Flash drought in Australia and its relationship to evaporative demand

Flash droughts can be distinguished by rapid intensification from near-normal soil moisture to drought conditions in a matter of weeks. Here, we provide the first characterisation of a climatology of flash drought across Australia using a suite of indices. The experiment is designed to capture a ran...

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Main Authors: Tess Parker, Ailie Gallant, Mike Hobbins, David Hoffmann
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2021-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abfe2c
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author Tess Parker
Ailie Gallant
Mike Hobbins
David Hoffmann
author_facet Tess Parker
Ailie Gallant
Mike Hobbins
David Hoffmann
author_sort Tess Parker
collection DOAJ
description Flash droughts can be distinguished by rapid intensification from near-normal soil moisture to drought conditions in a matter of weeks. Here, we provide the first characterisation of a climatology of flash drought across Australia using a suite of indices. The experiment is designed to capture a range of conditions related to drought: evaporative demand describes the atmospheric demand for moisture from the surface; precipitation, the supply of moisture from the atmosphere to the surface; and evaporative stress, the supply of moisture from the surface relative to the demand from the atmosphere. We show that regardless of the definition, flash droughts occur in all seasons. They can terminate as rapidly as they start, but in some cases can last many months, resulting in a seasonal-scale drought. We show that flash-drought variability and its prevalence can be related to phases of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, highlighting scope for seasonal-scale prediction. Using a case study in southeast Australia, we show that monitoring precipitation is less useful for capturing the onset of flash drought as it occurs. Instead, indices like the Evaporative Demand Drought Index and Evaporative Stress Index are more useful for monitoring flash-drought development.
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spelling doaj.art-2f2c7b0692ff42afbfc83efea25182302023-08-09T15:00:03ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262021-01-0116606403310.1088/1748-9326/abfe2cFlash drought in Australia and its relationship to evaporative demandTess Parker0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4201-3929Ailie Gallant1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7917-1069Mike Hobbins2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5540-8466David Hoffmann3https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5368-1223School of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment , Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, AustraliaSchool of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment , Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, AustraliaCooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado , Boulder, CO, United States of America; NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory , Boulder, CO, United States of AmericaSchool of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment , Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, AustraliaFlash droughts can be distinguished by rapid intensification from near-normal soil moisture to drought conditions in a matter of weeks. Here, we provide the first characterisation of a climatology of flash drought across Australia using a suite of indices. The experiment is designed to capture a range of conditions related to drought: evaporative demand describes the atmospheric demand for moisture from the surface; precipitation, the supply of moisture from the atmosphere to the surface; and evaporative stress, the supply of moisture from the surface relative to the demand from the atmosphere. We show that regardless of the definition, flash droughts occur in all seasons. They can terminate as rapidly as they start, but in some cases can last many months, resulting in a seasonal-scale drought. We show that flash-drought variability and its prevalence can be related to phases of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, highlighting scope for seasonal-scale prediction. Using a case study in southeast Australia, we show that monitoring precipitation is less useful for capturing the onset of flash drought as it occurs. Instead, indices like the Evaporative Demand Drought Index and Evaporative Stress Index are more useful for monitoring flash-drought development.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abfe2cflash droughtAustraliaEvaporative Demand Drought Index
spellingShingle Tess Parker
Ailie Gallant
Mike Hobbins
David Hoffmann
Flash drought in Australia and its relationship to evaporative demand
Environmental Research Letters
flash drought
Australia
Evaporative Demand Drought Index
title Flash drought in Australia and its relationship to evaporative demand
title_full Flash drought in Australia and its relationship to evaporative demand
title_fullStr Flash drought in Australia and its relationship to evaporative demand
title_full_unstemmed Flash drought in Australia and its relationship to evaporative demand
title_short Flash drought in Australia and its relationship to evaporative demand
title_sort flash drought in australia and its relationship to evaporative demand
topic flash drought
Australia
Evaporative Demand Drought Index
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abfe2c
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