP LEARNING MODEL FOR ELECTRICITY DEMAND FORECASTING BASED ON A TROPICAL DATA
title_short A DEEP LEARNING MODEL FOR ELECTRICITY DEMAND FORECASTING BASED ON A TROPICAL DATA
title_sort deep learning model for electricity demand forecasting based on a tropical data
topic electricity demand forecasting
stlf
deep learning techniques
lstm
cnn
mlp
url http://acs.pollub.pl/pdf/v16n1/1.pdf
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AT saheedaadewuyi deeplearningmodelforelectricitydemandforecastingbasedonatropicaldata
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