Estimates of Energy Consumption Using Neural Networks with the Grey Wolf Optimizer Algorithm for Turkey

The primary objective of this study was to apply the ANN (artificial neural network) model with the grey wolf optimizer (GWO) algorithm to estimate energy consumption of Turkey. Gross domestic product, population, import, and export data were selected as independent variables in the model. To asses...

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Main Author: Ergun UZLU
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Gazi University 2019-06-01
Series:Gazi Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/download/article-file/736091
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author Ergun UZLU
author_facet Ergun UZLU
author_sort Ergun UZLU
collection DOAJ
description The primary objective of this study was to apply the ANN (artificial neural network) model with the grey wolf optimizer (GWO) algorithm to estimate energy consumption of Turkey. Gross domestic product, population, import, and export data were selected as independent variables in the model. To assess the applicability and accuracy of the proposed method, ANN-GWO was compared with the ANN models trained with artificial bee colony (ABC) and back propagation (BP) algorithms. Solutions indicate that the ANN-GWO model is superior to ANN-ABC and ANN-BP models. Using the ANN-GWO model, future estimation of Turkey's energy consumption was projected up to 2023 according to two different scenarios. The forecasted results were compared with projections by the MENR (Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources) and other related studies in the literature. The results show that energy consumption can be modeled using the proposed model and the ANN-GWO can be used to predict future energy consumption.
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spelling doaj.art-2e68228211f94afc9aef1609872ac63a2023-02-15T16:12:30ZengGazi UniversityGazi Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi2147-95262019-06-017224526210.29109/gujsc.519553Estimates of Energy Consumption Using Neural Networks with the Grey Wolf Optimizer Algorithm for TurkeyErgun UZLUThe primary objective of this study was to apply the ANN (artificial neural network) model with the grey wolf optimizer (GWO) algorithm to estimate energy consumption of Turkey. Gross domestic product, population, import, and export data were selected as independent variables in the model. To assess the applicability and accuracy of the proposed method, ANN-GWO was compared with the ANN models trained with artificial bee colony (ABC) and back propagation (BP) algorithms. Solutions indicate that the ANN-GWO model is superior to ANN-ABC and ANN-BP models. Using the ANN-GWO model, future estimation of Turkey's energy consumption was projected up to 2023 according to two different scenarios. The forecasted results were compared with projections by the MENR (Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources) and other related studies in the literature. The results show that energy consumption can be modeled using the proposed model and the ANN-GWO can be used to predict future energy consumption.https://dergipark.org.tr/download/article-file/736091Grey Wolf Optimizer AlgorithmArtificial Bee Colony Algorithm; Back Propagation Algorithm; Energy Consumption/Demand; Neural Networks; TurkeyArtificial Bee Colony AlgorithmBack Propagation AlgorithmEnergy Consumption/DemandNeural Networks; Turkey
spellingShingle Ergun UZLU
Estimates of Energy Consumption Using Neural Networks with the Grey Wolf Optimizer Algorithm for Turkey
Gazi Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi
Grey Wolf Optimizer Algorithm
Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm; Back Propagation Algorithm; Energy Consumption/Demand; Neural Networks; Turkey
Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm
Back Propagation Algorithm
Energy Consumption/Demand
Neural Networks; Turkey
title Estimates of Energy Consumption Using Neural Networks with the Grey Wolf Optimizer Algorithm for Turkey
title_full Estimates of Energy Consumption Using Neural Networks with the Grey Wolf Optimizer Algorithm for Turkey
title_fullStr Estimates of Energy Consumption Using Neural Networks with the Grey Wolf Optimizer Algorithm for Turkey
title_full_unstemmed Estimates of Energy Consumption Using Neural Networks with the Grey Wolf Optimizer Algorithm for Turkey
title_short Estimates of Energy Consumption Using Neural Networks with the Grey Wolf Optimizer Algorithm for Turkey
title_sort estimates of energy consumption using neural networks with the grey wolf optimizer algorithm for turkey
topic Grey Wolf Optimizer Algorithm
Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm; Back Propagation Algorithm; Energy Consumption/Demand; Neural Networks; Turkey
Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm
Back Propagation Algorithm
Energy Consumption/Demand
Neural Networks; Turkey
url https://dergipark.org.tr/download/article-file/736091
work_keys_str_mv AT ergunuzlu estimatesofenergyconsumptionusingneuralnetworkswiththegreywolfoptimizeralgorithmforturkey